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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan sales (Week 26) Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - June 25 - July 1, 2018

Mnementh on 04 July 2018
nero said:
Mnementh said:

Nice graph. I was thrown off for a moment with the 'baseline', but it actually is the average for this year, am I right? Baseline usually refers to the low-end sales which are to expect. Probably you should label these lines as average to avoid confusion.

 Thanks. You're right, I wanted to throw a baseline but didn't know how to make it. If it's low-end sales then I can do that. Will update it the graph as average. So hoy do you exactly get baseline?

Well, baseline is not a scientific term, it is something to gauge momentum and predict the coming weeks. Basically it is: what would the console sell wihtout sales, holidays and new games. But that is obviously problematic, because without these the console would stop selling altogether. Your graph is actually helpful. You see the monstrous Monster Hunter peak for PS4, the Golden week peak for both consoles and some other peaks that probably match with some game release if we would look for it. The other weeks are more 'normal' weeks.

If you look for some way to make a formula which calculates it always the same way, I may suggest the following: You already calculated the average. We can easily say that all above average is extraordinary and created by holidays, sales or game releases. So take the below average weeks and make an average for them. Or even better - replace the average in both cases with the median, if your tool supports it. Median is more stable against a few extreme values (like the Monster Hunter peak). So the median of all weeks below the overall median. But that's just my personal suggestion.



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Angelv577 on 04 July 2018
wombat123 said:
Medisti said:
MTA and Minecraft held a lot more than I expected. Switch is looking very good right now.

Out of curiosity, what big PS4 games are coming for the Japanese market before Kingdom Hearts 3? The lack of big releases is starting to cause a drop.

Nothing that I know of.  I think the last 500k+ games the PS4 still have left are KH3, RE2:R and some kind of 'Ultimate' edition of MHW.  At this point, a price drop would do more for weekly PS4 sales in Japan than any kind of software since Sony has already gotten every significant 3rd party franchise the Japanese market would like outside of Yo-Kai Watch.

And Final fantasy 7 Remake if it releases this gen.



zippy on 04 July 2018

Switch on a whole new level in Japan.



Eagle367 on 04 July 2018

At this rate switch will have 75% of all sales each week in a few months. PS4 is dropping while switch is rising each week. By next year we might even enter a point where the market share is 90%+ for the switch



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peachbuggy on 04 July 2018

Switch getting closer every week to a "proper" Pacman! Also i see a good battle developing LT between DK and LABO.



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Amnesia on 04 July 2018
nero said:

 

Hello Nero, can you give me the list of values or is it directly downloadable here somewhere ?

If I am not wrong, extracting this from here would be like "one-by-one-copy-pasting"...

 

EDIT : if you also have 2017...



outlawauron on 04 July 2018
Mar1217 said:
zorg1000 said:

Ya 6k isnt too great but then again it is a year old port of a year old port so not too much should have been expected, apparently its doing pretty good in the west.

I dont remember the exact numbers but someone did a comparison on resetera, Switch version of Minecraft had the best debut of all versions.

Seems like it was more targeted toward the western market

2 months before Kirby reach the 600K mark in Japan (Digital not counted)

I'll ask you since the guy on Twitter completely ignores this question. Do you have a source for that?



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animegaming on 04 July 2018

So a former NIS America employee has said on ResetERA that Y's Viii is performing good in the west with sales that rival the launch of the Vita and PS4 versions.



animegaming on 04 July 2018
outlawauron said:
Mar1217 said:

Seems like it was more targeted toward the western market

2 months before Kirby reach the 600K mark in Japan (Digital not counted)

I'll ask you since the guy on Twitter completely ignores this question. Do you have a source for that?

Apparently this guy on ResetERA name AniHawk is a former NISA employee that still has some contacts there.

https://www.resetera.com/threads/media-create-sales-week-25-2018-jun-18-jun-24.51842/page-12#post-9978910



Medisti on 04 July 2018
Eagle367 said:
At this rate switch will have 75% of all sales each week in a few months. PS4 is dropping while switch is rising each week. By next year we might even enter a point where the market share is 90%+ for the switch

That's a bit optimistic. 75% is possible, with Pokemon and Smash coming, but I don't know if 90% will happen unless the PS4 has basically nothing for Japanese audience for the first half of next year. There'll certainly be a re-release of Monster Hunter World with new content same as every time.