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Forums - Sales Discussion - Amazon U.S. April bestsellers and general Amazon-based discussion

SWORDF1SH on 21 April 2018
zorg1000 said:
SWORDF1SH said:

So I am missing something. I thought the conversation came from combining 3DS and Wii sales of a game and using that number to predict Switch sales for a sequel of that game.

I was only following the conversation loosely so probably interpreted it wrong. 

Yes thats what we were talking about so how does your last post relate to that?

I think you understand what I'm saying then. What you probably want to discuss is if we should combine Wii and 3DS sales of a franchise to predict Switch sales  of that franchise because Switch is portable and also a home console.

I think we should to a certain degree but not as straightforward as A + B = C but something along the lines of A + (B*x%) = C to  factor in that a good percentage of people that are a fan of that franchise probably double dipped and bought both Wii and 3DS versions. 

That's not to say that there will not be any growth for the franchise on Switch but that could be other factors coming in to play.



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Oneeee-Chan!!! on 21 April 2018

They are neck and neck.



Kerotan on 21 April 2018

God of war back in stock in Japan and it retakes top spot from labo.

Still out of stock on amazon USA. Digital sales on psn must be huge and Sony won't be too upset with that because digital sale equals more profit.



Kerotan on 21 April 2018
Mar1217 said:
Kerotan said:
God of war back in stock in Japan and it retakes top spot from labo.

Still out of stock on amazon USA. Digital sales on psn must be huge and Sony won't be too upset with that because digital sale equals more profit.

Sometimes I wonder if the publishers are understocking physical copies of their games just to force people's hand into buying the game digitally. I mean, their goal is to make the most profit so that's definitely a possibility.

Yeah like it clearly paid off for capcom getting insane digital sales of monster Hunter. Who knows 



zorg1000 on 21 April 2018
SWORDF1SH said:
zorg1000 said:

Yes thats what we were talking about so how does your last post relate to that?

I think you understand what I'm saying then. What you probably want to discuss is if we should combine Wii and 3DS sales of a franchise to predict Switch sales  of that franchise because Switch is portable and also a home console.

I think we should to a certain degree but not as straightforward as A + B = C but something along the lines of A + (B*x%) = C to  factor in that a good percentage of people that are a fan of that franchise probably double dipped and bought both Wii and 3DS versions. 

That's not to say that there will not be any growth for the franchise on Switch but that could be other factors coming in to play.

Thats essentially what i was saying earlier



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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Nuvendil on 21 April 2018
Mar1217 said:
Kerotan said:
God of war back in stock in Japan and it retakes top spot from labo.

Still out of stock on amazon USA. Digital sales on psn must be huge and Sony won't be too upset with that because digital sale equals more profit.

Sometimes I wonder if the publishers are understocking physical copies of their games just to force people's hand into buying the game digitally. I mean, their goal is to make the most profit so that's definitely a possibility.

Given i just came from a Gamestop that had a literal pile of GoW copies behind the counter, I doubt that.

It more seems like Amazon's market share has grown but they cannot be bothered to improve their supply chain.



nero on 22 April 2018



zippy on 22 April 2018
CosmicSex said:
zippy said:
Looks like Labo might get off to a good start.

What kind of sales are people expecting?

Hard to say really. It's one of those things that could explode or completey bomb so opinion is split. I think it will do solid numbers, kinda like 1-2 Switch has sold well but not a phenomenon like Wii Sports was.



duduspace1 on 22 April 2018
zippy said:
CosmicSex said:

What kind of sales are people expecting?

Hard to say really. It's one of those things that could explode or completey bomb so opinion is split. I think it will do solid numbers, kinda like 1-2 Switch has sold well but not a phenomenon like Wii Sports was.

I think we can take the phrase 'completely bombing' out of the picture with what the charts are presently indicating. Its the level of success that might be hard to predict but one can say with almost near certainty at this point that Labo will top 1-2 switch, will likely even do so first week (with both SKUs combined).

Its level of success definitely remains uncertain, but completely bombing ? No way.

Last edited by duduspace1 - on 22 April 2018

SWORDF1SH on 22 April 2018
zorg1000 said:
SWORDF1SH said:

I think you understand what I'm saying then. What you probably want to discuss is if we should combine Wii and 3DS sales of a franchise to predict Switch sales  of that franchise because Switch is portable and also a home console.

I think we should to a certain degree but not as straightforward as A + B = C but something along the lines of A + (B*x%) = C to  factor in that a good percentage of people that are a fan of that franchise probably double dipped and bought both Wii and 3DS versions. 

That's not to say that there will not be any growth for the franchise on Switch but that could be other factors coming in to play.

Thats essentially what i was saying earlier

This is why I asked "have I missed something?"

Sounds like we are on the same lines then.

 

To add, I feel that Switch has almost Wii-level amount of success but also a more condensed hardcore fanbase than the Wii which will drive most the franchises to new heights in sales. It's a promising time for Nintendo IPs.