By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Train wreck said:

Why are the smash bundles still counted when they are out of stock?  Benji mentioned that the quantities (Gamestop wise and its out of stock at Best Buy) for the bundle was limited.

^^ Smash bundle is sold out online too.



Around the Network

Switch building as big a gap as possible before the inevitable onslaught of black Friday. Going to be an interesting holiday season!



11/16/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (+3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 31 (+2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 36 (-) - 399.99$
4 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 47 (R) - Out of Stock
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 54 (+2) - 299.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 97 (R) - 253.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 47 = 127 points (+2) ; XBO : 4 point (+4) ; NS : 160 + 90 + 58 = 308 points (+77)


- Best Buy :

1 (+3) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+3) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 7 (-5) - 399.99$
3 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 13 (-12) - 299.99$
4 (+3) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 18 (-8) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 23 (-16) - 299.99$
6 (+7) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 39 (+23) - 499.99$
7 (-4) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 55 (-52) - 359.99$
8 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 57 (N) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 6 (+1) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 17 (-3) - 499.99$
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 21 (-1) - 499.99$
10 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 32 (-7) - 299.99$
11 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 57 (-3) - 499.99$
12 (-) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 58 (-1) - 299.99$
14 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 91 (-2) - 399.99$

PS4 : 180 + 150 = 330 points (-215) ; XBO : 106 + 74 + 44 = 224 points (-280) ; NS : 210 + 125 + 46 = 381 points (-374)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 2 (+2)
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 31 (+6)
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 51 (+10)
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 73 (+16)
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 90 (+25)
6 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 97 (+37)
7 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 129 (+61)

Out of Top 100 :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 2 (+1)
7 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 132 (-30)


PS4 : 100 + 62 + 36 = 198 points (+59) ; XBO : 0 points (-35) ; NS : 210 + 135 + 78 + 54 = 477 points (-154)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1211.7 points (-167.2) ; Month Average : 1398.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 365.6 points (+17.6) ; Month Average : 340.2 points/day ; 0.24 (-)
3 (-1) - XBO : 111.0 points (-114.2) ; Month Average : 336.5 points/day ; 0.24 (-0.01)



Mar1217 said:
I guess this mean nobody was willing to tell (or leak) NPD numbers/ratio over ResetEra. We'll have to wait !

There was an error in the process, so physical media got delayed until today evening or Monday Morning 



No npd leaks yet?



Around the Network
ironmanDX said:
No npd leaks yet?

Nope an error or something caused a delay, should be Monday morning



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

11/18/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (N) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 2 (N) - 199.99$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (-4) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 33 (-2) - 299.00$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 60 (-6) - 299.99$
5 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb - 69 (R)
6 (-3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 89 (-53) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

4 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 47 (R) - Out of Stock
6 (R) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 97 (R) - 253.00$

PS4 : 205 + 41 + 12 = 258 points (+131) ; XBO : 32 point (+28) ; NS : 140 + 86 = 226 points (-82)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 10 (R) - 399.99$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 13 (-6) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 16 (+2) - 299.99$
5 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 20 (-7) - 299.99$
6 (N) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Evee! - 21 (N) - 399.99$
7 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 29 (-6) - 299.99$
8 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 45 (-6) - 499.99$
9 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 79 (-22) - 429.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-4) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 55 (-52) - 359.99$

PS4 : 150 + 115 = 265 points (-65) ; XBO : 94 + 62 + 22 = 178 points (-46) ; NS : 205 + 165 + 135 + 110 = 615 points (+234)


- Gamestop :

1 (N) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb Spiderman Bundle - 1 (N)
2 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu! - 6 (R)
3 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 10 (-8)
4 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Evee! - 14 (R)
5 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 15 (N)
6 (-4) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 35 (-4)
7 (-4) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 51 (-)
8 (-4) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 60 (+13)
9 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 Bundle - 104 (R)
10 (-5) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 112 (-22)
11 (-5) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 113 (-16)
12 (-5) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 165 (-36)
13 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 192 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 100 + 45 + 18 = 373 points (+175) ; XBO : 175 + 49 + 5 = 229 points (+229) ; NS : 200 + 190 + 180 + 125 + 92 + 44 = 831 points (+354)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1546.9 points (+335.2) ; Month Average : 1406.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 632.4 points (+266.8) ; Month Average : 368.3 points/day ; 0.26 (+0.02)
3 (-1) - XBO : 425.9 points (+314.9) ; Month Average : 337.8 points/day ; 0.24 (-)



Symbios63 said:
11/18/18 :


Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1546.9 points (+335.2) ; Month Average : 1406.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 632.4 points (+266.8) ; Month Average : 368.3 points/day ; 0.26 (+0.02)
3 (-1) - XBO : 425.9 points (+314.9) ; Month Average : 337.8 points/day ; 0.24 (-)

So is the Spiderman bundle now available for $199?

I think this is where the tool will struggle to accurately match real world (as is expected)....

Be interesting to track the difference between this years days available and last years days available (if anyone has that info) and that could be fed into the tool based on last years sales.



Making an indie game : Dead of Day!

Symbios63 said:
Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1546.9 points (+335.2) ; Month Average : 1406.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 632.4 points (+266.8) ; Month Average : 368.3 points/day ; 0.26 (+0.02)
3 (-1) - XBO : 425.9 points (+314.9) ; Month Average : 337.8 points/day ; 0.24 (-)

So it begins...



Benji said some pretty good stuff about Pokemon Let's go. It should continue to move systems until Smash