Prediction League Thread

kirby007

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kirby007 on 24 April 2018

As you can see the complete results for round one, i sorted on winnings, but on the PL page you can also sort on winningsratio and accuracy!

EDIT SORTING ON WINNINGSRATIO

User	Bet	Accuracy	Winnings	WinPercent
Carl	vg$580	78.30%	vg$282	49%
ironmanDX	vg$195	85.25%	vg$81	42%
cycycychris	vg$390	82.65%	vg$160	41%
derpysquirtle64	vg$305	87.07%	vg$125	41%
kirby007	vg$1,550	80.41%	vg$587	38%
Welfare	vg$175	81.94%	vg$65	37%
Aka-Gami	vg$500	92.91%	vg$182	36%
Machina	vg$1,600	86.36%	vg$579	36%
Ka-pi96	vg$725	81.71%	vg$249	34%
PDF	vg$3,430	82.30%	vg$1,049	31%
melbye	vg$125	87.17%	vg$38	30%
RedKingXIII	vg$110	83.40%	vg$33	30%
Marth	vg$2,500	85.48%	vg$708	28%
zygote	vg$25	86.31%	vg$7	28%
VGPolyglot	vg$1,800	76.51%	vg$489	27%
TalonMan	vg$225	85.16%	vg$61	27%
AngryLittleAlchemist	vg$50	83.95%	vg$13	26%
palou	vg$50	82.49%	vg$13	26%
setsunatenshi	vg$105	77.66%	vg$27	26%
fory77	vg$500	83.10%	vg$128	26%
AnmolRed	vg$55	82.04%	vg$14	25%
Dark_Lord_2008	vg$230	74.61%	vg$58	25%
Mnementh	vg$50	81.02%	vg$12	24%
EmotionalMongoose	vg$50	82.27%	vg$12	24%
hoerenkind	vg$50	82.01%	vg$12	24%
PSintend0	vg$30	83.16%	vg$7	23%
morenoingrato	vg$130	77.98%	vg$29	22%
Stuart23	vg$145	83.33%	vg$32	22%
theDX	vg$100	78.24%	vg$22	22%
ryuzaki57	vg$150	79.15%	vg$31	21%
ninjapirate42	vg$25	79.20%	vg$5	20%
Bofferbrauer2	vg$25	78.50%	vg$5	20%
S.Peelman	vg$25	78.54%	vg$5	20%
hiccupthehuman	vg$25	79.70%	vg$5	20%
Slarvax	vg$750	76.92%	vg$127	17%
LinkDaHero	vg$500	74.98%	vg$84	17%
RodrigoCard	vg$25	76.11%	vg$5	16%
WoodenPints	vg$500	74.37%	vg$80	16%
Mr.Playstation	vg$140	73.97%	vg$21	15%
forest-spirit	vg$55	72.28%	vg$8	15%
Ucouldntbemorewrong	vg$550	72.50%	vg$69	13%
Kerotan	vg$80	77.05%	vg$10	13%
AntonTeiosanu	vg$420	74.13%	vg$51	12%
Luke888	vg$25	71.09%	vg$3	12%
KingoftheBRUCE	vg$25	69.60%	vg$3	12%
Thaddaeus02	vg$25	70.33%	vg$3	12%
JSG87	vg$50	67.63%	vg$5	10%
jason1637	vg$180	61.89%	vg$18	10%
Harkins1721	vg$30	66.79%	vg$2	7%
dravenmanson	vg$1,230	60.06%	vg$74	6%
NeverEndingStory	vg$995	64.89%	vg$26	3%
ABizzel1	vg$250	58.81%	vg$-3	-1%
Marach	vg$50	57.15%	vg$-1	-2%
Darwinianevolution	vg$250	51.97%	vg$-21	-8%
xytherion	vg$25	39.96%	vg$-5	-20%
fedfed	vg$25	0.00%	vg$-16	-64%

