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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

03/04/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 11 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 48 (+1) - 298.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (+1) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 64 (+5) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 83 (-) - 233.00$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 88 (-2) - 319.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 95 (-2) - TP
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 96 (+1) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 78 (R) - 299.99$


PS4 : 37 + 13 = 50 points (+3) ; XBO : 18 + 6 + 5 = 29 points (-1) ; NS : 160 + 56 + 52 = 268 points (+4)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 5 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 6 (+1) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 8 (+1) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 10 (+1) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 26 (-10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 59 (-15) - 299.99$

PS4 : 210 + 185 = 395 points (+5) ; XBO : 165 + 100 = 265 points (-72) ; NS : 205 + 190 + 175 = 570 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 10 (-)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 19 (-1)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Evee + Pokeball Charger - 26 (+12)
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 32 (+20)
5 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 39 (-11)
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 59 (+4)
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 109 (+16)
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 146 (-10)
9 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 153 (-6)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 28 = 193 points (-10) ; XBO : 115 + 92 + 24 = 231 point (-29) ; NS : 190 + 150 + 135 + 46 = 521 points (+73)

Overall :

1 - NS : 849.4 points (+78.2) ; Month Average : 810.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 399.4 points (-57.4) ; Month Average : 428.1 points/day ; 0.53 (-0.06)
3 - PS4 : 312.0 points (-6.6) ; Month Average : 315.3 points/day ; 0.39 (-0.02)

And thanks Bofferbrauer for accurately answering Tool related questions in my stead. Considering how little time I have right now to do this, I appreciate the help ;)

Changed in the formula based on the number of SKUs is still scheduled but I will need some time to do it properly which I lack right now...



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zorg1000 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said: 

Is that worth it, though? Blu-ray Player should be much cheaper than a XBOS by now

Regular Blu-Ray players are much cheaper but he's talking about 4K Blu-Ray players which I think are still like $200 if you get one of the big brands.

This.

I just remember them trying to push 4k blu ray players and xbox one S and X's on me when I bought a 4k TV. To get the best out of my TV... Naturally.

 

I tried to avoid retail and bought it elsewhere for price and because of this. It didn't matter.



Hardware revision shares (March 4):

PS4:

Slim: (13)*0.8+(210)*02+165= 217.4
Pro: 37*08+185*0.2+28= 94.6

Slim/Pro ratio: 69.7/30.3%

Xbox One:

S: ((18+6)*0.8+ (100)*0.2+115+92)*1.3= 320
X: (5*0.8+(165)*0.2+24)*1.3= 79.3

S/X ratio: 80.1/19.9%

Slim+S 537.4/Pro+X 173.9

Total ratio: 75.5%/24.5%

The ratio barely budges for a couple days now, But those tiny movements are all in favor for the base consoles right now.



04/04/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 9 (+2) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 53 (-3) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 54 (-6) - 298.99$
4 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 55 (R) - 299.99$
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 79 (-15) - 399.99$
6 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 91 (+5) - 399.99$
7 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 93 (-10) - 233.00$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 96 (-1) - 227.00$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 88 (-2) - 319.99$

PS4 : 46 + 22 = 68 points (+18) ; XBO : 10 + 8 + 5 = 23 points (-6) ; NS : 170 + 48 + 47 = 265 points (-3)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 5 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 7 (-2) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (-2) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 12 (-2) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 43 (-17) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 205 + 190 = 395 points (-) ; XBO : 155 + 66 = 221 points (-44) ; NS : 200 + 180 + 165 = 545 points (-25)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 13 (-3)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 15 (+4)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 34 (-2)
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Evee + Pokeball Charger - 38 (-14)
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 50 (+9)
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 56 (-17)
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 108 (+1)
8 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 121 (+25)
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 150 (+3)
10 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 157 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 40 = 215 points (+22) ; XBO : 102 + 96 + 26 = 224 point (-7) ; NS : 180 + 130 + 120 + 47 + 22 = 499 points (-22)

Overall :

1 - NS : 820.0 points (-29.4) ; Month Average : 813.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 372.6 points (-26.8) ; Month Average : 409.6 points/day ; 0.50 (-0.03)
3 - PS4 : 348.4 points (+36.4) ; Month Average : 326.3 points/day ; 0.40 (+0.01)



Hardware revision shares (March 5):

PS4:

Slim: (46)*0.8+(205)*02+175= 252.8
Pro: 22*08+190*0.2+40= 95.6

Slim/Pro ratio: 72.6/27.4%

Xbox One:

S: ((8+5)*0.8+ (66)*0.2+102+96)*1.3= 288
X: (10*0.8+(155)*0.2+26)*1.3= 84.5

S/X ratio: 77.3/22.7%

Slim+S 540.9/Pro+X 180.1

Total ratio: 75%/25%

Looks like the Xbox promotion is over, and with it the ratios are normalizing, not just between models but also between brands. What the Slim won the S lost, while both the Pro and the X had a very slight increase..



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Oh wow switch.



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Hardware revision shares (March 5):

PS4:

Slim: (46)*0.8+(205)*02+175= 252.8
Pro: 22*08+190*0.2+40= 95.6

Slim/Pro ratio: 72.6/27.4%

Xbox One:

S: ((8+5)*0.8+ (66)*0.2+102+96)*1.3= 288
X: (10*0.8+(155)*0.2+26)*1.3= 84.5

S/X ratio: 77.3/22.7%

Slim+S 540.9/Pro+X 180.1

Total ratio: 75%/25%

Looks like the Xbox promotion is over, and with it the ratios are normalizing, not just between models but also between brands. What the Slim won the S lost, while both the Pro and the X had a very slight increase..

XBOX 100$ Fallout promo is still on. XBO S/other X model 50 $ promo is over at BB but still on at Gamestop... don't ask me why :)



Symbios63 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Looks like the Xbox promotion is over, and with it the ratios are normalizing, not just between models but also between brands. What the Slim won the S lost, while both the Pro and the X had a very slight increase..

XBOX 100$ Fallout promo is still on. XBO S/other X model 50 $ promo is over at BB but still on at Gamestop... don't ask me why :)

So even with that 100$ off on a console Fallout 76 doesn't move anymore. I mean, they are barely charting at all despite the promo now.

Maybe Best Buy has already sold all it's allocated XBO models for the promo, but not Gamestop.



Wow, Switch is on fire and for apparently no reason.



The_Liquid_Laser said:
Wow, Switch is on fire and for apparently no reason.

35$ Gift card is certainly helping in this regard, as does the comeback of the PLG bundles on Gamestop.

However, I'm sure the Switch will still lead when the promotion ends, just not by as much.