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Forums - Sony Discussion - Sony first Party games sales, A huge leap from PS3 era. ( Entered Ninty Level ) Update: GOW at 10m & Uncharted 4 16M

The_Liquid_Laser said:
NoCtiS_NoX said:


The double standard is really high here. tsk.. tsk.. It's okay for you to add Pokemon version but I can't. 
As someone has said it's 2 version of the same game.

X is same as Y but yet they are still different. You cannot get Xerneas if you bought Y unless you wait for someone to trade it to you. You cannot have the Mega evolution of Charizard and mewtwo from X if you bought Y. There's exclusive Pokemon from X and Y too. 

No double standard.  People add together versions that are a little different all the time.  Just today I was in Best Buy and saw that GTA V had an edition without an expansion pack and another edition with an expansion pack.  Sales of both those versions go toward the same total.  In fact there is a lot more difference between a standard game vs. a game with an expansion included than there is between X and Y.  And yet it is standard to total these games together.

What is not standard is to take the same game on the same platform and compare it to another game on two platforms.  The number of platforms is what really matters.  It is not sound analysis to compare one platform total to two platform totals.

Which is totally different from the strategy Nintendo made since first pokemon for you to need friends with different version to trade (boosting mouth to mouth ad) and also considering portability and single save a lot of families having multiple gameboys and Pokemon to play together.

Totally not the same thing as sum GTA with and withou expansion as it isn't really the most common thing to go and buy both at launch as pokemon have been seem.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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The_Liquid_Laser said:

No double standard.  People add together versions that are a little different all the time.  Just today I was in Best Buy and saw that GTA V had an edition without an expansion pack and another edition with an expansion pack.  Sales of both those versions go toward the same total.  In fact there is a lot more difference between a standard game vs. a game with an expansion included than there is between X and Y.  And yet it is standard to total these games together.

What is not standard is to take the same game on the same platform and compare it to another game on two platforms.  The number of platforms is what really matters.  It is not sound analysis to compare one platform total to two platform totals.

So it's only okay when it suits your argument but when it's not then it's not okay? 

That's not comparable. lol. It's the same game. The other one is just bare bones and the other ones giving you more value for your bucks. Do you even know what type of expansion GTA V has? and do you even know what's the dlc expansion for? I won't bother answering it for you. You look it up and try to think what's the purpose of expansions. 
Sorry but it's like you don't know what you are talking about already. 

It's also not sound if you are comparing two version of a game to one game but I am okay with you adding it up. You are just trying so hard to deny it because it doesn't suit your narrative.

Also, you already missed the whole point of the thread.

 By reaching "Nintendo levels" is just to say, that Sony now have more than 5 franchises that can be compared to the biggest franchises in terms of sales, nothing more, nothing less, but yeah, Nintendo is still number one.

Quoting colafitte. He said it better than me.

Last edited by NoCtiS_NoX - on 17 August 2018

colafitte said:

I understood you from the begining what you meant because i feel the same. This topic reminds me the times in this site, in 2013, when PS4 and XBO were announced and launched and I was one the few back then that said that PS4 was going to dominate easily by selling more than 100m units. Time prove me right. Denial was huge then and denial in this topic is huge now. I repeat, Nintendo is number one, but Sony is trying to translate their model into their own consoles, but mantaining the 3rd party success. That's why they focused a lot on their own games in last E3. Sony wants to associate Playtation success with Sony games.

Sony, is constructing one the most poweful software companies in the world. By the time PS5 launches, Sony Worldwide Studios (Sony 1st party games as a whole) will be the most dominant publisher for the PS5, ahead of the Activision's, EA's, Ubisoft's. That my take.

Yeah I think some people here focused on the phrase Ninty level and didn't bother reading or trying to know what I really meant.
The main point I am trying to make is that Sony is catching up after all these years.
It's always Sony games is not selling. They are great games but not selling so I am glad that Sony games are selling this well. I hope it will continue to sell. 
It all started with Uncharted 2 and Last of Us. That started it. 

But I still hope that Sony will still care with their old IP because they have a lot of great gems. 
And small titles like JRPG like Nintendo is doing. 



Quality and quantity!



And well deserved. Hard word like that should be rewarded. And besides the continous stream of high quality first party releases we also have all the third party releases. That's what makes PS4 a real gaming console.



