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In progress NPD predicting tool

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

07/10/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 31 (+5) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 61 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 79 (+15) - 374.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 40 + 22 = 62 points (+16) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 160 + 90 = 250 points (+5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (-) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 40 (+8) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 60 (+10) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 69 (+10) - 249.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 74 (+7) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 94 (+4) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 160 + 72 = 402 points (+16) ; XBO : 41 + 32 + 27 + 7 = 107 points (+34) ; NS : 210 + 185 = 395 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + 50$ GC - 6 (-)
2 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb + 50$ GC - 7 (-)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! - 58 (-14)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 84 (+8)
5 (N) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Starlink SP- 172 (N)

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 94 (-55)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 188 (-91)

PS4 : 68 points (+8) ; XBO : (200 + 195) / 1.6 = 247 points (-) ; NS : 94 + 15 = 109 points (-64)

Overall :

1 - NS : 388.0 points (-60.0) ; Month Average : 461.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 348.9 points (+8.8) ; Month Average : 350.4 points/day ; 0.76 (+0.09)
3 - PS4 : 198.0 points (+24.0) ; Month Average : 195.4 points/day ; 0.42 (+0.05)



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Finally Switch Lite is official... Now things should be a lot more interesting



Zanark best Inazuma Eleven pg

The calm before the Switch lite storm



07/12/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (-6) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (+5) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 67 (-6) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 86 (-7) - 374.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 34 + 15 = 49 points (-13) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 130 + 100 = 230 points (-20)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 11 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 14 (-3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 39 (+1) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 57 (+3) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 84 (-15) - 249.99$
8 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 96 (-2) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 74 (+7) - 299.99$

PS4 : 160 + 145 + 74 = 379 points (-23) ; XBO : 44 + 17 + 5 = 66 points (-41) ; NS : 205 + 180 = 385 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + 50$ GC - 3 (+3)
2 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb + 50$ GC - 4 (+3)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! - 66 (-8)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 77 (+7)
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Starlink SP- 86 (+86)
6 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! + Pokeball Charger- 162 (R)
7 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 180 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 74 points (+6) ; XBO : (205 + 205 + 11) / 1.6 = 263 points (+16) ; NS : (86 + 66 + 20) / 1.3 = 132 points (+23)

Overall :

1 - NS : 393.0 points (+5.0) ; Month Average : 436.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 359.1 points (+10.2) ; Month Average : 351.4 points/day ; 0.81 (+0.05)
3 - PS4 : 189.0 points (-9.0) ; Month Average : 194.1 points/day ; 0.44 (+0.02)


I wonder how the tool will handle the Switch lite preorders (probably not so good lol)... New hardware is a first for the tool.
How will VGC count Switch Lite ? Along with Regular Switch numbers or as a separate thing ? (I will do like VGC here anyway...)



Symbios63 said:
07/12/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (-6) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (+5) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 67 (-6) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 86 (-7) - 374.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 34 + 15 = 49 points (-13) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 130 + 100 = 230 points (-20)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 11 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 14 (-3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 39 (+1) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 57 (+3) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 84 (-15) - 249.99$
8 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 96 (-2) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 74 (+7) - 299.99$

PS4 : 160 + 145 + 74 = 379 points (-23) ; XBO : 44 + 17 + 5 = 66 points (-41) ; NS : 205 + 180 = 385 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + 50$ GC - 3 (+3)
2 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb + 50$ GC - 4 (+3)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! - 66 (-8)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 77 (+7)
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Starlink SP- 86 (+86)
6 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! + Pokeball Charger- 162 (R)
7 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 180 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 74 points (+6) ; XBO : (205 + 205 + 11) / 1.6 = 263 points (+16) ; NS : (86 + 66 + 20) / 1.3 = 132 points (+23)

Overall :

1 - NS : 393.0 points (+5.0) ; Month Average : 436.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 359.1 points (+10.2) ; Month Average : 351.4 points/day ; 0.81 (+0.05)
3 - PS4 : 189.0 points (-9.0) ; Month Average : 194.1 points/day ; 0.44 (+0.02)


I wonder how the tool will handle the Switch lite preorders (probably not so good lol)... New hardware is a first for the tool.
How will VGC count Switch Lite ? Along with Regular Switch numbers or as a separate thing ? (I will do like VGC here anyway...)

As far as I know, it will be handled like the normal Switch.

And yeah, having suddenly at least 5 versions will probably throw the tool right off.

Also, PS4 is really low right now. Looks like people preempted their buy with the days of play, thus being pretty low now.



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Weirdly high numbers for the Xbone *-* The numbers of SKUs is probably dicting this change though.

Meanwhile the Switch is at the top with a bit of a decrease post week #2 of MM2's launch.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Any reason why PS4 would be so far below XB1?



The_Liquid_Laser said:
Any reason why PS4 would be so far below XB1?

Days of Play promotion possibly drained short-term interest into the console by have those interested buying it early.

Also, no big game releases in sight.



07/14/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 22 (-5) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 26 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 79 (-12) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 82 (+4) - 374.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 22 + 19 = 41 points (-8) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 108 + 100 = 208 points (-22)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 4 (+3) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 10 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (+3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 42 (-3) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 53 (+4) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 82 (+2) - 249.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 99 (-3) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 160 + 68 = 393 points (+14) ; XBO : 48 + 19 + 2 = 69 points (+3) ; NS : 210 + 195 = 405 points (+20)


- Gamestop :

1 (+4) - Nintendo Switch Neon + Starlink SP- 66 (+20)
2 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 78 (-1)
3 (N) - Nintendo Switch Grey + Starlink SP- 167 (N)

Out of Top 100 :

1 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + 50$ GC - 3 (+3)
2 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb + 50$ GC - 4 (+3)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! - 66 (-8)
6 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! + Pokeball Charger- 162 (R)
7 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 180 (R)

PS4 : 74 points (-) ; XBO : 0 points (-263) ; NS : (86 + 17) / 1.3 = 79 points (-53)

Overall :

1 - NS : 326.4 points (-66.6) ; Month Average : 414.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 17.9 points (-341.2) ; Month Average : 306.2 points/day ; 0.74 (-0.07)
3 - PS4 : 185.4 points (-3.6) ; Month Average : 192.2 points/day ; 0.46 (+0.02)



What just happened to Xbox?