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In progress NPD predicting tool

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

07/06/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 13 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 37 (+4) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 61 (-4) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 76 (+3) - 374.99$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb - 95 (R) - 206.20$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 40 + 25 = 65 points (-1) ; XBO : 6 points (+6) ; NS : 150 + 78 = 228 points (+8)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (-) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 11 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 12 (-2) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 41 (-7) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 74 (-12) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 76 (+12) - 249.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 91 (+3) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 160 + 155 + 70 = 385 points (-24) ; XBO : 27 + 25 + 10 = 62 points (+3) ; NS : 205 + 180 = 385 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! - 21 (+9)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 29 (+3)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 32 (+5)
4 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! + Pokeball Charger - 81 (+24)
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 84 (-6)
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 120 (-34)
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 165 (-14)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 135 + 41 = 176 points (-10) ; XBO : 18 points (-7) ; NS : 160 + 140 + 70 + 68 = 438 points (+41)

Overall :

1 - NS : 697.4 points (+47.4) ; Month Average : 482.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 305.0 points (-15.6) ; Month Average : 299.9 points/day ; 0.62 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 45.8 points (-2.0) ; Month Average : 152.3 points/day ; 0.32 (-0.01)


Last June update.



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I guess it wouldn't be too farfetched to think that the Switch would surpass the PS4 by 100K once again this month.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Mar1217 said:
I guess it wouldn't be too farfetched to think that the Switch would surpass the PS4 by 100K once again this month.

Nope, that's definitely possible. And that's with the Days of play, mind you. I'm expecting about 280k to 165k (and 110k for the XBO)

At this rate, the rest of the year will become a slaughtering



Switch was already dominating without notable releases. Now that we have Mario Maker 2 as the first of many first party releases...well expect Switch to soar well above the other 2.

I guess this huge difference in sales will be a good judge of how accurate the tool is. You might be able to get more precision on how each of these online sources are weighted.



07/07/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (-6) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 36 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 71 (-10) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 94 (-18) - 374.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb - 95 (R) - 206.20$

PS4 : 30 + 7 = 37 points (-28) ; XBO : 0 points (-6) ; NS : 120 + 80 = 200 points (-28)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 5 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 10 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 14 (-2) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 48 (-7) - 299.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 72 (R) - 299.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 81 (-7) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 83 (+8) - 499.99$
9 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 89 (-13) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 145 + 56 = 366 points (-18) ; XBO : 29 + 20 + 18 + 12 = 79 points (+17) ; NS : 205 + 190 = 395 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + 50$ GC - 4 (N)
2 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb + 50$ GC - 5 (N)
3 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! - 25 (-4)
4 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 39 (-10)
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 52 (-20)
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 97 (-13)
7 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! + Pokeball Charger - 103 (-22)
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 160 (+5)
9 (-3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 180 (-60)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 100 + 11 = 111 points (-65) ; XBO : (205 + 200 + 21) / 1.6 = 266 points (+248) ; NS : 150 + 115 + 54 + 49 = 368 points (-70)

Overall :

1 - NS : 607.0 points (-) ; Month Average : 607.0 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 366.3 points (-) ; Month Average : 366.3 points/day ; 0.60 (-)
3 - PS4 : 213.8 points (-) ; Month Average : 213.8 points/day ; 0.35 (-)

First update of July.



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Oh dear, it looks like Nintendo might bathe themselves with Sony and Microsoft's blood this month.
Those graphs look like an old school Monday Night Wars rating chart from 1999-2001 when the WWF was blowing WCW out of the water and ECW was just chugging along.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

Nintendo looses 70 points at Gamestop alone but would still have had enough points just there to be leading the chart. And that's with an XBO doped with 50$ Gamecard promotion



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Nintendo looses 70 points at Gamestop alone but would still have had enough points just there to be leading the chart. And that's with an XBO doped with 50$ Gamecard promotion

Thoughm XBone is on it's last legs, it got multiple cuts already,plenty of promotions and the announcement of the upcoming generation is all but cutting it's legs short. We can expect it to do much at this point.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

07/08/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 10 (+9) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 36 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 62 (+9) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 94 (-) - 374.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 39 + 7 = 46 points (+9) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 165 + 80 = 245 points (+45)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (+3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 48 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 70 (+2) - 299.99$
7 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 79 (+10) - 249.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 81 (-) - 299.99$
9 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 98 (-15) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 160 + 56 = 386 points (+20) ; XBO : 31 + 22 + 20 + 3 = 73 points (-6) ; NS : 210 + 185 = 395 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + 50$ GC - 6 (-2)
2 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb + 50$ GC - 7 (-2)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! - 44 (-19)
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 92 (-40)
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 94 (-55)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 188 (-91)

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu ! + Pokeball Charger - 103 (-22)
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 160 (+5)
9 (-3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 180 (-60)

PS4 : 60 points (-51) ; XBO : (200 + 195) / 1.6 = 247 points (-19) ; NS : 108 + 58 + 7 = 173 points (-195)

Overall :

1 - NS : 448.0 points (-159.0) ; Month Average : 527.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 340.8 points (-25.5) ; Month Average : 353.2 points/day ; 0.67 (+0.07)
3 - PS4 : 174.0 points (-39.8) ; Month Average : 193.9 points/day ; 0.37 (+0.02)



PS4 sales are abysmal right now if those numbers are true