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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

globalisateur on 01 February 2019

 

Symbios63 said:
01/31/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (+1) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 34 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 38 (+1) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 59 (+11) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 85 (+3) - 319.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 100 (-3) - 236.98$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 97 (-1) - 229.99$

PS4 : 76 + 42 + 16 = 134 points (+16) ; XBO : 1 points (-3) ; NS : 140 + 84 = 224 points (+5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (-2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (+4) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 9 (+6) - 399.99$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 12 (+37) - 299.99$
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 13 (-) - 249.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 20 (+72) - 449.99$
7 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 22 (R) - 449.99$
8 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 66 (R) - 449.99$
9 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 77 (R) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 170 = 345 points (+50) ; XBO : 155 + 115 + 108 + 35 + 24 = 437 points (+374) ; NS : 195 + 150 = 345 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 51 (+4)
2 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 117 (+10)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 131 (-12)
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 160 (+3)
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 161 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 109 (-5)

PS4 : 42 + 21 = 63 points (-39) ; XBO : 20 point (+20) ; NS : 100 + 35 = 135 points (-2)

Overall :

1 - NS : 383.2 points (-) ; Month Average : 421.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 267.2 points (-16.2) ; Month Average : 324.6 points/day ; 0.77 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 140.7 points (+120.2) ; Month Average : 37.9 points/day ; 0.09 (+0.02)

XB1 Fortnite bundle is at $249 at best buy. There is a $50 price cut on all XB1 models at best buy and gamestop and probably elsewhere. MS started the 2019 promotions.



Around the Network
Symbios63 on 01 February 2019

02/01/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 14 (+1) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 28 (+6) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 35 (+3) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 63 (-4) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 81 (+4) - 319.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 95 (R) - 229.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 100 (-3) - 236.98$

PS4 : 82 + 38 + 20 = 140 points (+6) ; XBO : 6 points (+5) ; NS : 145 + 96 = 241 points (+17)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 9 (-) - 399.99$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (+3) - 299.99$
5 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 19 (-7) - 249.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 24 (-2) - 449.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 25 (-5) - 449.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 100 (-34) - 449.99$

Out of Top 100 :

9 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 77 (R) - 249.99$

PS4 : 175 + 170 = 345 points (-) ; XBO : 120 + 104 + 102 + 1 = 327 points (-110) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 365 points (+20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 44 (+7)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 126 (-9)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 144 (-13)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 154 (+6)
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 173 (-12)

Out of Top 100 :

2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 109 (-5)

PS4 : 38 + 24 = 62 points (-1) ; XBO : 14 point (-6) ; NS : 108 + 29 = 137 points (+2)

Overall :

1 - NS : 402.8 points (+19.6) ; Month Average : 420.7 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 271.0 points (+3.8) ; Month Average : 322.7 points/day ; 0.77 (-)
3 - XBO : 109.5 points (-31.2) ; Month Average : 40.6 points/day ; 0.10 (+0.01)



Bofferbrauer2 on 02 February 2019

Like discussed a couple days ago, I'll check here how much the different versions of the consoles are selling. So without further ado:

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 20+82+175+24=301 55%
Pro: 38+170+38=246 45%

Xbox One:

S: 6+120+14=140 40.4%
X: 104+102+1=207 59.6%

Slim+S 441/Pro+X 453 49.3%/50.7%

It looks like the mid-gen upgrade is now making up about half of the sales of PS4 and XBO combined, with the Pro still a bit below the Slim, but the X selling considerably better than the S. Let's see if this will be a trend or just a result for today with no connection to the general trend.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 02 February 2019

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

jason1637 on 02 February 2019
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Like discussed a couple days ago, I'll check here how much the different versions of the consoles are selling. So without further ado:

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 20+82+175+24=301 55%
Pro: 38+170+38=246 45%

Xbox One:

S: 6+120+14=140 40.4%
X: 104+102+1=207 59.6%

Slim+S 441/Pro+X 453 49.3%/50.7%

It looks like the mid-gen upgrade is now making up about half of the sales of PS4 and XBO combined, with the Pro still a bit below the Slim, but the X selling considerably better than the S. Let's see if this will be a trend or just a result for today with no connection to the general trend.

During the holidays both the XBO and PS4 were up YOY revenue wise even though sales were down by a lot. The holidays are known for people going with the cheaper model so XBO and PS4 having 45-60% of sales coming from the premium model in January makes a lot of sense.



