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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

He got the Spain numbers from here:

https://www.resetera.com/posts/9479477/



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Megiddo said:
He got the Spain numbers from here:

https://www.resetera.com/posts/9479477/

Thank you!

So its just for Q1, im interested to know YOY change in April/May.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

konnichiwa said:
Miyamotoo said:

If that is case what are you talking about Switch wouldn't had very good sales last and this year.

Nah what I am talking about is that PS4 outselling Switch World wide week after week because the switch doesn't have some of the games,   games like Red dead redemption and others will be so hot in september/October that a group of people will be so affected that they not get a switch but games/other console instead.

Well yeah, Switch still didn't had big game this year until now, while PS4 had couple of them (like MHW and GoW), Fortnite is probably biggest Switch game this year until now, but Switch will get two huge games in Q4 of year. We already saw that Switch and PS4 can sale great in same time, so Red Dead Redemption and others will not change nothing we had similar situation last holiday season also, but difrence is that this year Switch with Mario Party, Pokemon and Smash Bros has quite stronger Q4 compared to last year, so Switch will have great Q4 (definatly stronger than last year) regardles PS4 and XB1.

Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 21 June 2018

Megiddo said:
20 million Switch units is still possible.

100 million software units is far, far, far out of reach.

Someone probably already pointed this out, but the 20M figure is just shipped units inside fiscal year 2018.

Nobody would be crazy enough to suggest 100M shipped during just one year.

The Switch has already passed 20 million lifetime, and if the 2018 goal is met, they will be sitting on a 35 million install base after just two years. Whether 100M lifetime is possible will be a little easier to gauge at that point.



TheWPCTraveler said:
BlackBeauty said:
Let's Go will outsell the main game anyways.

The game had the biggest line and the longest wait at e3 bigger than spiderman, smash or any other game at the convention.

Are you sure this wasn't because of a longer demo time? Smash had 2:30 Free-For-Alls with Items on, so that's about three and a half minutes counting loading times and character and stage picks. And that's split between two people, so the line length is halved. Three and a half minutes would get you next to nowhere in Pokémon.

I'm hesitant about using line length and wait time as a predictor for popularity since StarFox Zero turned out the same way with its lines.

 

 

What you said is true but let's not act like Smash is going to outsell Pokemon Go.....



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Megiddo said:
20 million Switch units is still possible.

100 million software units is far, far, far out of reach.

Switch Software sees strong growth: Nintendo Switch software sales in May generated growth of 90 percent when compared to a year ago, delivering the highest software revenues for any Nintendo platform in May since the Nintendo Wii in May 2011. Please note that The NPD Group does not currently track digital sales on Nintendo platforms.



According to VG charts Switch retail software was around 730,000 in May last year. So you're looking at around 1,400,000 software units with 90% growth. It's not hard to have strong growth when last year's May software was abysmal, mostly due to shortages in terms of hardware and software.

Last edited by Megiddo - on 21 June 2018

Megiddo said:

According to VG charts Switch retail software was around 730,000 in May last year. So you're looking at around 1,400,000 software units with 90% growth. It's not hard to have strong growth when last year's May software was abysmal, mostly due to shortages in terms of hardware and software.

Nintendo had strong software units growth and actualy best May from May 2011. for Nintendo, without big releases this year and without digital sales. In other words, Switch will not have problem reaching those 100m software sales in FY 2018.



You think that the Switch will not have a problem reaching 100 million software sales because 1.4% of that goal was sold in the Switch's strongest region in May? It's not like the Wii U was some sort of console sales machine and 2011 was 5 years into the Wii which is well past its sharp decline I believe.



Megiddo said:

You think that the Switch will not have a problem reaching 100 million software sales because 1.4% of that goal was sold in the Switch's strongest region in May? It's not like the Wii U was some sort of console sales machine and 2011 was 5 years into the Wii which is well past its sharp decline I believe.


Guess how much software Wii shipped in that fiscal year? Thats right, over 100 million.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.