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Forums - Sony Discussion - Will PS4 reach 80 million before E3?

zorg1000 said:
Intrinsic said:

Even without GOW and detroit, its averaging at worst around 250k/week.

If VGC is to be believed, it has been trending downward every week since week 4 so i dont think without GOW it would maintain a 250k weekly average this spring.

 

With that said, GOW is coming and will def cause a boost so it certainly could reach that number.

Technically (and what I do all the time with things like these) I am low balling it. By a lot.

If we are to be being specific; its actually averaging around 300k/week (304K/week to be exact). If looking at the total 2018 sales divided by the number of weeks. So when i said 250k (at worst) that was me lowballing it and dropping that average down to 250k to account for those weeks where it would do less than 250k and those weeks it would do more.....

Further more, if after almost 10 weeks of a downward trend its still sitting at an over 300k/week 2018 average, I think that just confimrs this theory of it hitting 80M before E3 (which is another 10 weeks) especially when you consider as you have pointed out... GOW is coming.

Though I don't see it giving it that much of a boost being that the only bundles (unless I am mistaken) for the game are of the PS4pro.

Oh, and as you again mentioned.... if VGC is to be believed...... Funny thing about that though is that it goes both ways, VGC can also be undertracking it and right now the PS4 could very well be over 78M. Then again, the PS4 could also be at 77M flat.



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UltimateGamer1982 said:
I would love Sony to go ahead and permanently lower the price to $199 just to see what sort of growth it would have for the rest of the year. $299 for a 4 1/2 year old console seems a bit high.

As much as I would love to see this, it's almost guaranteed to have supply constraints at that price year round. Just like Black Friday week.



UltimateGamer1982 said:
I would love Sony to go ahead and permanently lower the price to $199 just to see what sort of growth it would have for the rest of the year. $299 for a 4 1/2 year old console seems a bit high.

Oops. Double post



Intrinsic said:
zorg1000 said:

If VGC is to be believed, it has been trending downward every week since week 4 so i dont think without GOW it would maintain a 250k weekly average this spring.

 

With that said, GOW is coming and will def cause a boost so it certainly could reach that number.

Technically (and what I do all the time with things like these) I am low balling it. By a lot.

If we are to be being specific; its actually averaging around 300k/week (304K/week to be exact). If looking at the total 2018 sales divided by the number of weeks. So when i said 250k (at worst) that was me lowballing it and dropping that average down to 250k to account for those weeks where it would do less than 250k and those weeks it would do more.....

Further more, if after almost 10 weeks of a downward trend its still sitting at an over 300k/week 2018 average, I think that just confimrs this theory of it hitting 80M before E3 (which is another 10 weeks) especially when you consider as you have pointed out... GOW is coming.

Though I don't see it giving it that much of a boost being that the only bundles (unless I am mistaken) for the game are of the PS4pro.

Oh, and as you again mentioned.... if VGC is to be believed...... Funny thing about that though is that it goes both ways, VGC can also be undertracking it and right now the PS4 could very well be over 78M. Then again, the PS4 could also be at 77M flat.

Its weekly/avg in Jan-March doesnt really matter when talking about April-early June sales though.

It needs to maintain a weekly average of 250k from now to E3 and since sales have been slowly dropping for the last 9 or 10 weeks to the point where they are sub-250k in the latest week than i dont think it would maintain that level without the upcoming GOW boost.

 

But yeah, VGC could certainly be off in either direction so who knows if this discussion is even relevant.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Going to need about 267,000 from being here on out to reach 80 million. It's below that now but could get a huge boost the week of 420 and to a lesser extent Detroit Become Human. I'd like to see Detroit Become Human become just as important but I'm not feeling that same vibe as God of War or Spider-Man. But will see I guess. Hope it gets at least 500k first week.



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pitzy272 said:
SnakeDrake said:
Kind of on topic but recently gotten hard to find a PS4 silm most stores here have it out of stock and they don't know when will the next shipping be. Any news on low PS4 silm stocks?

What stores and where are you from?

Hong Kong, shops that only sells video games :/ 

 

Asked before I'm mainly looking for one as a gift for a friend.



 

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It'll be close but I think it can just make it depending on how many consoles God of War helps move.



So VGC has ps4 at 79,498,732 as of May 26th. Meaning with 16 days left till the PlayStation e3 conference it would need another 501k.Using the latest week as an average, 224k divided by 7 is 32k per day, meaning the PS4 would sell 512k over the next 16 days based on this number, exceeding 80m.

Basically It's probably going to be so close to 80m it may as well be a yes (79.95m - 80.05m).



Days of play sale started on the 8th so a few days of their sale to help boost numbers just before E3 conference.



if it does or doesn't, i bet it is mentioned in the presentation.