SORTED ON ACCURACY

User	Bet	Accuracy	Winnings	WinPercent
Aka-Gami	vg$500	92.91%	vg$182	36%
melbye	vg$125	87.17%	vg$38	30%
derpysquirtle64	vg$305	87.07%	vg$125	41%
Machina	vg$1,600	86.36%	vg$579	36%
zygote	vg$25	86.31%	vg$7	28%
Marth	vg$2,500	85.48%	vg$708	28%
ironmanDX	vg$195	85.25%	vg$81	42%
TalonMan	vg$225	85.16%	vg$61	27%
AngryLittleAlchemist	vg$50	83.95%	vg$13	26%
RedKingXIII	vg$110	83.40%	vg$33	30%
Stuart23	vg$145	83.33%	vg$32	22%
PSintend0	vg$30	83.16%	vg$7	23%
fory77	vg$500	83.10%	vg$128	26%
cycycychris	vg$390	82.65%	vg$160	41%
palou	vg$50	82.49%	vg$13	26%
PDF	vg$3,430	82.30%	vg$1,049	31%
EmotionalMongoose	vg$50	82.27%	vg$12	24%
AnmolRed	vg$55	82.04%	vg$14	25%
hoerenkind	vg$50	82.01%	vg$12	24%
Welfare	vg$175	81.94%	vg$65	37%
Ka-pi96	vg$725	81.71%	vg$249	34%
Mnementh	vg$50	81.02%	vg$12	24%
kirby007	vg$1,550	80.41%	vg$587	38%
hiccupthehuman	vg$25	79.70%	vg$5	20%
ninjapirate42	vg$25	79.20%	vg$5	20%
ryuzaki57	vg$150	79.15%	vg$31	21%
S.Peelman	vg$25	78.54%	vg$5	20%
Bofferbrauer2	vg$25	78.50%	vg$5	20%
Carl	vg$580	78.30%	vg$282	49%
theDX	vg$100	78.24%	vg$22	22%
morenoingrato	vg$130	77.98%	vg$29	22%
setsunatenshi	vg$105	77.66%	vg$27	26%
Kerotan	vg$80	77.05%	vg$10	13%
Slarvax	vg$750	76.92%	vg$127	17%
VGPolyglot	vg$1,800	76.51%	vg$489	27%
RodrigoCard	vg$25	76.11%	vg$5	16%
LinkDaHero	vg$500	74.98%	vg$84	17%
Dark_Lord_2008	vg$230	74.61%	vg$58	25%
WoodenPints	vg$500	74.37%	vg$80	16%
AntonTeiosanu	vg$420	74.13%	vg$51	12%
Mr.Playstation	vg$140	73.97%	vg$21	15%
Ucouldntbemorewrong	vg$550	72.50%	vg$69	13%
forest-spirit	vg$55	72.28%	vg$8	15%
Luke888	vg$25	71.09%	vg$3	12%
Thaddaeus02	vg$25	70.33%	vg$3	12%
KingoftheBRUCE	vg$25	69.60%	vg$3	12%
JSG87	vg$50	67.63%	vg$5	10%
Harkins1721	vg$30	66.79%	vg$2	7%
NeverEndingStory	vg$995	64.89%	vg$26	3%
jason1637	vg$180	61.89%	vg$18	10%
dravenmanson	vg$1,230	60.06%	vg$74	6%
ABizzel1	vg$250	58.81%	vg$-3	-1%
Marach	vg$50	57.15%	vg$-1	-2%
Darwinianevolution	vg$250	51.97%	vg$-21	-8%
xytherion	vg$25	39.96%	vg$-5	-20%
fedfed	vg$25	0.00%	vg$-16	-64%

Last edited by kirby007 - on 24 April 2018

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kirby007

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kirby007 on 24 April 2018

@barkley could you fill in anything normal by the way? i put it on zero for now to not get this crazy average

yes I like winningratio aswell generally a good round only 5 people in the red, being a slower week then anticipated didnt effect that to much

EDIT:

Weekly Worldwide Chart, 14th April 2018

Item	Average	Bets	Actual	Accuracy
	293,273	vg$ 5,680	208,953	59.65%
	124,314	vg$ 4,460	101,839	77.93%
	234,534	vg$ 3,710	192,964	78.46%
	53,259	vg$ 2,575	52,129	97.83%
	6,304	vg$ 5,785	3,715	30.31%

so the end results for the averages

the that drop of +- 1000 psv units butchered our general accuracy for it and we overestimated the PS4 by quite a margin.

one and switch both within 25% and the 3DS even within 3% AMAZING

Last edited by kirby007 - on 24 April 2018

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kirby007

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kirby007 on 24 April 2018

PDF said:
People did well. I always saw winning ratio as the best determinant of how you did. I placed 10th in that category.

carl with almost 50% WTF placed first

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kirby007

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kirby007 on 24 April 2018

And now even easier to count with a proper number ranking xD

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

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WoodenPints on 24 April 2018

Nice! I overestimated everything but banked a small winning this round, Hopefully I'm more accurate in the upcoming USA week :D

kirby007

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kirby007 on 24 April 2018

Oh one more thing regarding payouts
Example
Aka-gami bet 500 and won 182 that means he will recieve 682 as payout
Darwin bet 250 and lost 21 that means he will recieve 229 as payout

