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Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD, PS4 2015 vs NSW 2018 (December added)

 

Who wins?

PS4 66 40.24%
 
NSW 84 51.22%
 
Tie 14 8.54%
 
Total:164
Dulfite on 23 March 2018

Who wins?

Whoever has Smash 5 and Metroid Prime coming out this year wins, that's who. And if Pokemon Switch comes out early enough this year, as well as Prime and Smash, the Switch will sell more copies in a single year than any console has ever sold in a single year.



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pikashoe on 23 March 2018
quickrick said:
correction on my part, the only way i see switch beating ps4 2015 is labo becomes some huge hit. if it doesnt then no chance imo.

We don't know what's coming out later this year for the switch, outside of smash. It seems a little early to say for definite which will sell more.



pikashoe on 23 March 2018
Dulfite said:
Who wins?

Whoever has Smash 5 and Metroid Prime coming out this year wins, that's who. And if Pokemon Switch comes out early enough this year, as well as Prime and Smash, the Switch will sell more copies in a single year than any console has ever sold in a single year.

This seems a bit over the top.



Cobretti2 on 23 March 2018

With what we know so far, PS4 will win.

Hopefully Nintendo announced some firm dates for more big games then things MAY get more interesting.



 

 

zorg1000 on 23 March 2018
Lawlight said:
zorg1000 said:
I updated the chart to show that PS4 recieved a $50 price cut in October along with a further $50 discount on Black Friday and 2 weeks of December.

Can you also put the price at the time? Even with the price cuts, it was still more expensive than the Switch is right now. 

No, because it really doesnt matter, every device is different and the price is determined by the devices individual factors. Both devices were priced appropriately at launch.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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zorg1000 on 23 March 2018
Kai_Mao said:
zorg1000 said:

I just thought it would be fun to compare the 2nd year of these two outstanding consoles.

 

Month Sony Playstation 4 Nintendo Switch Accumulative  Difference
January* 190k, Dying Light 270k +80k Switch
February 340k, Evolve, The Order, Xenoverse 280k, Bayonetta 2 +20k Switch
March 330k, Battlefield, Bloodborne, MLB, FF Type-0    
April 175k, Mortal Kombat X    
May 155k, Witcher 3    
June 370k, Arkham Knight, Elder Scrolls Online    
July 220k, PGA 2016    
August 210k, Madden, Until Dawn    
September 355k, Metal Gear Solid, NBA, FIFA, Mad Max, Taken King    
October 275k, Assassin's Creed, WWE, Uncharted Collection, $50 price cut    
November 1540k, Call of Duty, Fallout, Battlefront, Need For Speed, $50 discount Black Friday    
December 1580k, Rainbow Six, $50 discount for 2 weeks    
Total 5740k    

January*-4 week vs 5 week

Major releases are new games that charted in their debut month.

This will be pretty interesting. Looking back at this comparison, while the PS4 had really good games in 2015, it didn't really start peaking until 2016-17. And the games I selected in bold were considered disappointing either from a sales perspective and/or a critical perspective.

Nope, 2015 was PS4's peak year in the US.

I said in the OP that games that chart in their debut month are counted, critical reception and sales expectations dont really matter in this case.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

TheBlackNaruto on 23 March 2018
Dulfite said:
Who wins?

Whoever has Smash 5 and Metroid Prime coming out this year wins, that's who. And if Pokemon Switch comes out early enough this year, as well as Prime and Smash, the Switch will sell more copies in a single year than any console has ever sold in a single year.

 I don't think Prime will move a ton of consoles to be honest. Now a CORRECTLY done Pokemon game AND Smash those will move loads! Personally I am not sure who will win so I will just wait and see lol. As for your last statement......ehhhhhhhhh can't say I agree but good luck none the less with your prediction!



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

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friendlyfamine on 27 March 2018

Is this thread still alive? I think it would be interesting to follow...here are my (bad) thoughts :p

March - PS4
April - Switch
May - Switch (HWDE, DKC:TF, Dark Souls, Lil Nightmares, Runner3)
June - PS4
July - Switch (Crash, Cap Toad, Octopath, YS8 - June but too late to be impactful, so July)

--
Idk about the rest. But this is based on current releases. July and May are pretty stacked for the Switch so I expect 250k+ each.

July and June will most likely get more stacked as time goes, since there are still TBA games like Hollow Knight, SNK Heroines, Wolf 2 (actually might be latter half of 2018), Okami, Meat Boy Forever, Wargroove etc...

So even though I predict June as a loss since it only has Mario Tennis, more games could get announced for it and E3 could create a temporary sales buzz. Just my thoughts. I think March is a guaranteed loss though, whilst June can still put up a fight.







zorg1000 on 27 March 2018
friendlyfamine said:
Is this thread still alive?

Yes, but since its based on NPD results there really isnt much to talk about until the month of data releases.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 on 20 April 2018

March numbers have been leaked and have Switch at ~310k making the two systems tied in the first quarter.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.