They have Mario Deluxe U already. That could be big.

Smash Bros Melee didn't have much content. It was kind of sparse compared to later editions. Plus the Gamecube controller - no matter how much cubesters want to defend it - was kind of shit. Brawl was the best one.

Yeah, I reckon they might still make it.

I think they already know they're not hitting 20 mill. That was likely largely a target based around Labo become a hit sales driver that would've built through the summer and blown up as a must have holiday gift for kids with tons of social media buzz, but it's nowhere close to that.

But there's no point in revising down now. They'll wait until Q3 (Christmas quarter) is over and revise the forecast down in January to something more realistic.

Anything above 17.5 mill is not bad, the PS4 did 17.7 its second full fiscal year so you can't exactly be mad with say "only 18.3" or something.

I think they will reach at least 15 million, but 20 million seems unlikely.

It depends on who "you" is.  These forecasts are made for the benefit of investors. They're essentially legally required, and certainly ethically required to do as good a job as possible with these things. Nintendo notoriously sucks at forecasting Hardware Sales. But, that doesn't mean it's okay for them to keep missing. So, certainly some people can be mad if they sell 18.3 million.

No, I highly doubt it - that soft spring quarter has hamstrung them somewhat. They needed to be coming in at around 3 million units or more for each quarter outside of Q3; 1.88 million in Q1 just wasn't good enough. Labo clearly hasn't taken off the way they hoped; the three packs combined have probably sold less than Xenoblade Chronicles. Selling less than a middle-tier JRPG is not what you want for a new game that's meant to bring your hardware to a wider audience.

My guess is they're going to land in the 18-18.5 million range, which would still be strong. As others have noted, PS4 did about 17.7 million in the second fiscal year, so around the 18 million mark would be good for Switch. Nintendo are at ~5.1 million now; I can see 9.5 million for the holiday quarter and 3.5 million in Q4, for a little over 18 million for the financial year.

That should teach them to price their products appropriately. 

If they are certain know they dont hitting it, they would lowered forecast few days ago.

Even if they dont hit 20m, they will be close to I dont think they will sell less than 18m (9-10m in Q3 and 3-4m in Q4).

Between 12 or 15 million is the most likely range. Short of Let's Go being a massive driver, I can't see them topping 15 million this fiscal year, heck I think they are below 10 million right now for the current fiscal period.