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In progress NPD predicting tool

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

04/02/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 13 (+4) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 31 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 37 (+1) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 71 (+7) - 399.99$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 83 (R) - 237.83$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 90 + 30 = 120 points (+9) ; XBO : 18 points (+18) ; NS : 150 + 78 = 228 points (+22)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 6 (-) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 14 (-3) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 23 (-7) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 61 (-9) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 66 (+21) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 2 (-) - 399.99$

PS4 : 185 + 170 = 355 points (-10) ; XBO : 106 + 40 + 35 = 181 points (-17) ; NS : 200 + 145 = 345 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 20 (-9)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 96 (-42)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 108 (-8)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 109 (-8)
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 138 (+13)
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 153 (-7)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 47 + 32 = 79 points (+2) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 165 + 56 + 46 + 24 = 291 points (-70)

Overall :

1 - NS : 542.4 points (-55.4) ; Month Average : 505.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 246.0 points (+7.2) ; Month Average : 314.1 points/day ; 0.62 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 65.8 points (+14.3) ; Month Average : 193.6 points/day ; 0.38 (-0.01)



Around the Network

04/04/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (-4) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 34 (-3) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 41 (-4) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 75 (-4) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 83 (R) - 237.83$

PS4 : 84 + 26 = 110 points (-10) ; XBO : 0 points (-18) ; NS : 130 + 70 = 200 points (-28)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 6 (-) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (+4) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 20 (+3) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 67 (-6) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 66 (+21) - 299.99$

PS4 : 185 + 175 = 360 points (+5) ; XBO : 115 + 34 = 149 points (-32) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 370 points (+25)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 32 (-12)
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 107 (+1)
3 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 112 (+26)
4 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 114 (-18)
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 120 (-11)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 128 (+25)
7 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White P - 156 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 47 + 45 = 92 points (+13) ; XBO : 23 points (+23) ; NS : 135 + 44 + 41 + 37 = 257 points (-34)

Overall :

1 - NS : 491.0 points (-51.4) ; Month Average : 505.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 252.0 points (+6.0) ; Month Average : 310.5 points/day ; 0.61 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 68.6 points (+2.8) ; Month Average : 185.7 points/day ; 0.37 (-0.01)



2 days left until the end of March NPD !



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Yeah, and another clear Switch victory going by the chart. Let's see how well the ratio will be.



04/05/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 19 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 33 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 38 (+3) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 70 (+5) - 399.99$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 96 (R) - 232.50$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 86 + 31 = 117 points (-+7) ; XBO : 5 points (+5) ; NS : 120 + 76 = 196 points (-4)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 2 (R) - 399.99$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 5 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+1) - 299.99$
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 16 (-8) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 18 (+2) - 399.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 62 (+5) - 299.99$
8 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 80 (R) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 135 = 325 points (-35) ; XBO : 125 + 39 + 21 = 185 points (+36) ; NS : 210 + 205 + 170 = 585 points (+215)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 31 (+1)
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 62 (+50)
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 99 (+8)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 109 (+5)
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 121 (+7)
6 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 141 (-21)
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White P - 150 (+6)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 90 + 52 = 142 points (+50) ; XBO : 26 points (+3) ; NS : 135 + 46 + 40 + 30 = 251 points (-6)

Overall :

1 - NS : 524.8 points (+33.8) ; Month Average : 505.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 300.6 points (+48.6) ; Month Average : 310.2 points/day ; 0.61 (-)
3 - XBO : 87.1 points (+18.5) ; Month Average : 182.8 points/day ; 0.36 (-0.01)



Around the Network

04/06/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 20 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 33 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 42 (-4) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 83 (-13) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 96 (R) - 232.50$

PS4 : 86 + 18 = 104 points (-13) ; XBO : 0 points (-5) ; NS : 115 + 68 = 183 points (-13)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 2 (+3) - 399.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 14 (+4) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 18 (-2) - 299.99$
6 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 71 (+9) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 86 (-14) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

2 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 2 (R) - 399.99$

PS4 : 205 + 125 = 330 points (+5) ; XBO : 145 + 30 + 15 = 190 points (+5) ; NS : 210 + 180 = 390 points (-195)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 27 (+4)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 38 (+24)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 85 (+24)
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 90 (+9)
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 113 (+8)
6 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White P - 133 (+17)
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 138 (+3)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 120 + 62 = 182 points (+40) ; XBO : 34 points (+8) ; NS : 145 + 66 + 44 + 32 = 287 points (+36)

Overall :

1 - NS : 511.4 points (-13.4) ; Month Average : 506.0 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 331.2 points (+30.6) ; Month Average : 310.8 points/day ; 0.61 (-)
3 - XBO : 93.6 points (+6.5) ; Month Average : 180.2 points/day ; 0.36 (-)


Final March update...



Another in the bag for Ninty(probably). I'd say that we're now in the real danger zone for them before the summer "rush".



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

04/07/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (+3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 30 (+3) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 42 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 93 (-10) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 96 (R) - 232.50$

PS4 : 92 + 8 = 100 points (-4) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 130 + 68 = 198 points (+15)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 3 (-1) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 6 (+1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 18 (-4) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 21 (-3) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 59 (+12) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 64 (+22) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 200 + 110 = 310 points (-20) ; XBO : 125 + 42 + 37 = 204 points (+14) ; NS : 210 + 185 = 395 points (+5)


- Gamestop :

1 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2k19 + 50$GC - 6 (N)
2 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White P + 50$GC - 7 (N)
3 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V + 50$GC - 8 (N)
4 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White EPUB + 50$GC - 9 (N)
5 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb PUBG + 50$GC - 10 (N)
6 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 Black P + 50$GC - 11 (N)
7 (-6) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 25 (+2)
8 (-6) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 44 (-6)
9 (-6) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 86 (-1)
10 (-6) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 113 (-23)
11 (-6) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 129 (-16)
12 (-6) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White P - 138 (-5)
13 (-6) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 185 (-47)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 108 + 44 = 152 points (-30) ; XBO : 200 + 195 + 195 + 190 + 190 + 185 + 32 = 1187 points (+1153) ; NS : 150 + 66 + 36 + 8 = 260 points (-27)

Overall :

1 - XBO : 1596.1 points (-) ; Month Average : 1596.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 497.4 points (-) ; Month Average : 497.4 points/day ; 0.31
3 - PS4 : 294.0 points (-) ; Month Average : 294.0 points/day ; 0.18

XBO promotion at gamestop will probably induce a bias this month in favor of XBO. I will try to work with the formula to take into account promo SKUs when we have NPD results for April (I will have 4-5 months to work with...).



Seriously at this rate, Microsoft could just cut the prices by 50-100$, that would be easier



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Seriously at this rate, Microsoft could just cut the prices by 50-100$, that would be easier

I think the rumored digital only XBOX ONE could improve the situation a lot and it would cover that pricerange.



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Amazon June 2019 thread