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So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

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Rocketjay8 said:
maxleresistant said:

I'm not saying it is wrong to use the same engine. The thing is every smash Bros episode are a leap in terms of graphics, content, characters. So there was obviously this kind of expectation for a smash Bros switch.

I'm just saying why this episode doesn't feel like a leap, why the game doesn't have the positive buzz it should have.

 

Personally, I think the series needs a complete overhaul, it's peaked with melee and since then each new episode have been disappointing.

Super Smash Bros Brawl 2008 Fighting Nintendo 6.64 2.57 2.67 1.03 12.91

Peaked in terms of quality, not sales. I was clearly talking about the content of the game.



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So, now that we have the first quarter report, what do you guys think?



I don't think it has it. Nintendo has gimped it with the lack of a 4G option, and no necessity apps. My guess is around 14 - 15 million for the year at best.



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I think it kinda depends on how people respond to Pokémon Lets Go. If that's not a huge success, then it will be tough.



No I don't think so anymore. 17-19m is my guess now.



Predictions (Made July 2019)

LTD: PS4 - 130m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 52m       2019 : PS4 - 15m, Switch - 18.8m, XBO - 4.8m        2020: Switch - 22m (Peak Year)


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19-21.
I dont think we can exactely anticipate the effect of the Q3 line up of the Switch.
It can still be : 2 - 3 - 12 - 3 for the 4 Q until 31th March 2019.



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Amnesia said:
19-21.
I dont think we can exactely anticipate the effect of the Q3 line up of the Switch.
It can still be : 2 - 3 - 12 - 3 for the 4 Q until 31th March 2019.

Wii's best ever Q3 shipment was 11.3m, Switch will not beat that this year.

Just checked and the DS never got to 12m shipments in Q3 either, reached about 11.7m. 12m is unheard of. 10m is probably an optimistic estimate for Q3 switch shipments this year

Last edited by Barkley - on 01 August 2018

Predictions (Made July 2019)

LTD: PS4 - 130m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 52m       2019 : PS4 - 15m, Switch - 18.8m, XBO - 4.8m        2020: Switch - 22m (Peak Year)


Amnesia said:
19-21.
I dont think we can exactely anticipate the effect of the Q3 line up of the Switch.
It can still be : 2 - 3 - 12 - 3 for the 4 Q until 31th March 2019.

That would be easily the most unusual fiscal year for any game platform probably in the history of the business. 

A 12 million Q3 would be higher than the best holiday season for both the Wii AND DS. DS' peak holiday quarter was 11.8, so literally you are going from three pretty "meh-OK" quarters to one "HOLYFUCKENSTEIN RECORD BREAKING BEST QUARTER IN 40 YEARS OF GAME SALES", lol. 

I don't think that's realistic. I think Q3 will be very good for Nintendo, but 9-10 mill is probably a lot more realistic. 



Ah you think so ?

 

Q3 =

Sept : Mario party

Oct : 2 pokemon

Nov : SSBU

 

Do you need something else to have your potential best Q3 ever ?



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TI MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

Depends on how much Nintendo is willing to go to reach their own target. If they're happy with being a million or two off but with maximised profits then probably not. But if they think it's important to get that bigger install base they can go 3DS and give Switch price cuts, bundles, probably too early for a revision but they can release special coloured editions.