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ULTIMATE BOLD Prediction [2018] Super Smash Bros Will Sell 15mil WW... In under a MONTH!

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - ULTIMATE BOLD Prediction [2018] Super Smash Bros Will Sell 15mil WW... In under a MONTH!

Yup that's too bold hehe

But I could totally see north of 10M shipments.

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I wouldn't be surprised at this point tbh

RolStoppable said:
Super Mario Odyssey did 9.07m when Switch was at 14.86m.

SSBU will likely beat SMO because Switch will have already exceeded 30m, but 15m in one month sounds like the result of an ecstasy trip. What kind of regional breakdown for sell-through do you have in mind, tbone? 3m for Japan, 4m for the USA, 3m for Europe, 1m for the rest? That's 11m and a lot of loaded retailers to make that 15m shipped.

I am expecting a breakdown in the area of 2.5m for Japan, 3.5m for the USA, 2m for Europe and 500k for the rest, so 8.5m sell-through and shipments between 10-12m, but more likely above 11m than below 11m.

500k is for France day 1 (intial shipment) so your Europe numbers is a bit low.

 

Anywayz zzz

 

NoA] 6.65mil

[Jap] 3.11mil

[Euro] 3.95mil

[RoW] 1.30mil


[WW] 15.01mil



tbone51 said:

500k is for France day 1 (intial shipment) so your Europe numbers is a bit low.

Anywayz zzz

NoA] 6.65mil

[Jap] 3.11mil

[Euro] 3.95mil

[RoW] 1.30mil


[WW] 15.01mil

I like how you had to make the sum 15.01m, because your greediness knows no limits.

By the way, I posted in your other thread about Switch software predictions and I noticed that in at least half the cases my numbers are notably higher than yours. Should I be worried? After all, nobody on VGC is as high as you.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

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With the amount of hype it's getting and Switch's huge boost to first party titles.... it very well could. It also helps that outside of Let's Go and Super Mario Party, it's the only huge game for the Switch this holiday.

I don't think anyone expected Red Dead 2 to sell over 17m copies in 12 days on the market.

So, it's possible, and if the marketing, word of mouth and content in the game is there, it's extremely possible. And since it is releasing during the holiday, it'll gain extra sales from that.

10m for sure, 15m, maybe.

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RolStoppable said:
tbone51 said:

500k is for France day 1 (intial shipment) so your Europe numbers is a bit low.

Anywayz zzz

NoA] 6.65mil

[Jap] 3.11mil

[Euro] 3.95mil

[RoW] 1.30mil


[WW] 15.01mil

I like how you had to make the sum 15.01m, because your greediness knows no limits.

By the way, I posted in your other thread about Switch software predictions and I noticed that in at least half the cases my numbers are notably higher than yours. Should I be worried? After all, nobody on VGC is as high as you.

Wow puns/insults are pure gold in this post lol.

 

Yeah im more conservative with my other guesses. I hope your right with everything not named ssb/pokemon



preorders for the game are really good from what i have seen, but 15 mil in the first month is a bit to optimistic, but 8 - 10 mil could happen

15 million in less than a Month?
If this happens then I will give you my COMG award for the best prediction of 2018

If it actually managed to pull off 15 million in a month, it would certainly go on to sell a fuck-ton more than 25 million lifetime.

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RolStoppable said:
Super Mario Odyssey did 9.07m when Switch was at 14.86m.

SSBU will likely beat SMO because Switch will have already exceeded 30m, but 15m in one month sounds like the result of an ecstasy trip. What kind of regional breakdown for sell-through do you have in mind, tbone? 3m for Japan, 4m for the USA, 3m for Europe, 1m for the rest? That's 11m and a lot of loaded retailers to make that 15m shipped.

I am expecting a breakdown in the area of 2.5m for Japan, 3.5m for the USA, 2m for Europe and 500k for the rest, so 8.5m sell-through and shipments between 10-12m, but more likely above 11m than below 11m.

Super Mario Odyssey did 9.07m in 64 days though, smash only has 24 days this quarter. So it wouldn't be beating Odyssey, it would be completely destroying it, and probably every exclusive ever released on any system.



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