I remember that I read that thread, but I didn't comment in it. I didn't disagree with the prediction because it's a possible and realistic outcome, but your reasoning with a multiplier of 2.5 was and is bad, because it's so arbitrary and not backed up by anything other than it seeming to be right to you.

I checked my own special thread to see how the shipment numbers have developed for both games in 2018.

Breath of the Wild has shipped 1.78m and 0.84m in the first two quarters of calendar year 2018.
Super Mario Odyssey has shipped 1.34m and 0.76m.

The bigger discrepancy of Q1 can be easily explained by slight overshipping of Super Mario Odyssey during its launch quarter, so Q2 should be considered more representative and the upcoming financial report on October 30th should confirm that. Things will probably develop in line with your prediction that it won't happen fast, but that it will happen. I think you'll be off on 16m at most for Super Mario Odyssey though, but that was more of a secondary part in your prediction, and predictions rarely play out 100% correct.

Mario will be more advantaged for Christmas against Zelda, exactely for the same reason which makes Switch to be advantaged against PS4 :

Mario has more success to younger players, Zelda touches more adults. If I buy a Switch, I will buy Zelda for sure as my first game, but not Mario. I know a few other like me around 35 years old who wants this Zelda so much but not Mario. Most of the adults don't care about the period of the year to buy a video game. But younger with no money during the year have to wait Christmas.

I'm sorry you feel this way. 

I'm sorry you feel this way. 

Feel what way?

I've been on couple of apology tours.

Ok, but my comment is directed toward the specific situation he mentionned which concerned 2 of the biggest FP franchise from Nintendo, of course this would implicate mostly Nintendo owners/fans.