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In progress NPD predicting tool

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Symbios63 said:

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1613.3 points (-25.8) ; Month Average : 1423.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 280.5 points (+30.9) ; Month Average : 384.2 points/day ; 0.27 (-0.01)
3 - PS4 : 279.6 points (-28.0) ; Month Average : 336.8 points/day ; 0.24 (-)

The calm before the storm...



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So far what Benji said on Era aligns with the tools November tracking.
"To be clear we are only 1 week into November tracking and Switch is soaring already"



jason1637 said:
So far what Benji said on Era aligns with the tools November tracking.
"To be clear we are only 1 week into November tracking and Switch is soaring already"

Also good for the tool's October result.  Most of this first week momentum is due to the Smash and Diablo bundles, especially Smash, and those launched in the final days of the October tracking period.  And it was the preorders for those that drove the Switch's big October lead.



jason1637 said:
So far what Benji said on Era aligns with the tools November tracking.
"To be clear we are only 1 week into November tracking and Switch is soaring already"

 

Could you quote his post for me please?



JSG87 said:
jason1637 said:
So far what Benji said on Era aligns with the tools November tracking.
"To be clear we are only 1 week into November tracking and Switch is soaring already"

 

Could you quote his post for me please?

Not sure if linking to other forums are availible.. but post #415 in the October NPD prediction thread.



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Mbolibombo said:
JSG87 said:

 

Could you quote his post for me please?

Not sure if linking to other forums are availible.. but post #415 in the October NPD prediction thread.

 

I fount it. Thanks!



11/13/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 13 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 35 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 37 (R) - 399.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 39 (-2) - 399.99$
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 65 (+12) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 74 + 36 = 110 points (+8) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 150 + 82 + 78 = 310 points (+80)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 1 (-) - 359.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 2 (-) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 3 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 6 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 7 (-) - 299.99$
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 14 (-) - 499.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 17 (-) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 20 (-) - 499.99$
10 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 25 (-) - 299.99$
11 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 54 (+1) - 499.99$
12 (-) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 57 (-) - 299.99$
13 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 71 (-) - 499.99$
14 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 90 (-) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 205 + 200 + 145 = 550 points (-) ; XBO : 185 + 115 + 102 + 46 + 44 + 30 = 523 points (+1) ; NS : 210 + 190 + 180 + 130 + 11 = 721 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 2 (+1)
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 12 (+1)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 26 (+2)
4 (+3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 66 (+28)
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 76 (+1)
6 (+3) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 115 (+36)
7 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 119 (+22)

Out of Top 100 :

2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 9 (-)
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Evee! - 35 (-7)
10 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 195 (-12)

PS4 : 86 + 41 = 127 points (+39) ; XBO : 76 points (+2) ; NS : 210 + 185 + 150 + 43 = 588 points (-285)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1392.3 points (-221.0) ; Month Average : 1420.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 283.4 points (+2.9) ; Month Average : 375.1 points/day ; 0.26 (-0.01)
3 - PS4 : 325.0 points (+45.4) ; Month Average : 335.7 points/day ; 0.24 (-)



Seems like the first 2-3 weeks of November will be an easy Switch lock. As for Black Friday, let's see !



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

11/14/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 12 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 31 (+4) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 36 (+3) - 399.99$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 53 (+12) - 299.99$
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 100 (-63) - Out of Stock

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 48 = 128 points (+18) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 155 + 90 + 1 = 246 points (-64)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 1 (-) - 359.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 2 (-) - 399.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 3 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 5 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 6 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 7 (-) - 299.99$
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 14 (-) - 499.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 17 (-) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 20 (-) - 499.99$
10 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 25 (-) - 299.99$
11 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 54 (+1) - 499.99$
12 (-) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 57 (-) - 299.99$
13 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 71 (-) - 499.99$
14 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 89 (+1) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 205 + 200 + 145 = 550 points (-) ; XBO : 185 + 115 + 102 + 46 + 44 + 30 = 523 points (-) ; NS : 210 + 190 + 180 + 130 + 12 = 722 points (+1)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 3 (-1)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 5 (+7)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 34 (-8)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 55 (+11)
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 93 (+22)
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 102 (-26)
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 108 (+11)
8 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 168 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 9 (-)
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Evee! - 35 (-7)


PS4 : 96 + 47 = 143 points (+16) ; XBO : 50 points (-26) ; NS : 205 + 200 + 130 + 58 + 17 = 610 points (+22)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1363.3 points (-29.0) ; Month Average : 1415.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 249.6 points (-33.8) ; Month Average : 364.6 points/day ; 0.26 (-)
3 - PS4 : 355.4 points (+30.4) ; Month Average : 337.4 points/day ; 0.24 (-)



October NPD should hopefully leak tomorrow evening 

Last edited by MasonADC - on 14 November 2018