It's a bit weird they're sticking to a 20m forecast, if we compare to PlayStation.
PS4 : Q1 - 3.2m. Forecast - 17m
Switch : Q1 - 1.88m Forecast - 20m
The forecast is 3m higher but they're already 1.3m behind, are they really going to outship PS4 by 4.3m over the next 3 quarters?
Sure I think their FY shipments will be more skewed towards the holiday than PlayStation but not by enough to reach 20m.
Ive said in the past I expected them to overshoot but still reach 20m. (18.5m to consumers, 20m shipped for the fiscal year) but I don't think I believe they're going to do that anymore.
Predictions (Made July 2019)
LTD: PS4 - 130m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 52m 2019 : PS4 - 15m, Switch - 18.8m, XBO - 4.8m 2020: Switch - 22m (Peak Year)
Switch lite really screwed up my Switch prediction this year! Looks like it's going to be about 19.5m-20m for the Switch in 2019, 14.3m for PS4.