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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan sales (Week 27) Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - July 2-July 8, 2018

Megiddo said:
Green098 said:

With Switch already up year over year by 200k, and it doing 3.3 million in 2017 I think it'll be fine.

October, November and December 2017 Nintendo Switch's biggest new games in Japan were Mario Odyssey and far lesser extent Xenoblade 2. While in 2018 it's getting Super Mario Party, Pokemon, Smash and Yokai Watch 4 was just confirmed for this Winter in Japan as well by corocoro.

We can't be far from Splatoon 2 though, right? And after its impact just as the PS4 might fall behind YoY so might the Switch. Taken from the Resetera MC thread:

I don't think that period will big enough to consume Switch for long by week 40 Switch will enter October with big releases each month raising it's sales higher than 2017's holidays. Yes things will become more even, but which year has the bigger holiday performance is what's going to determine this. Pokemon is bigger than Splatoon and 3D Mario in Japan which is what I believe will set things over the edge.

Switch Sales Media Create 2017

week 27 26,256
week 28 31,906
week 29
98,999
week 30
89,314
week 31 61,933
week 32 87,798
week 33 22,277
week 34 69,654
week 35 60,074
week 36 45,439
week 37 44,052
week 38 43,426
week 39 73,231
week 40
38,204
week 41
40,803
week 42
31,092

The different release dates of big games are a temporary fluctuation for Switch and PS4's positions year over year throughout 2018. As long as they have big titles releasing were 2017 did not they'll be fine. Switch has Mario Party in early October, Pokemon in mid November, Smash in early December and Yokai Watch 4 somewhere in likely December vs Mario Odyssey in late October and Xenoblade 2 in early December for that.

Last edited by Green098 - on 11 July 2018

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Megiddo said:
Green098 said:

With Switch already up year over year by 200k, and it doing 3.3 million in 2017 I think it'll be fine.

October, November and December 2017 Nintendo Switch's biggest new games in Japan were Mario Odyssey and far lesser extent Xenoblade 2. While in 2018 it's getting Super Mario Party, Pokemon, Smash and Yokai Watch 4 was just confirmed for this Winter in Japan as well by corocoro.

We can't be far from Splatoon 2 though, right? And after its impact just as the PS4 might fall behind YoY so might the Switch. Taken from the Resetera MC thread:

Switch only needs to average 42.2k/week to remain ahead thru week 42



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Nice Xbox sold 88 units combined



What upcoming games does Switch have (post Octopath/Captain Toad) that will keep it above 42k through week 42?

I know the Taiko drum game is coming up in a few weeks. Not really sure about anything else though.

Last edited by Megiddo - on 11 July 2018

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Megiddo said:

What upcoming games does Switch have (post Octopath/Captain Toad) that will keep it above 42k through week 42?

I know the Taiko drum game is coming up in a few weeks. Not really sure about anything else though.

Some of the bigger bigger titles releasing:

Sonic Mania Plus (July 19)

Disgaea 1 Complete, Megaman X Legacy collection 1+2, Go Vacation (July 26)

SaGa: Scarlet grace (Juli 31)

Overcooked 2 (August 7)

Okami, Layton's Mystery Journey (August 9)

SNK Heroines (September 6)

Steins;Gate Elite (September 20)

Dragonball Fighter Z, Valkyria Chronicles, Valkyria Chronicles 4, Fifa 19, Warriors Orochi 4, The World Ends with you (September 27)

 

So yeah, August post-Obon week is a bit light, but it cuts the slack in late September again. Of course, some games like Dark Souls are set to release then too, but have no release date yet.

 



Megiddo said:

What upcoming games does Switch have (post Octopath/Captain Toad) that will keep it above 42k through week 42?

I know the Taiko drum game is coming up in a few weeks. Not really sure about anything else though.

http://www.japanesenintendo.com/schedule



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Megiddo said:

What upcoming games does Switch have (post Octopath/Captain Toad) that will keep it above 42k through week 42?

I know the Taiko drum game is coming up in a few weeks. Not really sure about anything else though.

http://www.japanesenintendo.com/schedule

Awfully light as far as retail releases go. Guess we'll have to see how it fares in August.



Megiddo said:
zorg1000 said:

http://www.japanesenintendo.com/schedule

Awfully light as far as retail releases go. Guess we'll have to see how it fares in August.

There are about 50 retail titles confirmed between now and week 42.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Megiddo said:

Awfully light as far as retail releases go. Guess we'll have to see how it fares in August.

There are about 50 retail titles confirmed between now and week 42.

And of those 50 maybe 10-15 clear 10k units sold the first week, no?

Octopath Traveler
Captain Toad
Taiko
That Baseball game
SaGa
Layton (not sure how these games sell in Japan honestly)
Boku no Hero
SNK Heroines
Hakuouki (maybe? this series was a big otome title like 5-8 years ago)
Steins;Gate Elite
Atelier Arland Trilogy
The Xeno 2 weird standalone game thing
FIFA
DBZ FighterZ

Last edited by Megiddo - on 11 July 2018