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How High Will Avengers:IW Soar? (Currently @ ~$2.04B+)

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thismeintiel said:
Weekend estimates are in. IW made $6.84M, bringing its DBO total to $654.73M. It's WW total is now $1.998B, less than $2M from passing $2B. If we assume its DBO total ends at $665M, and the FBO percentage holds, IW will end its WW run with $2.03B.

Heh, it does look like it's going to cross that $2B line, but it's just going to barely cross over.  That's still an amazing milestone though.  No movie can ever complain about making $2B.



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The_Liquid_Laser said:
thismeintiel said:
Weekend estimates are in. IW made $6.84M, bringing its DBO total to $654.73M. It's WW total is now $1.998B, less than $2M from passing $2B. If we assume its DBO total ends at $665M, and the FBO percentage holds, IW will end its WW run with $2.03B.

Heh, it does look like it's going to cross that $2B line, but it's just going to barely cross over.  That's still an amazing milestone though.  No movie can ever complain about making $2B.

It will be interesting to see where it actually lands.  I used $665M because it will 100% hit that, but there is actually a good shot it ends at $670M-$680M.  I mean, it has yet to have a day under $1M.  That will probably happen this Mon, but if it's not that far below $1M, like $700K-$900K, it could.



thismeintiel said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Heh, it does look like it's going to cross that $2B line, but it's just going to barely cross over.  That's still an amazing milestone though.  No movie can ever complain about making $2B.

It will be interesting to see where it actually lands.  I used $665M because it will 100% hit that, but there is actually a good shot it ends at $670M-$680M.  I mean, it has yet to have a day under $1M.  That will probably happen this Mon, but if it's not that far below $1M, like $700K-$900K, it could.

Either way I think it is guaranteed #4 spot domestic.  I don't see it reaching Black Panther, but it is definitely going to pass TItanic.



The_Liquid_Laser said:
thismeintiel said:

It will be interesting to see where it actually lands.  I used $665M because it will 100% hit that, but there is actually a good shot it ends at $670M-$680M.  I mean, it has yet to have a day under $1M.  That will probably happen this Mon, but if it's not that far below $1M, like $700K-$900K, it could.

Either way I think it is guaranteed #4 spot domestic.  I don't see it reaching Black Panther, but it is definitely going to pass TItanic.

Yea, it's definitely taking #4.  Personally, I'm interested in seeing if it will leg it out enough to pass TFA WW, taking #3 for the WW chart.  It's just $70.2M shy of taking it.  I think it could have another $15M-$20M to make at the DBO.  But, that leaves ~$50M-$55M for the FBO.  IDK if the FBO can pull it off, but we will see.



Just a quick update. Actuals are in and they underestimated slightly. So, instead of IW being ~$2M away from $2B, it is a mere $528.2K from passing $2B. It should reach that with just Mon's DBO numbers in, though, we'll find out Tue.



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This is likely the peak for Marvel's films. Maybe A4 can match/slightly top this but there will probably be a levelling off/decline period afterwards. This is basically the culmination of 14 films of build up. 



2 Billion achieved. Hopefully it will manage to pass TFA, though it definately won't be easy.



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Mr.Playstation said:
2 Billion achieved. Hopefully it will manage to pass TFA, though it definately won't be easy.

Yep.  And the legs on this thing are still pretty good.  It still pulled in $900K+ on Mon from the DBO.  Looks like they actually decided to give numbers for Mon's FBO, too, as it is now $2M+ ahead of $2B.  Normally, this late in the game they start waiting til the end of the weekend to give the FBO totals from throughout the week.

As for passing TFA, it has $66.1M to go to do it.  I think it still has another $15M-$20M in it for the DBO.  That leaves $46.1M-$51.1M left for the FBO.  If the legs hold up, I think it can pull it off.



Avengers is currently at $664.2M at the DBO. If we assume it will end at $675M and the FBO percentage holds, it will end its WW run with $2.05B.

Currently, it is $48.2M away from passing TFA. If legs prove to be better than expected, it has a good shot as doing it.



Weekend estimates are in and IW now sits at $669.47M at the DBO. I think it's a pretty safe bet that IW hits at least ~$680M for its final DBO tally. If this happens, and the FBO percentage holds, IW will end its WW run with $2.06B.

Currently, IW is just $37.5M away from passing TFA for #3 for All Time WW BOs. I think DBO has at least another ~$10M in it, maybe more. That leaves ~$27.5M left for the FBO to make up for.

Last edited by thismeintiel - on 24 June 2018