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So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

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zorg1000 said:
Megiddo said:
20 million Switch units is still possible.

100 million software units is far, far, far out of reach.

Why is 100 million so unattainable?

Last fiscal year was 15.05m hardware and 63.51m spftware for a tie ratio of ~4.2.

Last fiscal year had BOTW, Mario Kart 8, Splatoon 2, and Mario Odyssey

This fiscal year there's Smash & Pokemon



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People shouldn't forget that we're talking about the 2018-2019 fiscal that ends at the end of March for Nintendo.

So it got plenty of times to do that :P Also, they're probably gonna push out FE Three Houses and Daemon X Machina for the beginning of 2019 (Feb/Mar). That's 2 other decent games to look foward that can push sales.



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Nothing is impossible. Nintendo seems really confident in their console.



Mar1217 said:
People shouldn't forget that we're talking about the 2018-2019 fiscal that ends at the end of March for Nintendo.

So it got plenty of times to do that :P Also, they're probably gonna push out FE Three Houses for the beginning of 2019 (Feb/Mar). That's 2 other decent games to look foward that can push sales.

 

No because their FE trailer said "Spring 2019". Spring begins March 21 so at the very earliest you'd only get 1-2 weeks of sales.

I think they will fall short, that E3 didnt inspire confidence.



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Megiddo said:
zorg1000 said:

Why is 100 million so unattainable?

Last fiscal year was 15.05m hardware and 63.51m spftware for a tie ratio of ~4.2.

Last fiscal year had BOTW, Mario Kart 8, Splatoon 2, and Mario Odyssey

This fiscal year there's Smash & Pokemon

No, BOTW was fiscal year 2016, not 2017.

So just MK8, splatoon, and odyssey.



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The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

Megiddo said:
zorg1000 said:

Why is 100 million so unattainable?

Last fiscal year was 15.05m hardware and 63.51m spftware for a tie ratio of ~4.2.

Last fiscal year had BOTW, Mario Kart 8, Splatoon 2, and Mario Odyssey

This fiscal year there's Smash & Pokemon

Smash and Pokemon are bigger sellers than all those games with the exception MK.



flashfire926 said:
Megiddo said:

Last fiscal year had BOTW, Mario Kart 8, Splatoon 2, and Mario Odyssey

This fiscal year there's Smash & Pokemon

No, BOTW was fiscal year 2016, not 2017.

So just MK8, splatoon, and odyssey.

~2 million were fiscal year 2016. ~5 million were fiscal year 2017. Thanks for the correction.

Is there something that Nintendo expects to have over 5 million software sales this fiscal year that isn't Smash or Pokemon?



Megiddo said:
Mar1217 said:
People shouldn't forget that we're talking about the 2018-2019 fiscal that ends at the end of March for Nintendo.

So it got plenty of times to do that :P Also, they're probably gonna push out FE Three Houses for the beginning of 2019 (Feb/Mar). That's 2 other decent games to look foward that can push sales.

 

No because their FE trailer said "Spring 2019". Spring begins March 21 so at the very earliest you'd only get 1-2 weeks of sales.

We got an interview where they confirmed the titles they showed during E3 where all coming in the next 6-9 months, which means late March at worst.

Anywoo, we also have other Directs to look at before even looking at this vague briefing we got there. Pretty sure we'll get at least 1 port and 1 new game in between too.



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Something big planned for 1st part of 2019 will help them attain the 20m imo.



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