Quantcast
In progress NPD predicting tool

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

03/07/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 5 (+2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 40 (+5) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 45 (+5) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 57 (-2) - 299.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 77 (-3) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 94 (-6) - 239.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 95 (-4) - 389.99$

PS4 : 72 + 24 = 96 points (+7) ; XBO : 7 points (-12) ; NS : 190 + 62 + 44 = 296 points (+18)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 7 (-1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 9 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 14 (-1) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 42 (-) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 180 = 390 points (-5) ; XBO : 145 + 68 = 213 points (-5) ; NS : 200 + 170 + 160 = 530 points (-5)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 16 (-1)
2 (+3) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 83 (-36)
3 (+4) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 92 (+39)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 95 (-26) - Unavailable
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 111 (+10)
6 (+3) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 113 (+41)
7 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 116 (+2)
8 (-5) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 169 (-113) - Unavailable
9 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 191 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-4) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Evee + Pokeball Charger - 132 (-94) - Unavailable
10 (-4) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 175 (-119)

PS4 : 175 + 60 = 235 points (+25) ; XBO : 68 + 45 + 5 = 118 point (-39) ; NS : 56 + 44 + 43 + 16 = 159 points (-120)

Overall :

1 - NS : 501.8 points (-106.6) ; Month Average : 710.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 389.8 points (+29.6) ; Month Average : 345.8 points/day ; 0.49 (+0.05)
3 (-1) - XBO : 216.1 points (-64.4) ; Month Average : 345.1 points/day ; 0.49 (-)



Around the Network
HyrulianScrolls said:

Siwtch's holiday sales this year are going to be completely absurd. I won't be surprised if it sets a new record for a system during q4.

Highly unlikely, the current records are completely absurd.



Hardware revision shares (March 7):

PS4:

Slim: (72)*0.8+(210)*02+175= 274.6
Pro: 24*08+180*0.2+60= 115.2

Slim/Pro ratio: 70.4/29.6%

Xbox One:

S: ((7)*0.8+ (68)*0.2+68)*1.3= 113.3
X: (0*0.8+(145)*0.2+45+5)*1.3= 102.7

S/X ratio: 52.4/47.6%

Slim+S 387.9/Pro+X 217.9

Total ratio: 64%/36%

XBO 50$ promotion has ended, and the S is dropping further down and down, and the X is selling a bit better again. The Pro also grows a bit faster than the Slim, which results in the ratio of the upgrade consoles rapidly growing again.



I'm kinda surprised the $35 gift card promotion for Switch is attractive enough to entice more consumers. Sure, its basically a few free games from the eshop, but its not necessarily a must get, even at this time of year. Kudos to whoever thought of using a $35 gift card as an enticing promotion, especially after the huge holiday explosion that was Smash Bros. and Switch.



HyrulianScrolls said:

Siwtch's holiday sales this year are going to be completely absurd. I won't be surprised if it sets a new record for a system during q4.

Isn't holiday actually Q3? I can see Switch maybe breaking its own gen record this holiday, but the all time record by Wii is untouchable. 



Around the Network
Kai_Mao said:
I'm kinda surprised the $35 gift card promotion for Switch is attractive enough to entice more consumers. Sure, its basically a few free games from the eshop, but its not necessarily a must get, even at this time of year. Kudos to whoever thought of using a $35 gift card as an enticing promotion, especially after the huge holiday explosion that was Smash Bros. and Switch.

I didn't think much of the $35 promotion originally either.  However, I think this can also be treated as a $35 discount on a game of the person's choice.  A person who really wanted something like a Zelda bundle, for example, could download Zelda and already have $35 credit toward that.



PortisheadBiscuit said:
HyrulianScrolls said:

Siwtch's holiday sales this year are going to be completely absurd. I won't be surprised if it sets a new record for a system during q4.

Isn't holiday actually Q3? I can see Switch maybe breaking its own gen record this holiday, but the all time record by Wii is untouchable. 

Holiday is Q4 of the calendar year, Q3 of the fiscal year.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Kai_Mao said:
I'm kinda surprised the $35 gift card promotion for Switch is attractive enough to entice more consumers. Sure, its basically a few free games from the eshop, but its not necessarily a must get, even at this time of year. Kudos to whoever thought of using a $35 gift card as an enticing promotion, especially after the huge holiday explosion that was Smash Bros. and Switch.

Well, it can be seen as a 35$ discount for everybody who doesn't just play physical. Combine it with the sale in the eShop in February and you could get some great game with it.



The $35 gift card is like a temporary $35 price cut. Who buys a switch without a Mario / Smash / Pokemon game ?



03/08/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 7 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 38 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 47 (-2) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (+7) - 299.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 74 (+3) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 89 (+5) - 239.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 76 + 27 = 103 points (+7) ; XBO : 12 points (+5) ; NS : 180 + 58 + 52 = 290 points (-6)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 4 (+3) - 399.99$
4 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 8 (+6) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (-1) - 299.99$
6 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 14 (-5) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 46 (-4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 195 = 405 points (+15) ; XBO : 175 + 60 = 235 points (+22) ; NS : 205 + 155 + 145 = 505 points (-25)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 18 (-2)
2 (+4) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 83 (+30)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 102 (-10)
4 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 103 (+8)
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 108 (-13) - Unavailable
6 (-4) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 126 (-43)
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 135 (-19)
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 163 (+6) - Unavailable
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 192 (-1)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 50 = 220 points (-15) ; XBO : 49 + 38 + 5 = 92 point (-26) ; NS : 68 + 47 + 33 + 19 = 167 points (+8)

Overall :

1 - NS : 500.0 points (-1.8) ; Month Average : 675.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 383.4 points (-6.4) ; Month Average : 352.1 points/day ; 0.52 (+0.03)
3 (-1) - XBO : 193.2 points (-22.9) ; Month Average : 319.8 points/day ; 0.47 (-0.02)