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The_Liquid_Laser said:
NoCtiS_NoX said:

1.GTA V is a different beast that game is God Tier. I will highlight again how of a monster that game is. It already sold 20M on the PS3 according to you and then it sold another 18M at retail for the PS4.Since that is only retail and you compare a shipped number to a retail release and at the same time not counting DD sales then if you add that Shipped and DD sales it will destroy any games that NInty released in recent years. The fact that GTA V PS4 is still selling is and still Charting in NPD and UK sales is a a testament of how beastly GTA V is. When did GTA V was release again?

2. Did you missed Last of us for some reason? That game already sold 17M.  UC4 is still selling and the last number we have is sold thru meaning it's not shipped. Meaning 8.7 is at retail and after 2 years it could be at 11-12 M shipped and UC4 is not yet done selling. 

3. Then you might add GOW in the near future because that game is selling with Legs and this is the first time in History of Sony were they 1st party output is selling very well and that might continue with PS5. 

4. What you are trying to convey is not the point of the thread. I even mentioned that a lot of people didn't bought PS4 for Sony games. We are not here to pit Sony and Nintendo on  their games affect their console 
We are not here to discussed on how Sony game is affecting PS consoles  but if we are speaking for PS5 then that's a different discussion because that is the time we will see how Sony games affect it. 
We are here to talked about how the 4 games I mentioned are competing with games Ninty put out recently and how it is at Nintendo level of sales.

 


I'll address these points in reverse order.

4. You put "at Ninty Level" in the title of this thread.  This means you are comparing Sony first party to Nintendo first party.  They are not on the same level.  I am trying to show you what is "at Ninty level".  Perhaps you don't realize how big Ninty first party actually is?  All of the games you mentioned in your first post are what I would call "second tier".  Zelda and 3D Mario are also second tier.  If you want to compare those Sony games to Zelda and 3D Mario then that is fine.  But Nintendo has much bigger first party games than that like Pokemon, 2D Mario and Mario Kart.

3.  This is not Sony's best first party performance.  Gran Turismo 3 sold 15m.  When they actually get a PS4 first party game to 15m, then we can talk.  They aren't there yet.

1&2. A) I didn't mean to compare shipped with sold through.  In the rest of our discussion I will just stick with VGC numbers to compare likes with likes.  However even when the data is adjusted none of the points I've made are nullified.

1&2 b)  GTA V is not a different beast of a game.  It has sold 90m+ plus copies, because its on many platforms.  Minecraft has even sold 100m+ copies.  Do you think it could do that on one platform?  No way in hell!  A fair comparison is single platform to single platform, or even two platform totals to two platform totals.  Comparing sales on one platform to another game on 5+ platforms is not a fair comparison.

So lets compare two platform totals then.  (I know you realize that all of these numbers are going to be bigger, because they are the sum of two platforms.)

GTAV (PS3) + GTAV (PS4) = 20.3m + 18.2m = 38.5m
Pokemon Gold/Silver (GB) + Pokeom Heartgold/Soulsilver (DS) = 23.1m + 11.8m = 34.9m

Look, both of these games have sold in the 30m - 40m range on two platforms.  GTA V is even better.  Good for it!  But selling 30m - 40m on two platforms is very big deal, so I would put both of these games in the same top tier.  Do you know what game doesn't belong in this tier?  The Last of Us.

TLoU (PS3) + TLoU (PS4) = 6.3m + 6.3m = 12.6m  (using VGC numbers)

Wow, that is not even close to either Pokemon or GTA V.  TLoU is not "at Ninty level".  Sony knows this!  Sony doesn't even expect their first party games to be "at Ninty level".  This is why I am mentioning GTA V.  Sony expects games like GTA V to sell "at Ninty level".  GTA V is Sony's heaviest hitter, right?  When you compare GTA V on a single platform then you see it sells like a Pokemon or Mario Kart or 2D Mario game.  Those are Nintendo's heaviest hitters. 

Instead Sony first party is more like Nintendo second tier: Zelda, 3D Mario, Smash Bros, Animal Crossing, etc....  If you are saying that Sony first party is like Nintendo's second tier, then I agree.  But Sony's top first party games are NOT at the same level as Nintendo's top first party games.  Sony first party is not really "at Ninty level".  Because when you actually compare likes to likes, then you realize that "Ninty level" is the same as "GTA level".  Gran Theft Auto: San Andreas sold 20.8m, another top tier game.  Gran Theft Auto can sell 20m+ on a single platform.  That's really impressive.  But Nintendo has had many games that have sold 20m+ on a single platform.  That is why GTA level is on the same as tier as "Ninty level".  Sony first party is not on this level.

1) GTA and Minecraft aren't the same thing. You could bet that games like Minecraft will always be a one hit wonder and none of its sequels will replicate that success because its based on creation.

