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Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD, PS4 2015 vs NSW 2018 (December added)

 

Who wins?

PS4 66 40.24%
 
NSW 84 51.22%
 
Tie 14 8.54%
 
Total:164
Bofferbrauer2 on 17 August 2018
zorg1000 said:

I just thought it would be fun to compare the 2nd year of these two outstanding consoles.

 

Month Sony Playstation 4 Nintendo Switch Accumulative  Difference
January* 190k, Dying Light 270k +80k Switch
February 340k, Evolve, The Order, Xenoverse 280k, Bayonetta 2 +20k Switch
March 330k, Battlefield, Bloodborne, MLB, FF Type-0 310k, Kirby: Star Allies Even
April 175k, Mortal Kombat X 170k, Labo Variety, Tropical Freeze +5k PS4
May 155k, Witcher 3 165k, Hyrule Warriors DX +5k NSW
June 370k, Arkham Knight, Elder Scrolls Online 325k, Mario Tennis Aces, N. Sane Trilogy +40k PS4
July 220k, PGA 2016 265k, Octopath Traveler +5k NSW
August 210k, Madden, Until Dawn    
September 355k, Metal Gear Solid, NBA, FIFA, Mad Max, Taken King    
October 275k, Assassin's Creed, WWE, Uncharted Collection, $50 price cut    
November 1540k, Call of Duty, Fallout, Battlefront, Need For Speed, $50 discount Black Friday    
December 1580k, Rainbow Six, $50 discount for 2 weeks    
Total 5740k    

January*-4 week vs 5 week

Major releases are new games that charted in their debut month.

Seeing that chart, it looks to me that Switch will probably win August, but probably loose September by a similar amount.

October should be a clear win for the Switch, considering just how much is releasing that month for the Switch

November is a toss-up right now, as we don't know yet what Nintendo plans for the month. But Pokémon Go is already a good start imo.

December should be for the Switch with Smash, even moreso since the PS4 barely improved sales over November that year.


quickrick said: 

Naw switch is gonna start losing steam, especially with weak release schedule. 

Doesn't look like it to me

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 17 August 2018

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

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duduspace1 on 17 August 2018
quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:

June should be a solid win for PS4 but July & August could go either way.

Naw switch is gonna start losing steam, especially with weak release schedule. 

Foot in mouth affliction once again. Still digging that cliff ?



zorg1000 on 17 August 2018
CosmicSex said:
JWeinCom said:

In that case, I retract my statement.

An even more interesting comparison is the current one because you are talking about a system's 2nd year vs a system's 5th year.  Is Switch expected to sell 20 million this year?  If that is the case it should beat the PS4 this year, but it is still too close to call without Pokemon and Smash numbers.

Both are valid comparisons. Here are the YTD numbers for 2018.

PS4-2.09 million

NSW-1.78 million

XBO-1.53 million

Last edited by zorg1000 - on 17 August 2018

When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Amnesia on 17 August 2018
zorg1000 said:
Amnesia said:
I am sorry to ask such a thing but....What does mean the title and what does mean the numbers of the first page ? units sold worlwide ? or just North America ?

NPD tracks United States so its the 2nd year of PS4 vs the 2nd year of Switch (2015 vs 2018).

Thank you, I was guessing this.



TruckOSaurus on 20 August 2018
quickrick said:
Slarvax said:

I believe. At the very least, I'll be very dissapointed if it can't break 300k.

It won't even break 230k, you can quote me on this. nobody is gonna go run out and buy a switch for fortnite when its been out on every platform for months, not to mention they look and play much better, plus sony won't even allow you to use your account on switch. 

I'm quoting you on this because you said we could. You were off by 95k, the Switch sold 41% more units than what you thought it would.



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thismeintiel on 20 August 2018

I think PS4 has it, even if only slightly. I see August being a tie. Maybe Switch takes it by a few 10K. Sept Switch will probably lose by 60K-80K. I think Oct will be a slight win for Switch, by a few 10K. Nov PS4 should win easily by 100K+, unless Nintendo does a price cut. Dec is either going to be a tie, or the Switch will take it by 60K-100K.



 

zorg1000 on 20 August 2018
thismeintiel said:
I think PS4 has it, even if only slightly. I see August being a tie. Maybe Switch takes it by a few 10K. Sept Switch will probably lose by 60K-80K. I think Oct will be a slight win for Switch, by a few 10K. Nov PS4 should win easily by 100K+, unless Nintendo does a price cut. Dec is either going to be a tie, or the Switch will take it by 60K-100K.

Regardless of who wins it should be very close



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

The_Liquid_Laser on 20 August 2018

While I think it will be close, by the end of the year I expect PS4 to come out a bit on top. Of course if you did this for every year after this I would expect Switch to come out on top, e.g. PS4 2016 vs. Switch 2019.



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thismeintiel on 20 August 2018
zorg1000 said:
thismeintiel said:
I think PS4 has it, even if only slightly. I see August being a tie. Maybe Switch takes it by a few 10K. Sept Switch will probably lose by 60K-80K. I think Oct will be a slight win for Switch, by a few 10K. Nov PS4 should win easily by 100K+, unless Nintendo does a price cut. Dec is either going to be a tie, or the Switch will take it by 60K-100K.

Regardless of who wins it should be very close

Agreed.  I'm guessing ~50K-100K difference probably.



 

Miyamotoo on 21 August 2018
thismeintiel said:
I think PS4 has it, even if only slightly. I see August being a tie. Maybe Switch takes it by a few 10K. Sept Switch will probably lose by 60K-80K. I think Oct will be a slight win for Switch, by a few 10K. Nov PS4 should win easily by 100K+, unless Nintendo does a price cut. Dec is either going to be a tie, or the Switch will take it by 60K-100K.

August could similar or Switch win, September will probably be huge PS4 win because of Spiderman (probable easily 100k+), something similar could be said for October (Red Dead Redemption 2), November could be similar or even Switch win, December will easily be huge win for Switch (Nintendo hardware always generally have very strong December months and now they have Smash Bros that making huge hype).