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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

02/24/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 20 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 32 (+4) - 298.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 41 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 73 (-13) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 81 (-3) - 299.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 91 (-12) - 233.00$
7 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 100 (-33) - TP



Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 28 + 20 + 1 = 49 points (-49) ; XBO : 10 points (-12) ; NS : 115 + 88 + 70 = 273 points (+3)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 1 (+4) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 7 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 10 (-) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 13 (+2) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 14 (+2) - 249.99$
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 17 (-) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 26 (+29) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

9 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield V - 72 (+7) - 449.99$

PS4 : 195 + 180 = 375 points (+15) ; XBO : 165 + 145 + 100 = 410 points (+35) ; NS : 210 + 150 + 130 = 490 points (+30)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 25 (+18)
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 30 (+2)
3 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P - 130 (-27)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 142 (-24)
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 151 (-16)
6 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 178 (-6)
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P White - 190 (-23)

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 126 (+1)
9 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 178 (R)

PS4 : 30 + 25 = 55 points (-20) ; XBO : 150 + 36 + 12 + 6 = 204 point (+15) ; NS : 140 points (-45)

Overall :

1 - NS : 456.4 points (-36.6) ; Month Average : 498.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 169.2 points (-56.2) ; Month Average : 238.4 points/day ; 0.48 (-)
3 - XBO : 382.2 points (+16.1) ; Month Average : 235.6 points/day ; 0.47 (+0.01)



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Very interesting results for 2nd place. With it this close, I wouldn't fault the tool for getting 2nd and 3rd place in the wrong order as long as the results are close.



Hardware revision shares (Feb 24):

PS4:

Slim: (20+1)*0.8+195*02+25= 80.8
Pro: 28*08+180*0.2+30= 88.4

Slim/Pro ratio: 47.8/52.2%

Xbox One:

S: (12*0.8+ (145+100)*0.2+150+12)*1.3= 286.8
X: (0+(165)*0.2+36+6)*1.3= 97.5

S/X ratio: 74.6/25.4%

Slim+S 367.6/Pro+X 185.9

Total ratio: 66.4%/33.6%

The XBO S is currently outselling the other SKUs combined, which is pretty insane. On the other hand, the downward trend of the PS4 is pretty dramatic, especially for the slim, who sells less than half of what it did just 10 days ago.



Im so confused on those Xbox bundles. Why would someone buy the Fortnite bundle, a free game, instead of the Anthem or FO76 bundle when they're the same price?



Megiddo said:
Im so confused on those Xbox bundles. Why would someone buy the Fortnite bundle, a free game, instead of the Anthem or FO76 bundle when they're the same price?

What good would it do if you don't want to play those games? Also, iIrc, there are some unique items and some ingame currency with the Fortnite bundle, so for those who like to play Fortnite this is the best bundle.



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02/26/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 13 (+7) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 29 (+3) - 298.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 35 (+6) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 69 (+4) - 399.99$
5 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 74 (+26) - TP
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 80 (+1) - 299.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 83 (+8) - 233.00$
8 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 100 (R) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 32 + 27 + 21 = 80 points (+31) ; XBO : 18 + 1 = 19 points (+9) ; NS : 150 + 94 + 82 = 326 points (+53)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 6 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 9 (+1) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 12 (+1) - 299.99$
6 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 16 (+1) - 299.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 23 (-9) - 249.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 24 (+2) - 249.99$
9 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 78 (R) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 185 + 23 = 403 points (+28) ; XBO : 170 + 106 + 104 = 380 points (-30) ; NS : 205 + 155 + 135 = 495 points (+5)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 17 (+13)
2 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 32 (-7)
3 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 113 (+38)
4 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 179 (-1)
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 195 (-53)

Out of Top 100 :

3 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P - 130 (-27)
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 P White - 190 (-23)

PS4 : 44 + 3 = 47 points (-8) ; XBO : 135 + 11 = 146 point (-58) ; NS : 170 points (+30)

Overall :

1 - NS : 529.8 points (+73.4) ; Month Average : 498.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - XBO : 308.4 points (-73.8) ; Month Average : 241.7 points/day ; 0.48 (+0.01)
3 (-1) - PS4 : 191.6 points (+22.4) ; Month Average : 234.6 points/day ; 0.47 (-0.01)



Mar1217 said:
Switch crusing alongside the 500 bar nicely :o

And the PS4 seems to sit at the 200 bar, while the XBO has found a liking for the 300 bar these days.

Also, XBO overtook PS4 today.



Hardware revision shares (Feb 26):

PS4:

Slim: (27+24)*0.8+(195+23)*02+44= 128.4
Pro: 32*08+185*0.2+3= 65.6

Slim/Pro ratio: 66.2/33.8%

Xbox One:

S: (18*0.8+ (106+104)*0.2+135+11)*1.3= 263.1
X: (1*0.8+(170)*0.2+0)*1.3= 45.3

S/X ratio: 85.3/14.7%

Slim+S 391.5/Pro+X 110.9

Total ratio: 77.9%/22.1%

The XBO S is still outselling the other SKUs combined, but that also comes from both the Pro and especially the X crashing down right now



02/27/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 12 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 28 (+1) - 298.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 32 (+3) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 55 (+14) - 399.99$
5 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 65 (+18) - 233.00$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 76 (+4) - 319.99$
7 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 90 (-16) - TP
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 98 (+2) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 46 + 25 + 11 = 82 points (+2) ; XBO : 36 + 3 = 39 points (+20) ; NS : 155 + 96 + 88 = 339 points (+13)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 3 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 4 (+2) - 399.99$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 9 (+3) - 299.99$
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 10 (-1) - 399.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (+4) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 18 (+5) - 249.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 26 (-2) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

9 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 78 (R) - 299.99$

PS4 : 200 + 195 = 395 points (-8) ; XBO : 165 + 125 + 100 = 390 points (+10) ; NS : 205 + 170 + 155 = 530 points (+35)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 15 (+2)
2 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Anthem - 43 (-11)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 87 (+26)
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 149 (+30)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 150 (+45)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 64 + 26 = 90 points (+43) ; XBO : 108 + 26 = 134 point (-12) ; NS : 175 points (+5)

Overall :

1 - NS : 552.2 points (+22.4) ; Month Average : 500.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 316.2 points (+7.8) ; Month Average : 244.6 points/day ; 0.49 (+0.01)
3 - PS4 : 234.6 points (+43.0) ; Month Average : 234.6 points/day ; 0.47 (-)



Hardware revision shares (Feb 27):

PS4:

Slim: (25+11)*0.8+(200+23)*02+64= 137.4
Pro: 46*08+195*0.2+26= 101.8

Slim/Pro ratio: 57.4/42.6%

Xbox One:

S: (36*0.8+ (125+100)*0.2+108+26)*1.3= 270.1
X: (3*0.8+(165)*0.2+0)*1.3= 46

S/X ratio: 85.4/14.6%

Slim+S 407.5/Pro+X 147.8

Total ratio: 73.4%/26.6%

The Pro did recover quite a bit, but the S-to-X ratio almost didn't change at all

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 27 February 2019