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Nintendo Financial Results: Switch sales top 19.67m, Mario Tennis 1.38m, DK TF 1.4m, more

Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo Financial Results: Switch sales top 19.67m, Mario Tennis 1.38m, DK TF 1.4m, more

Like a lot of us expected, hardware shipments in this quarter were a little on the soft side - it's now 9 months since Switch's last system-seller launched (Super Mario Odyssey). Nintendo's evergreen and mid-tier (DK, Tennis, Kirby) hits have performed solidly, but that's only been enough to keep sales flat over last year. Personally, I find it difficult to see where the upswing is going to come in the July to September period; Nintendo will still be banking on middle-tier titles (Octopath, Xenoblade 2: Torna, Labo #3) and the back catalogue to shift the system. Is that really going to see them land a ~3 million quarter?

I still think Nintendo will get close to 20 million, and might even hit it, but they're going to need an insane second half to the FY. A 10 million plus Q3 is a must - and personally I think that will happen - but Q4 is also going to need to be very strong.

Q1: 1.88m
Q2: 2.5-3m
Q3: 10-11m
Q4: 3.5m

That would put them in the 17.88 to 19.38m range; they'd need to find another ~600k + in shipments to hit the 20 million. Not impossible, if Q2 shows genuine improvement over Q1 - and if Q3 is genuinely insane. This should be a firm lesson to Nintendo, though; they need to work to make sure their system-sellers land more consistently throughout the year.



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Great software numbers overall. It's a shame we do not get 3rd party numbers too.



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Gamecube hardware will be beaten soon :)
Still slow HW quarter for Nintendo.

Sadly no mention of WiiUs BotW.

BotW Switch will easily get that 10M
Kirby, Tennis and DK all with strong Software numbers.
And ARMS got that 2M already while 1-2 Switch will probably even get to 3.

Labo will get more interesting the more we get towards holiday season and more packs come out.

On the 3DS side we have US/UM at soon to be 8M and its Smash version getting closer to 10M.



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Asriel said:
Like a lot of us expected, hardware shipments in this quarter were a little on the soft side - it's now 9 months since Switch's last system-seller launched (Super Mario Odyssey). Nintendo's evergreen and mid-tier (DK, Tennis, Kirby) hits have performed solidly, but that's only been enough to keep sales flat over last year. Personally, I find it difficult to see where the upswing is going to come in the July to September period; Nintendo will still be banking on middle-tier titles (Octopath, Xenoblade 2: Torna, Labo #3) and the back catalogue to shift the system. Is that really going to see them land a ~3 million quarter?

I still think Nintendo will get close to 20 million, and might even hit it, but they're going to need an insane second half to the FY. A 10 million plus Q3 is a must - and personally I think that will happen - but Q4 is also going to need to be very strong.

Q1: 1.88m
Q2: 2.5-3m
Q3: 10-11m
Q4: 3.5m

That would put them in the 17.88 to 19.38m range; they'd need to find another ~600k + in shipments to hit the 20 million. Not impossible, if Q2 shows genuine improvement over Q1 - and if Q3 is genuinely insane. This should be a firm lesson to Nintendo, though; they need to work to make sure their system-sellers land more consistently throughout the year.

10-11 mill is a pretty big ask for a holiday quarter. That's basically peak Wii numbers. 



Go Kirby, keep at it my pink puff ball.

Tropical Freeze did really well and is nice to see that ARMS continues to be successful.



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great numbers all around. 1-2 Switch gonna hit that 3m mark xD



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Soundwave said:
Asriel said:
Like a lot of us expected, hardware shipments in this quarter were a little on the soft side - it's now 9 months since Switch's last system-seller launched (Super Mario Odyssey). Nintendo's evergreen and mid-tier (DK, Tennis, Kirby) hits have performed solidly, but that's only been enough to keep sales flat over last year. Personally, I find it difficult to see where the upswing is going to come in the July to September period; Nintendo will still be banking on middle-tier titles (Octopath, Xenoblade 2: Torna, Labo #3) and the back catalogue to shift the system. Is that really going to see them land a ~3 million quarter?

I still think Nintendo will get close to 20 million, and might even hit it, but they're going to need an insane second half to the FY. A 10 million plus Q3 is a must - and personally I think that will happen - but Q4 is also going to need to be very strong.

Q1: 1.88m
Q2: 2.5-3m
Q3: 10-11m
Q4: 3.5m

That would put them in the 17.88 to 19.38m range; they'd need to find another ~600k + in shipments to hit the 20 million. Not impossible, if Q2 shows genuine improvement over Q1 - and if Q3 is genuinely insane. This should be a firm lesson to Nintendo, though; they need to work to make sure their system-sellers land more consistently throughout the year.

10-11 mill is a pretty big ask for a holiday quarter. That's basically peak Wii numbers. 

I think Switch might pull that off - though part of me thinks that in order to do that, Nintendo are going to stuff the channel and risk a weaker Q4, which would still end up with them missing the FY target.

A 10 million plus quarter doesn't just hinge on Smash and Pokemon - key as they are - but also on other mass-market, family-friendly titles finding an audience; Labo, Super Mario Party, Just Dance and Star Link might contribute to a very strong quarter, as may bundles and Black Friday sales. Big ask, though. Like I said, the key lesson Nintendo should take away from this is that they need to pace their big titles.



Software sales of key titles this quarter:

Mario Kart 8 DX: 1.13 m
Breath of the Wild: 840k
Super Mario Odyssey: 760k
Splatoon 2: 740k

Very impressive sales for Nintendo's evergreen hits. Breath of the Wild's combined sales are now around 10.82 million.



Almost 20mil!!!! And Labo already over 1mil!!!



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PAOerfulone said:
Nintendo saw a profit of 30,580 million yen, which equates to $274.39 million, which is up from the same period last year, which had a profit of 21,795 million yen ($195.57 million).
https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2018/180731_2e.pdf

Great news!



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