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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

07/13/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-4) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 25 (-8) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 76 (-20) - 297.99$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 81 (+1) - 489.00$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-2) - XBox One S 500 Gb White - 81 (-2) - 239.99$

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 25 + 20 = 45 points (-19) ; NS : 160 + 102 = 262 points (-48)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 6 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 15 (-3) - 399.00$
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 25 (-7) - 499.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 26 (-3) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 47 (+14) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 185 + 140 = 325 points (-25) ; XBO : 102 + 100 + 58 = 260 points (-11) ; NS : 190 + 170 = 360 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 40 (+5) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 99 (+8) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 145 (-14) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 115 points (-10) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :50 + 28 = 78 points (-4)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 359.6 points (-45.4) ; Month Average : 399.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 180.0 points (-15.0) ; Month Average : 190.0 points/day ; 0.48 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 88.0 points (-17.4) ; Month Average : 124.6 points/day ; 0.31 (-0.01)



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Symbios63 said:
07/13/18 :

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 359.6 points (-45.4) ; Month Average : 399.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 180.0 points (-15.0) ; Month Average : 190.0 points/day ; 0.48 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 88.0 points (-17.4) ; Month Average : 124.6 points/day ; 0.31 (-0.01)

^ that is depressing....

I know I get called out, everytime I say "its time for sony to do something"..... but if not when sales suddenly drop to near half, when then?



JRPGfan said:

^ that is depressing....

I know I get called out, everytime I say "its time for sony to do something"..... but if not when sales suddenly drop to near half, when then?

I start to think this is out of Sony's hands now. If sales don't recover soon in expectation of Spiderman and RDR2, then a pricecut probably wouldn't cut it either.

That is, if there ain't shortages having a hand in this, of course. But I haven't heard anything about any shortages yet, so pretty doubtful



Probably best to wait until actual NPD results to say anything. After all, PS4 has been the top selling console 4 months in a row now (and would be 5 if it's on top for June). Wouldn't be surprised if the Switch gets a month after that.

While this indicator is really helpful, when there is only one SKU on Gamestop and 2 on Bestbuy (as opposed to the 3-4 it had in months prior) we don't really know what means overall.



Megiddo said:

Probably best to wait until actual NPD results to say anything. After all, PS4 has been the top selling console 4 months in a row now (and would be 5 if it's on top for June). Wouldn't be surprised if the Switch gets a month after that.

While this indicator is really helpful, when there is only one SKU on Gamestop and 2 on Bestbuy (as opposed to the 3-4 it had in months prior) we don't really know what means overall.

I expect ps4 to win in june easily, day of play sales, plus the limited edition ps4, that sold out right away. if the NPD tool does get it right june then i will put more faith in it, but only 2 months, and people already acting like it got 9 months straight right.



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quickrick said:
Megiddo said:

Probably best to wait until actual NPD results to say anything. After all, PS4 has been the top selling console 4 months in a row now (and would be 5 if it's on top for June). Wouldn't be surprised if the Switch gets a month after that.

While this indicator is really helpful, when there is only one SKU on Gamestop and 2 on Bestbuy (as opposed to the 3-4 it had in months prior) we don't really know what means overall.

I expect ps4 to win in june easily, day of play sales, plus the limited edition ps4, that sold out right away. if the NPD tool does get it right june then i will put more faith in it, but only 2 months, and people already acting like it got 9 months straight right.

You do realize that this NPD tool is predicting PS4 to win June, right?



Bofferbrauer2 said:
JRPGfan said:

^ that is depressing....

I know I get called out, everytime I say "its time for sony to do something"..... but if not when sales suddenly drop to near half, when then?

I start to think this is out of Sony's hands now. If sales don't recover soon in expectation of Spiderman and RDR2, then a pricecut probably wouldn't cut it either.

That is, if there ain't shortages having a hand in this, of course. But I haven't heard anything about any shortages yet, so pretty doubtful

I think a pricecut a week before Spiderman is the way to go.
Ride that spiderman hype, and sell a boatload of them to spiderman fans.



StarDoor said:
quickrick said:

I expect ps4 to win in june easily, day of play sales, plus the limited edition ps4, that sold out right away. if the NPD tool does get it right june then i will put more faith in it, but only 2 months, and people already acting like it got 9 months straight right.

You do realize that this NPD tool is predicting PS4 to win June, right?

I know it is, but its too close, and no way the tool is that accurate, so if they are that close then the tool gets the win.



It's a nice tool. I think the PS4 will win the June NPD, but the Switch and Xbox One will be close to them. How close? I'm not sure.



quickrick said:
StarDoor said:

You do realize that this NPD tool is predicting PS4 to win June, right?

I know it is, but its too close, and no way the tool is that accurate, so if they are that close then the tool gets the win.

On what basis have you concluded that it is too close ? At the very least, the tool has a method, what is yours ? Finger in the air ?