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Predict lifetime sales of Octopath Traveler

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I think it will sell...

Less than 1 million 14 9.52%
 
1-2 million 79 53.74%
 
2-3 million 40 27.21%
 
Over 3 million 14 9.52%
 
Total:147
Gamer147 said:
I liked the demo. But I think 60 dollars is a lot for the game. I think it will sell 500k but if they cut the price to $30 over 1 million easy.

It's already at 110k without digital in Japan. Add in the rest of the world, where there's also shortages of the game (though nowhere near as severe as in Japan, although it's totally sold out on Amazon), I can guarantee you it will open up already with over 500k WW sales first week.

Mar1217 said: 
Gamer147 said: 
I liked the demo. But I think 60 dollars is a lot for the game. I think it will sell 500k but if they cut the price to $30 over 1 million easy.

First week numbers are probably already over your prediction ...

And no, the game's value is well above 60$ for the content and the presentation it has. Seriously, why do people keep bringing that up ?

Probably because it doesn't look like Ultra Mega HD 16K Super Grafx Plus. And probably because they confuse retro graphics with these 16bit inspired graphics - which are hell of a lot more difficult to do and especially pull off convincingly.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 19 July 2018

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Like people already stated, only in Japan in first week game sold 110k (with digital sales its probably around 130k+) and was completly sold out in Japan and in some other markets, so we probably talking around 500k+ only in first week WW.
This game will not have problem passing 2m LT.



I voted 2-3 million worldwide. The game is excellent and I think it will have legs as long as the Switch has legs. I honestly think it will break a million in Japan only.



Signalstar said:
8

8 million ?



A bit late to the party, but considering the buzz this game has now i wouldn't be surprised if it manged to surpass 3m. But i will be reservative and vote for 2-3. It will definitely do more than 2 life time, but 3 might be hard to reach, so i will guess around 2.8 or so.



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Octopath restock at Yodobashi Camera sells out across all stores within 3 hours

https://gonintendo.com/stories/314141-octopath-traveler-news-stock-replenishment-sells-out-celebrity

Now, we know from Square that the restock was small, but still, there's clear demand for the title.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 21 July 2018

It's bizarre how the Switch is fast becoming a platform for Jrpgs when it's previous successors were known for not even coming close to the genre, the number of entries of the genre would hardly hit double digits.



Wyrdness said:

It's bizarre how the Switch is fast becoming a platform for Jrpgs when it's previous successors were known for not even coming close to the genre, the number of entries of the genre would hardly hit double digits.

The Switch is inheriting Nintendo's home and handheld market. The DS and 3DS are JRPG powerhouses. Th Switch is just continuing that trend. Nintendo's home consoles didn't get many JRPGs after the SNES because of budget and competition.  So the Switch being such a JRPG powerhouse it to be expected.  



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FW: 500,000 LT: 2-3 Million (depending on legs, it could be even more)



Right now I'm saying 2m - 3m, but I'd like to see a couple weeks of data to get a better guess.