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John Kodera: PS4 Is Entering The Final Stages Of Its Life-Cycle.

Forums - Sony Discussion - John Kodera: PS4 Is Entering The Final Stages Of Its Life-Cycle.

I think people are misconstruing what was said in regards to 2021, he never hinted that PS5 would release in 2021. What he told investors and analysts was that the period up until March 2021 would be a period where PlayStation would have to "crouch down once in order to grow in the future". What this suggests to me, is that PS5 will release in 2019 or 2020 in order to get a headstart on Xbox 4, but that they will sell it at a loss on release so that the specs will be closer to Xbox 4 when it releases and most likely sells at cost or at a small profit 1-2 years later. That selling at a loss early next gen in order to get a headstart on sales will be the "period of crouching down that grows Playstation in the future".

You don't say that PS4 is entering the final stage of it's life-cycle when the successor isn't planned to release for 3-3.5 years, you only say that if the successor is releasing within 2 years imo. The final stage of a console's life includes sales after the successor releases, and PS4 will sell for a further 2 years after PS5 releases. So the final stage of PS5's life is from 2018 to 2023? lmao

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 22 May 2018

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Also, he was talking to investors I believe, which means he would have been using financial dates, not calendar dates. Financial year 2021 goes from April 2020-March 2021, which means that even if he was hinting at PS5's release with that statement, PS5 would release Holiday 2020 most likely.



OdinHades said:
Whenever it will be released, I'm not buying at launch this time. I'll wait for the PS5 Pro right away. =P

That's the big problem with those upgrade consoles, a lesson Sega learned the hard way. After the 32X, players were wary about the Saturn being just another half step. However, when it became clear the Saturn was here to stay, it was already too late - Sony had gobbled up it's market share in the meantime.

For PS5/Xbox Next this means that the consoles will loose out some early customers because they are waiting for the upgraded version instead. This can lead to a slow start, and as a result, a slow transition from the 3rd party studios to the new consoles if the old ones are still selling somewhat decent



jardesonbarbosa said:



That's the part where PS5 is hinted to be coming until 2021.

 

I mean, I guess that's the part.

That basically announces PS5 for holiday season 2020, unless they want to follow Nintendos footsteps and release in March



Now? But it's still doing so well!



Some days I just blow up.

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Oh Mochizuki, You again.



Another interesting tidbit from that article is that PSVR is showing growth but at a slower rate than expected.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Looking at sales PS4 could easily survive an early XB2 launch, so fuck it why not. A PS5 releasing in 2021 would be almost twice as powerful as one released in 2019.



PS4 and PC gaming

 

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I guess I can already predict the PS5 launch to be somewhere during the 2020 holiday season or in March 2021 (Like Ninty did).

As for XB2, it's clear they'll want to do it earlier than the PS5 soooo ... I guess they'll do it during Holiday 2019 at the earliest.



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shikamaru317 said: 

You don't say that PS4 is entering the final stage of it's life-cycle when the successor isn't planned to release for 3-3.5 years, you only say that if the successor is releasing within 2 years imo. The final stage of a console's life includes sales after the successor releases, and PS4 will sell for a further 2 years after PS5 releases. So the final stage of PS5's life is from 2018 to 2023? lmao

Well i guess it depends on how the stages are set up, you could break it down like this:

FY14-launch stage

FY15/16-growth stage

FY17/18-peak stage

FY19 onward-decline stage



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.