Edit @talonman feared that wasnt obvious

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kirby007

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kirby007 on 25 April 2018

Ka-pi96 said:
#7 on winnings and #9 on win percent, not bad for my first time

Very good! Sounds like you saw where the profits lay

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

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Darwinianevolution on 25 April 2018

kirby007 said:

User	Bet	Accuracy	Winnings	WinPercent
PDF	vg$3,430	82.30%	vg$1,049	31%
Marth	vg$2,500	85.48%	vg$708	28%
kirby007	vg$1,550	80.41%	vg$587	38%
Machina	vg$1,600	86.36%	vg$579	36%
VGPolyglot	vg$1,800	76.51%	vg$489	27%
Carl	vg$580	78.30%	vg$282	49%
Ka-pi96	vg$725	81.71%	vg$249	34%
Aka-Gami	vg$500	92.91%	vg$182	36%
cycycychris	vg$390	82.65%	vg$160	41%
fory77	vg$500	83.10%	vg$128	26%
Slarvax	vg$750	76.92%	vg$127	17%
derpysquirtle64	vg$305	87.07%	vg$125	41%
LinkDaHero	vg$500	74.98%	vg$84	17%
ironmanDX	vg$195	85.25%	vg$81	42%
WoodenPints	vg$500	74.37%	vg$80	16%
dravenmanson	vg$1,230	60.06%	vg$74	6%
Ucouldntbemorewrong	vg$550	72.50%	vg$69	13%
Welfare	vg$175	81.94%	vg$65	37%
TalonMan	vg$225	85.16%	vg$61	27%
Dark_Lord_2008	vg$230	74.61%	vg$58	25%
AntonTeiosanu	vg$420	74.13%	vg$51	12%
melbye	vg$125	87.17%	vg$38	30%
RedKingXIII	vg$110	83.40%	vg$33	30%
Stuart23	vg$145	83.33%	vg$32	22%
ryuzaki57	vg$150	79.15%	vg$31	21%
morenoingrato	vg$130	77.98%	vg$29	22%
setsunatenshi	vg$105	77.66%	vg$27	26%
NeverEndingStory	vg$995	64.89%	vg$26	3%
theDX	vg$100	78.24%	vg$22	22%
Mr.Playstation	vg$140	73.97%	vg$21	15%
jason1637	vg$180	61.89%	vg$18	10%
AnmolRed	vg$55	82.04%	vg$14	25%
AngryLittleAlchemist	vg$50	83.95%	vg$13	26%
palou	vg$50	82.49%	vg$13	26%
EmotionalMongoose	vg$50	82.27%	vg$12	24%
hoerenkind	vg$50	82.01%	vg$12	24%
Mnementh	vg$50	81.02%	vg$12	24%
Kerotan	vg$80	77.05%	vg$10	13%
forest-spirit	vg$55	72.28%	vg$8	15%
zygote	vg$25	86.31%	vg$7	28%
PSintend0	vg$30	83.16%	vg$7	23%
hiccupthehuman	vg$25	79.70%	vg$5	20%
JSG87	vg$50	67.63%	vg$5	10%
ninjapirate42	vg$25	79.20%	vg$5	20%
S.Peelman	vg$25	78.54%	vg$5	20%
Bofferbrauer2	vg$25	78.50%	vg$5	20%
RodrigoCard	vg$25	76.11%	vg$5	16%
Luke888	vg$25	71.09%	vg$3	12%
Thaddaeus02	vg$25	70.33%	vg$3	12%
KingoftheBRUCE	vg$25	69.60%	vg$3	12%
Harkins1721	vg$30	66.79%	vg$2	7%
Marach	vg$50	57.15%	vg$-1	-2%
ABizzel1	vg$250	58.81%	vg$-3	-1%
xytherion	vg$25	39.96%	vg$-5	-20%
fedfed	vg$25	0.00%	vg$-16	-64%
Darwinianevolution	vg$250	51.97%	vg$-21	-8%

Dammit, first time I bet and I end last place. XD

You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

kirby007

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kirby007 on 25 April 2018

@darwinianevolution you got to see it this way it can only get better from now on.

Plus looking back if this week didnt drop so immensly conpared to the previous few weeks you would have made some winnings, your predictions were just a bit on the high side.

But you lost only 21 vg $ that can easily be won again in a new round

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kirby007

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kirby007 on 25 April 2018

Round 3 will close for entry in +- 24 hours

"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

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Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

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