GTA is an age old brand that has grown stronger and its certainly a far stronger brand in gaming right now than anything Nintendo will ever concieve at any particular point. GTA was the game that made PS3 outsell Xbox 360 for a month in the US while multiplatform which God of War 3 and TLOU couldn't do as exclusives, just due to a fucking $300 bundle near the release of PS4.

GTA is the staple brand of gaming, Pokemon has massively dropped in popularity on dedicated gaming devices. Everywhere I go people talk of GTA, both past and present games, while also buying every game. Pokemon is talked of more as an anime than a game series, and while plenty of people I know play Pokemon games, most of them use emulators and never would pay a cent for it. GTA is popular in every corner of the earth where gaming is a thing, and it constantly brings in new players. Pokemon is mostly popular among nostalgic people who watched the anime as a kid.

Also your comparison is flawed. HeartGold and Soulsilver are REMAKES of Gold and Silver released 11 years apart. GTA 5 on PS4 was an easy port job of the PS3 version. If anything your comparison shows the strength of GTA 5 as it sells more than two Pokemon games and their remakes, on just 2 of the 5 platforms its on. Speaking of platforms, GTA 5's sales on PS3 and PS4 would have been way greater if it was a PS exclusive, not the other way around. Pokemon games would sell like 4 to 5 million per platform if they came on 5 platforms, a few years ago, but now even that may be out of reach for the series.

3) TLOU sold 17 million. Best selling Sony game, and same situation as GTA 5. Uncharted 4 might be close to GT 3 already and God of War is selling faster as well.

4) I agree that Sony isn't on Nintendo's reach. Their games don't have the appeal of Ninty's and they mismanage old franchises and abandon them, so I don't see it changing. But I wouldn't say 2D Mario is as big as Pokemon, its probably 3rd tier now.

taus90 said:
I think Sony is beyond better than Nintendo when it comes to first party.. but the truth is nintendo has maintained and developed their age old ip's into a brand.. which sony has somehow neglected or failed to do. and brand sells
Even a well know exclusive IP could sell bonkers on a failing system People keep pointing out wii u and how first party game sold well. care to point out how many new IP's did those same number as MK8 or Smash. On the other hand MGS4 a well known exclusive sold 5 million copies by 2009 on PS3 and everybody knows where ps3 was in its early days.

So only if Sony had maintained a franchise like Nintendo since PS1 days we could have seen the same level of sale success. And to prove that point look at Crash remaster. Uncharted a gen old franchise, last mainline entry is probably above 10 million, God of war reboot fastest selling game in PS history! Gran turismo! Imagine if Sony had invested in its old IP's like Medival, Socom, Parappa the rapper, Patapon, Spyro, Crash, Getaway, Syphon filter, warhawk. instead they choose wrong IP's and poor marketing tactics which killed many of the great franchise.

So in short Nintendo is no where close in terms of delivering a brand new Ip as sony. And sony is no where near nintendo in terms of established IP, But Sony in this gen is close to nintendo in terms of making IP's into a brand.. and sony will bear the fruits with HZD2, GoW2, TLoU2.. but the real question is will sony be able to maintain level of quality like nintendo has, over longer period of time?, or run it into the ground by switching over to a different studio like halo, golden Abyss and LBP3

This is real. Sony's series are mostly story based and their is only so much story to be told from one character's perspective. The strength of Mario and Zelda is that they can keep telling the same stories time and again and don't get any flak for doing so. People don't even give a fuck towards the story in Pokemon. Sony's games will get hammered for having the slightest problems in their plot by both critics and gamers, as more is expected of them.

It doesn't help that Sony is shit at managing the few series that don't have stories. Gran Turismo should never have had such development issues which has massively reduced its popularity. Wipeout didn't get a new game on PS3, just a download only remaster. Socom got a multiplayer game on PS3 and right around release there was PS3 hack, followed by a Vita game that sold well for a Vita game but Sony being the pricks they are shut down the developer when it was their fault. God of War is the only long terms Sony series that has been nurtured with care, and Sony didn't even want one as Sony Santa Monica had to convince them of it. Sony's management are pricks when it comes to handling their IPs in a respectable manner. No that it matters, I don't think Sony will ever fully realise the importance of first party IPs till one of their home console fails as third parties abandon them, which might never happen.

MasonADC said:
colafitte said:

To me, this sounds like wishful thinking. You add 4-5m more to games that launched in 2017 like if it was easy to do. This notion that all Nintendo games have infinite legs is a lie. 2D Mario and Mario Kart have those legs, but Pokemon, Zelda, Splatoon, not as much (i'm not saying they don't have, I'm saying not at the same level). Mario odyssey will sell 1m a year for the next years as much, and Zelda will start drop in sales inevitably. Splatoon 2 is around 6'5m...., no way will reach 10m in a year or two. And why Animal Crossing will suddenly sell more than 15m??? This notion that Switch is some kind of magic box that makes everything amazing is wrong. Odyssey and BOTW sold a lot because they were historically good games that had amazing marketing campaigns behind them. The same with Smash at 20m.... why???, the Wii one sold around 13m and was hyped as hell then too, so why a game in a console that sold less hardware and softare in the same time period will suddenly sell a 50% more??? that's too much. 

And I'm still waiting for a better answer for what i said about sony games than "I just don't consider the PS4 titles on this level". So, when in a year, we start seeing updated numbers and we have Uncharted 4 10-15m, Horizon surpassing 10m, God of War reaching 10m before 2019, Gran Turismo Sport saying that there are 7-8m players (i remember the days in this site when GT5 launched and for years people said that the sales were disappointing, but GT5 kept selling and selling), Spiderman becoming the most succesful Marvel licensed game, TLOU II launching and becoming the fastest Sony game ever, then what? If by the end of this year TLOU, U4, Horizon, GOW and Spiderman are all 10+m sellers, what people will say then?

Have we not seen the legs for Zelda and Splatoon? Both are constantly in the top 20, while splatoon has even reached number one in Japan some 30 weeks after launch. Mario Odyssey has already surpassed a million copies this year, I don't see how you think 15 million is the max it will reach. And besides, we have to remember that this all happened in 15 months of the switch life. Based off of what we have been seeing, Switch games have been more desirable than past iterations. It is not unlikely to think that something like Animal crossing will be the best selling version of it's series. And Smash? It would be weird to have smash typically be a bigger seller than zelda and Mario just for those two too outsell it now. Especially the Ultimate Smash game, and the biggest title by far this year. 

As for the sony's titles, how am I using wishful thinking, when you just implied that Uncharted 4 might have 15 million sold? The last update was 8.7 million right? How is it crazy that a Nintendo title won't have legs to reach 20 million when it sold 11 million in 8 months, but it is ok that Uncharted could have reached 15 million? If it takes by the end of the ps4 5th year to have 5 titles pasted 10 million, when the Switch will possibly have 5 titles pasted 10 million by the end of it's second year, it is quite easy to see why they aren't on the same level

Read the OP. Uncharted 4 sold 8.7 million in 7 months. Its 27 months since the game released. One holiday season and its still selling well. It should easily be at 14 million. Super Mario Odyssey will sell 20 million too, I'm sure of that. Amazing game, amazing reviews, amazing word of mouth and the Switch is selling amazing.



MasonADC said:

Have we not seen the legs for Zelda and Splatoon? Both are constantly in the top 20, while splatoon has even reached number one in Japan some 30 weeks after launch. Mario Odyssey has already surpassed a million copies this year, I don't see how you think 15 million is the max it will reach. And besides, we have to remember that this all happened in 15 months of the switch life. Based off of what we have been seeing, Switch games have been more desirable than past iterations. It is not unlikely to think that something like Animal crossing will be the best selling version of it's series. And Smash? It would be weird to have smash typically be a bigger seller than zelda and Mario just for those two too outsell it now. Especially the Ultimate Smash game, and the biggest title by far this year. 

As for the sony's titles, how am I using wishful thinking, when you just implied that Uncharted 4 might have 15 million sold? The last update was 8.7 million right? How is it crazy that a Nintendo title won't have legs to reach 20 million when it sold 11 million in 8 months, but it is ok that Uncharted could have reached 15 million? If it takes by the end of the ps4 5th year to have 5 titles pasted 10 million, when the Switch will possibly have 5 titles pasted 10 million by the end of it's second year, it is quite easy to see why they aren't on the same level

Read the OP. Uncharted 4 sold 8.7 million in 7 months. Its 27 months since the game released. One holiday season and its still selling well. It should easily be at 14 million. Super Mario Odyssey will sell 20 million too, I'm sure of that. Amazing game, amazing reviews, amazing word of mouth and the Switch is selling amazing.

I wasn't necessarily arguing that Uncharted couldn't be at 14 million. Just that it makes no sense that uncharted would have legs and Odyssey wouldn't



NoCtiS_NoX said:

Yeah I think some people here focused on the phrase Ninty level and didn't bother reading or trying to know what I really meant.
The main point I am trying to make is that Sony is catching up after all these years.
It's always Sony games is not selling. They are great games but not selling so I am glad that Sony games are selling this well. I hope it will continue to sell. 
It all started with Uncharted 2 and Last of Us. That started it. 

