In progress NPD predicting tool

Jaxyfoo

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Jaxyfoo on 20 November 2018

PS4 > Switch > Xbox one magically has kindly informed us. Numbers incoming soon I guess, once people do the maths.

nero

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nero on 20 November 2018

October...

PS4: 1.34
Switch: 1
Xbox One: 0.83
3DS：0.26

YoY:

PS4: +62%
Switch: -12%
Xbox One: +64%
3DS: -45%

Initial sales performance of Pokemon Let's Go is about in line with Nintendo's expectation, and it's a strong one.

From magicpork on the era forum.

Has Nintendo ever won any November?

Train wreck

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Train wreck on 20 November 2018

nero said:
October...

PS4: 1.34
Switch: 1
Xbox One: 0.83
3DS：0.26

YoY:

PS4: +62%
Switch: -12%
Xbox One: +64%
3DS: -45%

Initial sales performance of Pokemon Let's Go is about in line with Nintendo's expectation, and it's a strong one.

From magicpork on the era forum.

Has Nintendo ever won any November?

Yes...from 2006 to at least 2010, All November:

2006 NDS

2007 NDS

2008 NDS

2009 Wii

2010 NDS

2011 X360

2012 X360

2013 PS4

2014 Xbox One

2015 PS4

2016 PS4

2017 PS4

Mbolibombo

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Mbolibombo on 20 November 2018

nero said:
October...

PS4: 1.34
Switch: 1
Xbox One: 0.83
3DS：0.26

YoY:

PS4: +62%
Switch: -12%
Xbox One: +64%
3DS: -45%

Initial sales performance of Pokemon Let's Go is about in line with Nintendo's expectation, and it's a strong one.

From magicpork on the era forum.

Has Nintendo ever won any November?

Wii / DS era

Those numbers roughly translates to:

PS4 ~340k
NSW ~260k
Xbox ~215k

Seems reasonable, good months for the twins, I guess RDR2 is to thank for the big raises and NSW slightly down due to nothing close to Odyssey in 2018.

Gotta wonder about that hint of Pokemon.. what could Nintendos expectations be?

Kerotan

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Kerotan on 20 November 2018

YESSSS I knew this tracker was wrong for October. It was obvious ps4 would win the month. Glad to lay that to rest.

MasonADC

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MasonADC on 20 November 2018

Mbolibombo said:

nero said:
October...

PS4: 1.34
Switch: 1
Xbox One: 0.83
3DS：0.26

YoY:

PS4: +62%
Switch: -12%
Xbox One: +64%
3DS: -45%

Initial sales performance of Pokemon Let's Go is about in line with Nintendo's expectation, and it's a strong one.

From magicpork on the era forum.

Has Nintendo ever won any November?

Wii / DS era

Those numbers roughly translates to:

PS4 ~340k
NSW ~260k
Xbox ~215k

Seems reasonable, good months for the twins, I guess RDR2 is to thank for the big raises and NSW slightly down due to nothing close to Odyssey in 2018.

Gotta wonder about that hint of Pokemon.. what could Nintendos expectations be?

I would assume enough to reach 20 million

Megiddo

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Megiddo on 20 November 2018

Guess Super Mario Party and in particular the Smash bundle wasn't quite as strong as the tool had calculated it to be. Also RDR2 pro bundle was drastically underestimated as I expected it to be.

gtjay1982

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gtjay1982 on 20 November 2018

Yeah the actual results make more sense. Tracker has been solid but multiple skus give it issues.

Mbolibombo

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Mbolibombo on 20 November 2018

MasonADC said:

Mbolibombo said:

Wii / DS era

Those numbers roughly translates to:

PS4 ~340k
NSW ~260k
Xbox ~215k

Seems reasonable, good months for the twins, I guess RDR2 is to thank for the big raises and NSW slightly down due to nothing close to Odyssey in 2018.

Gotta wonder about that hint of Pokemon.. what could Nintendos expectations be?

I would assume enough to reach 20 million

It's a good start before the holiday for sure. Trend is good, let's see how much work Pokemon and Smash can do.

Also, appears I might have had the wrong number for PS4?

PS4 might be 332K. Doesnt really matter, great numbers all around.

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Mr.GameCrazy on 20 November 2018

Megiddo said:
Guess Super Mario Party and in particular the Smash bundle wasn't quite as strong as the tool had calculated it to be. Also RDR2 pro bundle was drastically underestimated as I expected it to be.

The Smash Bros Nintendo Switch bundle wasn't released until November 2.

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