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In progress NPD predicting tool

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One thing to keep in mind with Switch's lead is that it is being fueled by pre-black friday deals to a large degree. The Pokemon bundles release before then and the Diablo and Smash bundles are out now. Black Friday makes up a big, big percentage of the month though. I will say though, Nintendo is going into this month and black friday much better equipped then last time. I'm certain it will be up yoy, question is if it will beat the other two.



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Kerotan said:
PortisheadBiscuit said:

Lol. Where is ol' CliffRick anyway? Been kinda silent lately 

Well that 10 day ban was followed by a 2 week ban so he won't be back until Black Friday.

Barkley said:

Switch > XBO > PS4 according to this tool.

Ratios - Switch 1, XBO 0.74, PS4 0.66.

I just can't see it working out like that for October. When do we get results? 

MasonADC said:

Even then, being in first by three times the closer competitor is a really strong start. We also have October results to look forward too

Again I just can't see it. IMO PS4 will beat Switch for October and November. 

I can't see it winning October either, but November is to crazy for me to predict, so anything could happen.  It definitely won't be as big as a gap like last year November. Plus, maybe the smash bundle did wonders for the october npd



Nuvendil said:
One thing to keep in mind with Switch's lead is that it is being fueled by pre-black friday deals to a large degree. The Pokemon bundles release before then and the Diablo and Smash bundles are out now. Black Friday makes up a big, big percentage of the month though. I will say though, Nintendo is going into this month and black friday much better equipped then last time. I'm certain it will be up yoy, question is if it will beat the other two.

Yea I think Nintendo is setting itself up for a better Black Friday this year than last year as well. Last year, not a lot of bundles and the Pokemon Let's Go, Diablo III, Fornite, and Smash Bros. bundles appear more appealing than the lone Mario Odyssey bundle, no matter how great the game was/is. Plus, the $299 Switch + Mario Kart 8 Deluxe BF deal (albeit, it appears to be only a Target exclusive deal) is enticing as well.



Kai_Mao said:
Nuvendil said:
One thing to keep in mind with Switch's lead is that it is being fueled by pre-black friday deals to a large degree. The Pokemon bundles release before then and the Diablo and Smash bundles are out now. Black Friday makes up a big, big percentage of the month though. I will say though, Nintendo is going into this month and black friday much better equipped then last time. I'm certain it will be up yoy, question is if it will beat the other two.

Yea I think Nintendo is setting itself up for a better Black Friday this year than last year as well. Last year, not a lot of bundles and the Pokemon Let's Go, Diablo III, Fornite, and Smash Bros. bundles appear more appealing than the lone Mario Odyssey bundle, no matter how great the game was/is. Plus, the $299 Switch + Mario Kart 8 Deluxe BF deal (albeit, it appears to be only a Target exclusive deal) is enticing as well.

BestBuy confirmed the same Mario Kart Bundle



Nuvendil said:
One thing to keep in mind with Switch's lead is that it is being fueled by pre-black friday deals to a large degree. The Pokemon bundles release before then and the Diablo and Smash bundles are out now. Black Friday makes up a big, big percentage of the month though. I will say though, Nintendo is going into this month and black friday much better equipped then last time. I'm certain it will be up yoy, question is if it will beat the other two.

Switch definitely seems poised to have a better November than last year with Pokemon and all the various bundles. Beating a $199 PS4 bundled with Superman might be a tough task though. November all depends on how much stock Sony provides for BF. 



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MasonADC said:
Kai_Mao said:

Yea I think Nintendo is setting itself up for a better Black Friday this year than last year as well. Last year, not a lot of bundles and the Pokemon Let's Go, Diablo III, Fornite, and Smash Bros. bundles appear more appealing than the lone Mario Odyssey bundle, no matter how great the game was/is. Plus, the $299 Switch + Mario Kart 8 Deluxe BF deal (albeit, it appears to be only a Target exclusive deal) is enticing as well.

BestBuy confirmed the same Mario Kart Bundle

Ok cool



PortisheadBiscuit said:
Nuvendil said:
One thing to keep in mind with Switch's lead is that it is being fueled by pre-black friday deals to a large degree. The Pokemon bundles release before then and the Diablo and Smash bundles are out now. Black Friday makes up a big, big percentage of the month though. I will say though, Nintendo is going into this month and black friday much better equipped then last time. I'm certain it will be up yoy, question is if it will beat the other two.

Switch definitely seems poised to have a better November than last year with Pokemon and all the various bundles. Beating a $199 PS4 bundled with Superman might be a tough task though. November all depends on how much stock Sony provides for BF. 

After last year it would be a bit weird if Sony didn't provide enough stock. It's not like if they have 20% of stock unsold t won't sell over the 2 weeks after. And with such a good software line up on the platform now how could they underestimate it again. 



Benji on era said he's seen different things for October and isn't sure on the ranking. So October is up for grabs for anyone.
Also this November is going to be huge. This year it includes the week after black Friday which includes cyber monday. And the PS4 $199 deals start a few days before black friday.



Kai_Mao said:
MasonADC said:

BestBuy confirmed the same Mario Kart Bundle

Ok cool

Also at Walmart.  Which also shows a pic of it that shows it is a proper bundle and not just a deal, which will help I think.



PortisheadBiscuit said:
Nuvendil said:
One thing to keep in mind with Switch's lead is that it is being fueled by pre-black friday deals to a large degree. The Pokemon bundles release before then and the Diablo and Smash bundles are out now. Black Friday makes up a big, big percentage of the month though. I will say though, Nintendo is going into this month and black friday much better equipped then last time. I'm certain it will be up yoy, question is if it will beat the other two.

Switch definitely seems poised to have a better November than last year with Pokemon and all the various bundles. Beating a $199 PS4 bundled with Superman might be a tough task though. November all depends on how much stock Sony provides for BF. 

Yeah I agree with this, I think Switch will do better this year. It all depends as you say how much stock Sony decide to provide, that will make the difference. Last year they could have sold tons more but didn't and still won, with a stonger Nintendo this year, if they cut corners in numbers (as in restrict it to limit costs) then they won't win.



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