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Prediction League Thread - Predict LTD sales end of 2018 and win actual money

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Mnementh said:
Wow, I actually won a place in the overall table? Wow!

@Marth: I think the first table after overall is win% not winnings.

@kirby007: I can't bet 5000 as I only have an overall wealth of 3900VG$. And usually there are three rounds open. In the past I had already to calculate pretty strongly to make my bets and hope that the payout of an older round happens before the one running was closing, to get some decent bets in.

with time you will get enough to do that and frankly its just % wise best to bet big on things you are most sure on.

lets take last round as example

 

with that additional 3k in bet amount marth made an extra 700vg$ which does sound as ALOT but its less effective as ROI,

IMO ideally you would want to spread those 3900vg$ over the best money makers in multiple rounds

as it turns out in this round betting big on the SWITCH rewards little due to the average being so high, so if you feel that an average is very close to what you expect dont put much money in it and see if a next round has a better opportunity. The thing is Marth has so much vg$ due to his database work it doesnt matter for him where to put money on, which is why i suspect his winning% is lower because he isn't picky what he bets his money on



 "I think people should define the word crap"

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Mnementh said:
Wow, I actually won a place in the overall table? Wow!

Marth: I think the first table after overall is win% not winnings.

Thanks! I fixed that.

kirby007 said:
Mnementh said:

with time you will get enough to do that and frankly its just % wise best to bet big on things you are most sure on.

lets take last round as example

with that additional 3k in bet amount marth made an extra 700vg$ which does sound as ALOT but its less effective as ROI,

IMO ideally you would want to spread those 3900vg$ over the best money makers in multiple rounds

as it turns out in this round betting big on the SWITCH rewards little due to the average being so high, so if you feel that an average is very close to what you expect dont put much money in it and see if a next round has a better opportunity. The thing is Marth has so much vg$ due to his database work it doesnt matter for him where to put money on, which is why i suspect his winning% is lower because he isn't picky what he bets his money on

I'm just abusing the good old strat of throwing more money at the problem :D

I have over 40k so I can do multiple 5k rounds easily and dont really care if I lose some ^^
Although if Software comes into play than my money probably wont be enough and i will have to split in some way.



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I forgot to add i generally make a prediction the moment i put up a round to set a benchmark. But then each wednesday (day before a round closes) i readjust it if needed and see where its wise to but a big bet on

 "I think people should define the word crap"

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Two rounds are actually open right now will add the next one asap

 "I think people should define the word crap"

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

added the first round in which you can also predict on software, madden NFL 19 for the XBO and PS4

as i mentioned there LONGER PAYOUT TIME



 "I think people should define the word crap"

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kirby007 said:

added the first round in which you can also predict on software, madden NFL 19 for the XBO and PS4

as i mentioned there LONGER PAYOUT TIME

Ahem, a question about the region. Is this North America (as would be in the hardware chart) or USA (as would be in the chart including software). I assume the second, but I wanna make sure.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

Why you will not convince me I have chosen bad consoles. / awesome Miiverse art / my greatest games list

Bet with platformmaster918 and ethomaz about PS3 overtaking Wii in total sales.

Predictions: Switch / Switch / Switch / MHWorld / GOW > BOTW / Switch vs. XB1 in the US

Mnementh said:
kirby007 said:

added the first round in which you can also predict on software, madden NFL 19 for the XBO and PS4

as i mentioned there LONGER PAYOUT TIME

Ahem, a question about the region. Is this North America (as would be in the hardware chart) or USA (as would be in the chart including software). I assume the second, but I wanna make sure.

Aye USA only



 "I think people should define the word crap"

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

kirby007 said:
Mnementh said:

Ahem, a question about the region. Is this North America (as would be in the hardware chart) or USA (as would be in the chart including software). I assume the second, but I wanna make sure.

Aye USA only

Tanks. Gonna refine my prediction later, as I see what the others predict wrong.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

Why you will not convince me I have chosen bad consoles. / awesome Miiverse art / my greatest games list

Bet with platformmaster918 and ethomaz about PS3 overtaking Wii in total sales.

Predictions: Switch / Switch / Switch / MHWorld / GOW > BOTW / Switch vs. XB1 in the US

I really want to enter more rounds but my newest job running a campaign has me so busy. I also don't want to throw haphazard predictions up. I think I take this way too seriously.

 

My Real Redneck friends


added a new round and made my personal biggest bet in the software round!

 "I think people should define the word crap"

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions