I don't think it has it. Nintendo has gimped it with the lack of a 4G option, and no necessity apps. My guess is around 14 - 15 million for the year at best.

I think it kinda depends on how people respond to Pokémon Lets Go. If that's not a huge success, then it will be tough.

No I don't think so anymore. 17-19m is my guess now.

19-21.
I dont think we can exactely anticipate the effect of the Q3 line up of the Switch.
It can still be : 2 - 3 - 12 - 3 for the 4 Q until 31th March 2019.

Wii's best ever Q3 shipment was 11.3m, Switch will not beat that this year.

Just checked and the DS never got to 12m shipments in Q3 either, reached about 11.7m. 12m is unheard of. 10m is probably an optimistic estimate for Q3 switch shipments this year

That would be easily the most unusual fiscal year for any game platform probably in the history of the business. 

A 12 million Q3 would be higher than the best holiday season for both the Wii AND DS. DS' peak holiday quarter was 11.8, so literally you are going from three pretty "meh-OK" quarters to one "HOLYFUCKENSTEIN RECORD BREAKING BEST QUARTER IN 40 YEARS OF GAME SALES", lol. 

I don't think that's realistic. I think Q3 will be very good for Nintendo, but 9-10 mill is probably a lot more realistic. 

Ah you think so ?

Q3 =

Sept : Mario party

Oct : 2 pokemon

Nov : SSBU

Do you need something else to have your potential best Q3 ever ?

Depends on how much Nintendo is willing to go to reach their own target. If they're happy with being a million or two off but with maximised profits then probably not. But if they think it's important to get that bigger install base they can go 3DS and give Switch price cuts, bundles, probably too early for a revision but they can release special coloured editions.

Quarter 3 is October, November, December FYI. The titles you listed are all in Quarter 3 anyways though.

October : Mario Party

November : Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu & Eevee

December : Super Smash Bros Ultimate

Yes I knew..I was lazy to edit my post :)