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In progress NPD predicting tool

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

03/22/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 35 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 37 (+2) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 75 (+3) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 100 (R) - 239.99$

PS4 : 82 + 26 = 108 points (+1) ; XBO : 0 point (-1) ; NS : 140 + 78 = 218 points (+9)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 3 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 7 (-1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 14 (+4) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 44 (+4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 93 (-14) - 299.99$

PS4 : 200 + 180 = 380 points (-5) ; XBO : 145 + 64 = 209 points (+20) ; NS : 205 + 170 = 375 points (-5)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 36 (-13) - Unavailable
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 65 (+8)
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 105 (-5)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 106 (-)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 108 (+56)
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 156 (+38)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 125 + 47 = 172 points (-2) ; XBO : 48 + 23 = 71 point (+15) ; NS : 86 + 48 = 134 points (+8)

Overall :

1 - NS : 383.4 points (+14.2) ; Month Average : 503.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 334.4 points (-2.2) ; Month Average : 358.9 points/day ; 0.71 (-)
3 - XBO : 146.6 points (+23.6) ; Month Average : 213.8 points/day ; 0.42 (-0.01)



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03/23/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 36 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 39 (-2) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 80 (-5) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 21 = 101 points (-7) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 130 + 74 = 204 points (-14)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 9 (-2) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (-3) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 18 (-4) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 55 (-11) - 299.99$
7 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 84 (R) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 170 = 360 points (-20) ; XBO : 125 + 46 + 17 = 188 points (-21) ; NS : 205 + 155 = 360 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 38 (+27)
2 (+3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 94 (+14)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 95 (+11)
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 123 (-18)
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 132 (+24)

Out of Top 100 :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 36 (-13) - Unavailable

PS4 : 58 points (-114) ; XBO : 39 + 35 = 74 point (+3) ; NS : 120 + 56 = 176 points (+42)

Overall :

1 - NS : 411.2 points (+27.8) ; Month Average : 499.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 210.8 points (-123.6) ; Month Average : 351.8 points/day ; 0.70 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 145.1 points (-1.5) ; Month Average : 210.5 points/day ; 0.42 (-)



03/24/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 36 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 39 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 92 (-12) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 9 = 89 points (-12) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 130 + 74 = 204 points (-)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 7 (+2) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (+2) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 15 (+3) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 48 (+7) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 84 (R) - 299.99$

PS4 : 190 + 180 = 370 points (+10) ; XBO : 140 + 56 = 196 points (+8) ; NS : 200 + 165 = 365 points (+5)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 39 (-1)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 80 (+14)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 92 (+3)
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 111 (+12)
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 154 (-22)
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 185 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 72 points (+14) ; XBO : 45 + 24 + 8 = 77 point (+3) ; NS : 115 + 60 = 175 points (-1)

Overall :

1 - NS : 411.2 points (-) ; Month Average : 495.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 217.2 points (+6.4) ; Month Average : 345.7 points/day ; 0.70 (-)
3 - XBO : 151.1 points (+6.0) ; Month Average : 207.8 points/day ; 0.42 (-)



So the others have fell off while the Switch maintain it's 400 above score ... It'll be a tight month nonetheless.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Mar1217 said:
So the others have fell off while the Switch maintain it's 400 above score ... It'll be a tight month nonetheless.

Maybe not tight, but interesting month at the very least. No sales boost from tax returns and price cuts anymore, now each is selling on their own merits. Due to this I'd consider this month as the basis for my predictions for the months to come.



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03/25/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 16 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 39 (-3) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 40 (-1) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 92 (-) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 74 + 9 = 83 points (-6) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 135 + 72 = 207 points (+3)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 7 (-) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 15 (-) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 39 (+9) - 299.99$
7 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 95 (R) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 180 = 370 points (-) ; XBO : 140 + 74 + 6 = 220 points (+24) ; NS : 205 + 170 = 375 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 36 (+3)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 75 (+5)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 86 (+6)
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 95 (+16)
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 143 (+42)
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 145 (+9)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 76 points (+4) ; XBO : 56 + 39 + 38 = 133 point (+56) ; NS : 125 + 66 = 191 points (+16)

Overall :

1 - NS : 431.6 points (+20.4) ; Month Average : 492.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 216.4 points (-0.8) ; Month Average : 340.1 points/day ; 0.69 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 230.1 points (+79.0) ; Month Average : 208.8 points/day ; 0.42 (-)

I hope PS4slim will come back in stock fast at gamestop because it might lead to a PS4 undertracking.



PS4 shortages in US in some places according to a retailer insider



03/26/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 39 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 43 (-3) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 74 (+18) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 74 + 27 = 101 points (+18) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 140 + 66 = 206 points (-1)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 8 (-1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-2) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 21 (-6) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 39 (-) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 91 (+4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 175 = 365 points (-5) ; XBO : 110 + 74 + 10 = 194 points (-26) ; NS : 200 + 160 = 360 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 35 (+1)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 71 (+4)
3 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 84 (+11)
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 99 (-13)
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 157 (-12)
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 159 (-16)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 points (+4) ; XBO : 68 + 22 + 21 = 111 point (-22) ; NS : 125 + 52 = 177 points (-14)

Overall :

1 - NS : 413.8 points (-17.8) ; Month Average : 489.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 233.8 points (+17.4) ; Month Average : 335.7 points/day ; 0.69 (-)
3 - XBO : 194.7 points (-9.4) ; Month Average : 207.1 points/day ; 0.42 (-)



globalisateur said:
PS4 shortages in US in some places according to a retailer insider

I can understand console shortages during the holiday season, but how do you do that outside of season?



03/27/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 16 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 35 (+4) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 41 (+2) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 76 (-2) - 399.99$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 95 (R) - 236.50$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 82 + 25 = 107 points (+6) ; XBO : 6 points (+6) ; NS : 135 + 70 = 205 points (-1)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 7 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 8 (-) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 19 (+2) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 57 (-18) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 91 (+4) - 299.99$

PS4 : 180 + 175 = 355 points (-10) ; XBO : 120 + 44 = 164 points (-30) ; NS : 190 + 155 = 345 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 36 (-1)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 79 (-8)
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 88 (-4)
4 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 115 (+42)
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 123 (-24)
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 161 (-2)
7 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 Black - 182 (R)
8 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 192 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 72 + 5 = 77 points (-3) ; XBO : 64 + 43 + 20 + 10 = 137 point (+26) ; NS : 125 + 39 = 164 points (-13)

Overall :

1 - NS : 397.0 points (-16.8) ; Month Average : 485.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 233.6 points (-0.2) ; Month Average : 331.6 points/day ; 0.68 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 227.0 points (+32.3) ; Month Average : 207.9 points/day ; 0.43 (+0.01)