But I still hope that Sony will still care with their old IP because they have a lot of great gems. 
And small titles like JRPG like Nintendo is doing. 

Sony is taking notes from Nintendo and Ubisoft. They want the prestige of single player games of the former and the quantity of ambitious IP's to launch every year of the latter. That's very difficult to accomplish, but that's what they're trying to do. They want to have 2 or 3 big hitters for year, so to reach this goal they need at least more than 5 franchises to cycle the launch of the games. 

In 2015 they had The Order 1886 and Bloodborne, in 2016 they had Uncharted 4 and The Last Guardian, in 2017 they had Horizon Zero Dawn, Uncharted TLL and Gran Turismo Sport, in 2018 they're having God of War, Detroit and Spiderman, in 2019 they will probably have Days Gone, Dreams and Ghosts of Tsushima, and if not in 2019, then in 2020 TLOU part II and Death Stranding before launching PS5 alongside probably Horizon 2 or even God of War 2 (complete wishful thinking ). If you're paying attention, each year they have been more ambitious than the year before. One step after another, they're improving each year correcting mistakes and going all in with what works for them.

I honestly do want smaller and original games like in PS2 and PS3 era too. I wish they don't forget to launch the ICOs, Journeys, Jak and Daxters, Slys, Ratchet and Clanks , but I'm not worried about that. They're probably working on it for PS5 right now.



MasonADC said:

Read the OP. Uncharted 4 sold 8.7 million in 7 months. Its 27 months since the game released. One holiday season and its still selling well. It should easily be at 14 million. Super Mario Odyssey will sell 20 million too, I'm sure of that. Amazing game, amazing reviews, amazing word of mouth and the Switch is selling amazing.

I wasn't necessarily arguing that Uncharted couldn't be at 14 million. Just that it makes no sense that uncharted would have legs and Odyssey wouldn't

To be fair, those U4 numbers were units SOLD, not shipped like Mario Odyssey number you said (11M). I already said too that I think U4 should be around 12M sold. Odyssey should be around 10'5m units SOLD after the last number of shipments. Uncharted 4 will sell a little more but I don't think it will reach 15m. So in my opinion, if Super Mario Odyssey sells "around" 15m like I said, i'm already expecting to have more legs than U4, so that can be 14m (not probably), 15m (amazingly accurate for my part) or even more than 16m (very plausible too). But to reach this numbers SMO has to sell 5-6m more in next years before the next one arrives, that's a lot of legs in my opinion. And the same can be said about BOTW. The only way those games keep the pace of this sales is if there isn't a new 3D mario or new 3D Zelda on Switch, and I'm not betting on that.

If SMO ends up selling 15-16m and BOTW around 13-14m that's already a huge improvement for their respective franchises, but this success doesn't need to translate to each Nintendo game, but hey, I will be glad to be wrong.



colafitte said:
MasonADC said:

I wasn't necessarily arguing that Uncharted couldn't be at 14 million. Just that it makes no sense that uncharted would have legs and Odyssey wouldn't

To be fair, those U4 numbers were units SOLD, not shipped like Mario Odyssey number you said (11M). I already said too that I think U4 should be around 12M sold. Odyssey should be around 10'5m units SOLD after the last number of shipments. Uncharted 4 will sell a little more but I don't think it will reach 15m. So in my opinion, if Super Mario Odyssey sells "around" 15m like I said, i'm already expecting to have more legs than U4, so that can be 14m (not probably), 15m (amazingly accurate for my part) or even more than 16m (very plausible too). But to reach this numbers SMO has to sell 5-6m more in next years before the next one arrives, that's a lot of legs in my opinion. And the same can be said about BOTW. The only way those games keep the pace of this sales is if there isn't a new 3D mario or new 3D Zelda on Switch, and I'm not betting on that.

If SMO ends up selling 15-16m and BOTW around 13-14m that's already a huge improvement for their respective franchises, but this success doesn't need to translate to each Nintendo game, but hey, I will be glad to be wrong.

3D Mario and Zelda games takes a very long time to make. Will Nintendo go the quick route with a Odyssey 2 or a Majora Mask style Breath of the Wild? I doubt it tbh. I don't think the legs will be cut off to 1 million a year starting next year like you said, especially if they bundle the title and/or put them on Nintendo Selects.