I put the over-under at 5 million. But, we'll know a whole lot more if we get some decent data from this holiday season. Let's revisit this in February.

Do we know of any significant promotion planned for this holiday season? That would make a very big difference.  If they're going to do some aggressive pricing like they did last year, coupled with significant advertising within the PS4 on screen menus, or some other significant marketing, that might move a lot of units.

yea, I think it's very possible that PSVR1 will be compatible with PS5 and PSVR2 might come 1-2ys after PS5 launch as Sony probably doesn't want to release 2 new platforms in the same year

If ps vita is a faill with 16m, what is ps vr at 3m?

Vr is spensive tec, for a small group of players with games like demo tech. 4m max.

With a price cut and some marketing, sure. It needs a big name game though for a marketing push.

never thought of it like that. very smart idea. ps5 2020 and psvr+ in 2021 or 2022. 

Why not? Price is the main reason why people haven’t jumped on. It’s only going to get cheaper and the more great system sellers are out, the more are gonna jump on. 3 Million in less than two years..assuming it’s going to be sold for another 3 or so years, I don’t see why it shouldn’t reach that number.

It needs to do 5 million first. Then we'll see

As someone else said, sales dipping, people just arent fully invested in the tech or device yet. It will hit 5m, but vast majority of people arent willing to drop $300 on a headset+2 games(bundle). The amount of people that will do that is very slim. Not to mention if you want full VR experience you will need two Move controllers too. 5m is being more than fair for the state its in. 5m in my opinion is a complete success considering how bad of a stigma VR had/has as a whole.

When we get the PSVR 2.0 on PS5 and add in sales frm PSVR 1.0 on PS4, then we'll get over 7m easily