Bofferbrauer2 on 02 February 2019
jason1637 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Like discussed a couple days ago, I'll check here how much the different versions of the consoles are selling. So without further ado:

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 20+82+175+24=301 55%
Pro: 38+170+38=246 45%

Xbox One:

S: 6+120+14=140 40.4%
X: 104+102+1=207 59.6%

Slim+S 441/Pro+X 453 49.3%/50.7%

It looks like the mid-gen upgrade is now making up about half of the sales of PS4 and XBO combined, with the Pro still a bit below the Slim, but the X selling considerably better than the S. Let's see if this will be a trend or just a result for today with no connection to the general trend.

During the holidays both the XBO and PS4 were up YOY revenue wise even though sales were down by a lot. The holidays are known for people going with the cheaper model so XBO and PS4 having 45-60% of sales coming from the premium model in January makes a lot of sense.

I agree.

The question is though, will this just be for January or will we have a similar ratio throughout the year? Hence why I'll do this every day on Symbios' numbers and see where the ratio is going to and at what speed



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

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chakkra on 02 February 2019
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Like discussed a couple days ago, I'll check here how much the different versions of the consoles are selling. So without further ado:

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 20+82+175+24=301 55%
Pro: 38+170+38=246 45%

Xbox One:

S: 6+120+14=140 40.4%
X: 104+102+1=207 59.6%

Slim+S 441/Pro+X 453 49.3%/50.7%

It looks like the mid-gen upgrade is now making up about half of the sales of PS4 and XBO combined, with the Pro still a bit below the Slim, but the X selling considerably better than the S. Let's see if this will be a trend or just a result for today with no connection to the general trend.

Thank you! I wanted to do this for a long time but I´m just too lazy.



Symbios63 on 03 February 2019

02/03/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 21 (-7) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 33 (-5) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 41 (-6) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 66 (-3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 87 (-6) - 319.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 98 (R) - 236.98$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 95 (R) - 229.99$

PS4 : 70 + 35 + 14 = 119 points (-21) ; XBO : 3 points (-3) ; NS : 110 + 86 = 196 points (-45)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 6 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (-2) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 18 (+1) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 46 (-22) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 47 (-22) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 100 (-34) - 449.99$

PS4 : 185 + 160 = 345 points (-) ; XBO : 125 + 60 + 58 = 243 points (-84) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 365 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 43 (+1)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 90 (+36)
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 132 (+22)
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 134 (+39)
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 145 (-1)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 62 + 35 = 97 points (+35) ; XBO : 34 point (+20) ; NS : 108 + 28 = 136 points (-1)

Overall :

1 - NS : 365.8 points (-37.0) ; Month Average : 417.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 289.2 points (+18.2) ; Month Average : 319.8 points/day ; 0.77 (-)
3 - XBO : 110.5 points (+1.0) ; Month Average : 46.0 points/day ; 0.11 (+0.01)


When is "NPD January" ending ?



StarDoor on 03 February 2019

Symbios63 said:

When is "NPD January" ending ?

It ended yesterday.



Bofferbrauer2 on 03 February 2019

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 70+14+185+35=304 54.2%
Pro: 35+160+62=257 45.8%

Xbox One:

S: 3+125+34=162 57.9%
X: 60+58=118 43.1%

Slim+S 466/Pro+X 375 55.1%/44.9%

Complete reversal on XBO side where the X came crashing down, as a result the base consoles now sell a bit better than the upgrade ones.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Symbios63 on 04 February 2019

02/04/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (+4) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 27 (+6) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 37 (+4) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 64 (+2) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 93 (-6) - 319.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 98 (R) - 236.98$

PS4 : 78 + 37 + 8 = 123 points (+4) ; XBO : 0 points (-3) ; NS : 130 + 98 = 228 points (+32)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 7 (+4) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 8 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 9 (-3) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 20 (+26) - 399.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 25 (-7) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 59 (-12) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 180 + 170 = 350 points (+5) ; XBO : 115 + 102 + 42 = 259 points (+16) ; NS : 205 + 175 = 375 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 33 (+10)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 89 (+1)
3 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 128 (+17)
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 141 (-9)
5 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 167 (-33)


Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 62 + 30 = 92 points (-5) ; XBO : 17 point (-17) ; NS : 130 + 37 = 167 points (+31)

Overall :

1 - NS : 424.4 points (+58.6) ; Month Average : 395.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 260.4 points (-0.8) ; Month Average : 260.8 points/day ; 0.66 (-)
3 - XBO : 89.4 points (-21.1) ; Month Average : 100.0 points/day ; 0.25 (-)

Two days into February NPD.

Thank you StarDoor !!

No preorder this month.