After reading all your comments, i believe the deciding factor will be Super Mario Party.

Little late to the party, but I think it will end up between 14 and 16 Million this year. I believe sales are going to be very low over the summer months, which will bring it back in line with last year by end of September. I believe it will have a stronger holiday than last year, which will put it up year over year.

A couple things I am looking at are paid online and non gaming apps. If the paid online gets a major negative buzz, then it could really effect sales. The lack of music and video apps could hold it back in the main stream as well. Why buy a Switch when a PS4/XBO or a Fire TV/AppleTV could offer more games and non gaming expereinces? I just feel like the system is riding on the popularity of Nintendo software alone, and we saw how far that got the WiiU.

Because i can play it anywhere?

That is its saving grace. I almost exclusively play my Switch in handheld mode, but only around the house. The size and lack of a mobile connection really limits its use as a mobile gaming device. I think that will become a bigger selling factor once we get a revision that makes it pocketable, and delivers either 4 or 5G.

Its like a de ja vu all over again: bad E3, Reggie explaining why they didnt show the games, stocks going down, lower hardware sales, etc...

Yeah i do the same, only in the house, but it´s great to be able to play in bed lol.

It's looking good so far according to Amazon US, where it's the only game outside of Smash that doesn't get released very soon and doesn't want to drop down just yet

Because I can play both Nintendo games and Multiplats everywhere I go?

It's not just Nintendo games, though of course they are taking center stage on a Nintendo console. There are more and more third party games getting announced, and while they don't produce high sales boosts, they do contribute to a higher baseline than what we had last year.

At the beginning of the year I would have answered yes without any uncertainty. Now instead I say no.

First 6 months of nothing. Kirby was a disappointment, Yoshi postponed to a generic 2019, E3 2018 disappointing, Pokémon 2018 is not about the eighth generation but a simplistic chapter for newbies.

After a majestic 2017 in which less than 20 million Switches were sold, I do not see how a disappointing 2018 can make it.

My Switch has been off for months, and only because I have forced myself to play with it by buying a game that I already had on WiiU (Bayonetta 1+2), otherwise it would have been turned off for 6 months.

Gaming in bed is awesome. Even though I have a PS4 and a 4K TV in the bedroom, I still spend more time on Switch or Remote Play. Just much more comfortable playing a handheld while laying down.

The problem with multiplats on the Switch is the performance is a bit rough. I bought Doom and WWE 2K18 to test out a few multiplats, and both games feel like I am playing in slow motion, especially WWE 2K18. Firing up the Vita for Remote Play from my PS4 Pro offers a better expereince in both games. Based on those results, I have no interest in buying another Multiplat on the Switch. 

With the Switch being so big, the only time I can carry it with me on the go is when I have an extra beg. In these situations I am typically traveling, and have Wifi, were I can get the better expereince via Remote Play. The Switch is nice for flights, but I the couple dozen times I could use it a year just doesn't justify buying multiplats on it.

 It is a great system for Nintendo games. They are doing excellent making their titles work great in both home and handheld mode. When it comes to Multiplats though, I can get a much better expereince at Home and on the go Via both Sony and Microsofts platforms.

Yeah, but you'll need to have both devices (which few people do) and can't change the game in your PS4 drive while on the go. But I can understand why you prefer playing multiplats on the Vita through remote play.

@bolded: How do you play mobile with microsoft? A laptop is very unwieldy on the go, not even mentioning using anything else than the keyboard then.