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Predict lifetime sales of Octopath Traveler

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I think it will sell...

Less than 1 million 14 9.52%
 
1-2 million 79 53.74%
 
2-3 million 40 27.21%
 
Over 3 million 14 9.52%
 
Total:147

About 1.2 - 1.5 millions, because it already sold 110,000 in japan, and because there is a great market for nostálgic gamers and because its an exclusive game.



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Anyone predicting less than 1M at this point is a dofus. I predict around 2.5M.



Looking like a sure 1-2m seller at this point possibly even 3m this bolds well for upcoming titles like TWEWY.



Given the shortages of the physical version and the game's small file size, I expect it will have a stronger than average digital ratio; hopefully Square or Nintendo give some indication as to its sales numbers, cos VGC's physical only numbers may paint an unrealistically low impression.



I liked the demo. But I think 60 dollars is a lot for the game. I think it will sell 500k but if they cut the price to $30 over 1 million easy.



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I believe based off of the first week japan physical sales and the game taking over eshop charts world wide that at least a million sales is likely. I think it'll do about as good as Xenoblade 2 did. I love the game, and it seems to be getting a lot of praise on social media as well. Im hoping it does more and that Square Enix continues to give us exclusives like this.



Games are fun.

Gamer147 said:
I liked the demo. But I think 60 dollars is a lot for the game. I think it will sell 500k but if they cut the price to $30 over 1 million easy.

First week numbers are probably already over your prediction ...

And no, the game's value is well above 60$ for the content and the presentation it has. Seriously, why do people keep bringing that up ?



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It's at 120k for the first week from known numbers in the UK and Japan. A solid debut in both places despite physical software shortages. Now to see how it performs in North America and the rest of Europe (particularly France). Should easily be in that 1-2 million range at minimum.



It debuted about the same as Bravely Default in Japan, although digital sales may be higher. I think it'll do slightly better in the West, so I'd say somewhere in the 1.7 to 2 million range. Just downloaded it. Gonna play it tomorrow.



Gamer147 said:
I think it will sell 500k but if they cut the price to $30 over 1 million easy.

That seems a bit of a low ball considering it just had an opening week of 110k physical in Japan alone despite shortages.