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Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD, PS4 2015 vs NSW 2018 (December added)

 

Who wins?

PS4 66 40.24%
 
NSW 84 51.22%
 
Tie 14 8.54%
 
Total:164
Jranation on 20 April 2018

This is getting juicy!!



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outlawauron on 20 April 2018
friendlyfamine said:
Is this thread still alive? I think it would be interesting to follow...here are my (bad) thoughts :p

March - PS4
April - Switch
May - Switch (HWDE, DKC:TF, Dark Souls, Lil Nightmares, Runner3)
June - PS4
July - Switch (Crash, Cap Toad, Octopath, YS8 - June but too late to be impactful, so July)

--
Idk about the rest. But this is based on current releases. July and May are pretty stacked for the Switch so I expect 250k+ each.

July and June will most likely get more stacked as time goes, since there are still TBA games like Hollow Knight, SNK Heroines, Wolf 2 (actually might be latter half of 2018), Okami, Meat Boy Forever, Wargroove etc...

So even though I predict June as a loss since it only has Mario Tennis, more games could get announced for it and E3 could create a temporary sales buzz. Just my thoughts. I think March is a guaranteed loss though, whilst June can still put up a fight.

I don't understand why you're listing games that'll likely be sub 100k in the US has reasons to pushing hardware. The idea of Ys 8 pushing Switch sales is kinda mind blowing lol.

OP: I appreciate the comparison, I hope that you stay on it.



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Bofferbrauer2 on 20 April 2018
zorg1000 said:

I just thought it would be fun to compare the 2nd year of these two outstanding consoles.

 

Month Sony Playstation 4 Nintendo Switch Accumulative  Difference
January* 190k, Dying Light 270k +80k Switch
February 340k, Evolve, The Order, Xenoverse 280k, Bayonetta 2 +20k Switch
March 330k, Battlefield, Bloodborne, MLB, FF Type-0 310k, Kirby: Star Allies Even
April 175k, Mortal Kombat X    
May 155k, Witcher 3    
June 370k, Arkham Knight, Elder Scrolls Online    
July 220k, PGA 2016    
August 210k, Madden, Until Dawn    
September 355k, Metal Gear Solid, NBA, FIFA, Mad Max, Taken King    
October 275k, Assassin's Creed, WWE, Uncharted Collection, $50 price cut    
November 1540k, Call of Duty, Fallout, Battlefront, Need For Speed, $50 discount Black Friday    
December 1580k, Rainbow Six, $50 discount for 2 weeks    
Total 5740k    

January*-4 week vs 5 week

Major releases are new games that charted in their debut month.

Now this is getting pretty interesting!

The next 2 months should be big wins for the Switch though, considering how deep the PS4 dips down



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Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

TruckOSaurus on 20 April 2018

Interesting thread (if you skip the first page of bitching). I'll be following this.



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DonFerrari on 20 April 2018

Let's see how it do full year... good to see that they are basically tied for Q1.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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Nuvendil on 20 April 2018

Funny how some people will no doubt make a big deal about the Switch not beating the PS4 every NPD but here we have evidence, cold hard evidence, that the Switch is still very healthy thus far.


Especially when you consider the PS4 had 8 significant releases in Q1 and the Switch had 2 and some midtier backup.


Just a hunch, but I am pretty sure the Switch will feed the PS4 its own eyeballs in Q2 of this comparison.  Although that June boost could help the PS4 draw close to even with it so maybe not.  Q3 might be an easy Switch win depending on Nintendo's plans for August and September.  We know July is stacked.

Q4 is where the PS4 exploded and will be the big challenge.  However overall, I think the two will probably be fairly comparable by the end.  Unless Nintendo busts out a gold holiday bundle+Smash AND Pokemon.  

I do find it interesting how Switch seems more even keeled.  It seems it sells more on its own without major software vs the PS4 at this point was still spiking drastically.



zorg1000 on 20 April 2018
Nuvendil said:

Switch will feed the PS4 its own eyeballs in Q2 of this comparison.

Is that a real expression? Cuz thats morbid lol



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Nuvendil on 20 April 2018
zorg1000 said:
Nuvendil said:

Switch will feed the PS4 its own eyeballs in Q2 of this comparison.

Is that a real expression? Cuz thats morbid lol

Sorry, been watching too many Zero Punctuation episodes xD



DonFerrari on 20 April 2018
Nuvendil said:

Funny how some people will no doubt make a big deal about the Switch not beating the PS4 every NPD but here we have evidence, cold hard evidence, that the Switch is still very healthy thus far.


Especially when you consider the PS4 had 8 significant releases in Q1 and the Switch had 2 and some midtier backup.


Just a hunch, but I am pretty sure the Switch will feed the PS4 its own eyeballs in Q2 of this comparison.  Although that June boost could help the PS4 draw close to even with it so maybe not.  Q3 might be an easy Switch win depending on Nintendo's plans for August and September.  We know July is stacked.

Q4 is where the PS4 exploded and will be the big challenge.  However overall, I think the two will probably be fairly comparable by the end.  Unless Nintendo busts out a gold holiday bundle+Smash AND Pokemon.  

I do find it interesting how Switch seems more even keeled.  It seems it sells more on its own without major software vs the PS4 at this point was still spiking drastically.

Wasn't Nintendo fans bragging about how much 3rd party support they were getting and how fantastic and strong the HW is? So why didn't these 11 games launch on Switch?



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Nuvendil on 20 April 2018
DonFerrari said:
Nuvendil said:

Funny how some people will no doubt make a big deal about the Switch not beating the PS4 every NPD but here we have evidence, cold hard evidence, that the Switch is still very healthy thus far.


Especially when you consider the PS4 had 8 significant releases in Q1 and the Switch had 2 and some midtier backup.


Just a hunch, but I am pretty sure the Switch will feed the PS4 its own eyeballs in Q2 of this comparison.  Although that June boost could help the PS4 draw close to even with it so maybe not.  Q3 might be an easy Switch win depending on Nintendo's plans for August and September.  We know July is stacked.

Q4 is where the PS4 exploded and will be the big challenge.  However overall, I think the two will probably be fairly comparable by the end.  Unless Nintendo busts out a gold holiday bundle+Smash AND Pokemon.  

I do find it interesting how Switch seems more even keeled.  It seems it sells more on its own without major software vs the PS4 at this point was still spiking drastically.

Wasn't Nintendo fans bragging about how much 3rd party support they were getting and how fantastic and strong the HW is? So why didn't these 11 games launch on Switch?

Not sure where you got 11 since I said 8 but they didn't come to the Switch because they released 3 years ago and Nintendo sold their time machine quite a while back :P

I was comparing Switch's Q1 2018 to PS4's Q1 2015.  Ya know, the whole point of this thread?