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may 2019 : NS outsells N64

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I think it will happen either in December even on a pessimistic point of view. It should be around 40m by May.



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I actually go with okt for outselling gc may- okt 5 million puts it at 21.7
Nov dec 7m puts it at 28.7
Jan may 5m 33.7
So n64 gets outsold early may



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December 18.



zorg1000 said:
CaptainExplosion said:
It's a nice thought, but I don't see that happening unless they keep giving us games like Breath of The Wild or Super Mario Odyssey.

You do realize they are forcasting ~38 million shipped by  the end of March, right?

Yes, but they'll need some majorly popular games to get there.

jonathanalis said:
December 18.

Why? Is there a game you anticipate coming that day?



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CaptainExplosion said:
zorg1000 said:

You do realize they are forcasting ~38 million shipped by  the end of March, right?

Yes, but they'll need some majorly popular games to get there.


Yes, that is obvious. Care to explain why you think they wont have major releases between now and March?



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kirby007 said:
I actually go with okt for outselling gc may- okt 5 million puts it at 21.7
Nov dec 7m puts it at 28.7
Jan may 5m 33.7
So n64 gets outsold early may

Not sure but didn't the Switch do better than that last year already without any Black Friday deal? With Smash and a Black Friday deal it should be able to do 9M, and we don't even know yet what else will come out around that time for the Switch.



kirby007 said:
I actually go with okt for outselling gc may- okt 5 million puts it at 21.7
Nov dec 7m puts it at 28.7
Jan may 5m 33.7
So n64 gets outsold early may

But why?

-January-March quarter Nintendo sold 3m units with weak lineup, in April-June quarter Switch lineup is far stronger so they will again ship at least 3m, so with that case they need just around 1m in July in order to Switch sold out GC, not October.

Nintendo will easily have stronger calendar Q2, Q3 and Q4 than it did last year, last year Nintendo had huge stock problems and didnt had even bundles for same price point.



Miyamotoo said:
kirby007 said:
I actually go with okt for outselling gc may- okt 5 million puts it at 21.7
Nov dec 7m puts it at 28.7
Jan may 5m 33.7
So n64 gets outsold early may

But why?

-January-March quarter Nintendo sold 3m units with weak lineup, in April-June quarter Switch lineup is far stronger so they will again ship at least 3m, so with that case they need just around 1m in July in order to Switch sold out GC, not October.

Nintendo will easily have stronger calendar Q2, Q3 and Q4 than it did last year, last year Nintendo had huge stock problems and didnt had even bundles for same price point.

And with Captain Toad, Octopath Traveller, Crash Bandicoot N.Sane Trilogy, Shining Resonance Refrain and 2 Movie Tie-in games within one week, it's basically guaranteed there will be at least 1M sales in July



poor N64 :(
Loved that console. Such a shame it sold so badly.



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In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!


jonathanalis said:
December 18.

Why? Is there a game you anticipate coming that day?

To predict 20 million in 2018 fiscal year, Nintendo might have planned great things. I dont need to antecipate exactly what these great things are, but by nintendo forecast, they exist.

But even if Nintendo forecast is too optimistic (what I think it is, Id bet in 18 million) I would put switch above N64 in december. Nintendo wont sell 5 million on Q4 2018 (might sell between 3 and 4 million), so ending with 2018 fiscal year anywhere between 35 and 38 million would make the 32 million mark to be crossed in Q3 ending (december).