Whoa, Swich is back to 200K. If it's keeping up this well with the library it has, holiday is going to be really interesting.

Switch is probably well over 18 million units, keep in mind this is VGC it's not too accurate.  I think they'll reveal 20M at their next meeting on July 31st. 

Actually, I think VGC has a tendency to overtrack rather than undertrack consoles.

Well, the last time they reported Switch numbers, they were off by like 1M+ units when Nintendo did their FY meeting. I tend to give VGC the benefit of the doubt more than often but I've been burned using the estimates in the past. And that was moreso my fault, as they are what they are; estimates. 

Off by 1M+? Nintendo lists sales to retailers, VGC does sales to consumers.

I agree that the PS4 lineup is stronger though I think we have to factor in the fact that PS4 is a lot closer to saturation point than the Switch.

Of the PS4 games I'm not sure that there's a game that's going to win over huge numbers of fans who haven't already been won over by something similar which has already been released...  Previous entries of Tomb Raider / Call of Duty / Battlefield / Fallout (although I realise the new one will be a change in direction) should have made fans of those franchise's bite already, and I'd say games like GTA, Batman and even God of War will have quite a lot of overlap with Spiderman & Red Dead.

On the other hand I think that Pokemon & Smash will appeal to a significant crowd who haven't necessarily been catered for on the platform up until this point. (I'm not personally looking forward to either tbh)

Even Mario Party might attract a few lapsed party gamers from the Wii era.

That's just my take and I could be wrong but will be interesting to watch!

Other than the raw numbers of consoles sold, there's also a shift clearly visible in the NPD prediction thread away from the base consoles and to the upgraded versions Pro and One X. For the PS4, the split seems to be roughly 60/40 between Slim and Pro, whereas for the XBO it seems already to have shifted to 40/60 between S and X, meaning outside of promotions the X is selling much better than the S

Nah, the baseline of the PS4 this year is a good chunk lower than it was last year. This month it will fall behind last year by 1 full million already, and it doesn't look like summer will push many PS4 either until Spider hit the shelves in september. While PS4's December last year was weak, it had it's best November ever with a great BF deal (199 and 299$ for slim and pro, respectively) which made many buy their PS4 earler than planned. A 50$ pricecut won't be nearly enough to retake what has been lost over the course of the year until that point, and will have to make the same BF deal to have a chance to even equal last year's numbers. With the shift in console versions mentioned earlier, it looks like more and more are just upgrading and less new customers adding to the ecosystem than the raw number seem to imply.

It won't be down very far though, PS4 is still doing pretty well. I guess 16-18 are a real possibility. But imo that will be the last year with 15M+ sales for the PS4

I don't think it was adjust up, Switch was adjusted slightly down for end of 2017 and early 2018 as far as I remember.

Found an article from 16th March (so before FY meeting) saying the figures as of Feb 24th were 15.016m, currently they're 14.966m for that week, so it has been adjusted down slightly, there's been no evidence that they were 1M+ units off.

My memory must be shit then, lol. I could have sworn that they had to adjust up the last time... I'm talking about this;

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html

Maybe I'm wrong or talking about the wrong thing, but during their investors meeting on March 31st, they reported 17.79 Million units, but I may be thinking sold through vs. shipped, but I'm going off numbers that Nintendo is giving. 

Edit: Yes, It just clicked with me that I'm referring to units sold to retailers, but even then those are still only estimates. 

As you can see. Like 99% is from Japan. There are still games that is coming to the Vita. And not every anime games are coming to the Switch. Sooo the Vita is the only handheld in the market that can play it.