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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo Quarterly Results, Hardware + Software

Bofferbrauer2 on 29 April 2018
Ulternia said:
It’s crazy to think of how many 10M-sellers the Switch will have. Odyssey is already there, MK8D will hit the mark this fiscal year and BOTW will hit the mark next fiscal year. On top of that, Pokemon will hit the mark (probably twice) as well as Animal Crossing, 2D MARIO, Super Smash Bros. and so many more. I could see the console’s top 10 best-sellers all above 10M if Nintendo really supports the console for 6+ years.

Just had a quick look at the Game Database here, and there only 6 PS4 games sold above 10M, with 2 being Fifa and 2 being CoD. The other 2 are GTA 5 and Uncharted 4, which just made it (10.00M, and still marked as Uncharted (PS4) on the chart)

While probably a couple more made it, PS4 also has 5 times the Userbase and had 4 times as long to get there compared to the Switch, all while the Switch already has 3 games about to  make that jump.



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killeryoshis on 29 April 2018

I think 20+ million is possible for Smash if all is done correctly.



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LipeJJ on 29 April 2018
Ulternia said:
It’s crazy to think of how many 10M-sellers the Switch will have. Odyssey is already there, MK8D will hit the mark this fiscal year and BOTW will hit the mark next fiscal year. On top of that, Pokemon will hit the mark (probably twice) as well as Animal Crossing, 2D MARIO, Super Smash Bros. and so many more. I could see the console’s top 10 best-sellers all above 10M if Nintendo really supports the console for 6+ years.

I agree. Just a small correction: MK8D will reach 10m next quarter and BotW will hit it by September in the worst case (it shipped 1.8m this quarter, only needs 1.5m more to reach 10m).



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

tbone51 on 29 April 2018
killeryoshis said:
I think 20+ million is possible for Smash if all is done correctly.

If it gets anywhere near 15mil by years end (ship+digital) you can count on a possible 30mil (if switch gets close to 100mil lifetime)

 

Thats insane lol



curl-6 on 29 April 2018
Ulternia said:
It’s crazy to think of how many 10M-sellers the Switch will have. Odyssey is already there, MK8D will hit the mark this fiscal year and BOTW will hit the mark next fiscal year. On top of that, Pokemon will hit the mark (probably twice) as well as Animal Crossing, 2D MARIO, Super Smash Bros. and so many more. I could see the console’s top 10 best-sellers all above 10M if Nintendo really supports the console for 6+ years.

The Wii had 10 games that sold above 10 million; given its insane software sales thus far, I think Switch has a pretty good chance of beating that.

Odyssey is already there, MK8 and BOTW are a lock, Splatoon 2 very likely as well, then there's Smash, Animal Crossing, 2D Mario, Pokemon...



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DreadPirateRoberts on 02 May 2018
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Ulternia said:
It’s crazy to think of how many 10M-sellers the Switch will have. Odyssey is already there, MK8D will hit the mark this fiscal year and BOTW will hit the mark next fiscal year. On top of that, Pokemon will hit the mark (probably twice) as well as Animal Crossing, 2D MARIO, Super Smash Bros. and so many more. I could see the console’s top 10 best-sellers all above 10M if Nintendo really supports the console for 6+ years.

Just had a quick look at the Game Database here, and there only 6 PS4 games sold above 10M, with 2 being Fifa and 2 being CoD. The other 2 are GTA 5 and Uncharted 4, which just made it (10.00M, and still marked as Uncharted (PS4) on the chart)

While probably a couple more made it, PS4 also has 5 times the Userbase and had 4 times as long to get there compared to the Switch, all while the Switch already has 3 games about to  make that jump.

It also has a lot of games that are multiplatform, with XBox eating some sales.   And, while it's not a 10 million seller, given how badly vgc is undertracking games like Horizon Zero Dawn, you have to wonder how many games are at or near PS4 only totals that high, but not tracked properly.