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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Miyamotoo said:
Symbios63 

Can you pls update OP with all past months results (tracker and NPD results).

We missing August and September results, and July missing NPD numbers.

Done ;)



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Symbios63 said:
Miyamotoo said:

Can you pls update OP with all past months results (tracker and NPD results).

We missing August and September results, and July missing NPD numbers.

Done ;)

Tnx! :)

 

Switch this month looks very strong, based on this seems we can expect 300k+ month for Switch!?



Yeah, I think PS4 and Xbone will be competitive with each other this month but I expect PS4 to come out on top. Wouldn't be the first month Xbone messed with the tool.

 

Switch is looking very likely to win though.  And not seeing much evidence to suggest this to be wrong.  Question will be ratio accuracy.



The Smash bundle comes out during October NPD tracking right?



Shaqazooloo0 said:
The Smash bundle comes out during October NPD tracking right?

Yep.  And the Direct is right before it launches and that ain't no coincidence.



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Shaqazooloo0 said:
The Smash bundle comes out during October NPD tracking right?

Yes and this is the reason for almost half of the switch points this month ;)



Mar1217 said:

If Nintendo can actually stock it correctly ,,, I guess we could witness some ... Smashing results !

Seeing as they are planning to ship 20m for the fiscal year, I'm guessing they have the stock part figured out.



11/01/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 16 (+23) - 359.99$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 24 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 44 (+3) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 45 (-) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 point (-) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 135 + 104 + 64 + 62 = 365 points (+65)


- Best Buy :

1 (+5) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 33 (-18) - 399.99$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 36 (-34) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 37 (-30) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 42 (-36) - 299.99$
5 (+3) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 43 (+15) - 499.99$
6 (+3) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 49 (+14) - 299.99$
7 (+4) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 60 (+15) - 299.99$
8 (-6) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 61 (-56) - 299.99$
9 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 70 (+4) - 299.99$
10 (-5) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 81 (-73) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 17 (-4) - 359.99$
12 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 80 (-4) - 499.99$
13 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 87 (-2) - 499.99$ - November 9th

PS4 : 86 + 80 + 20 = 186 points (-334) ; XBO : 78 + 66 + 54 + 31 = 229 points (-80) ; NS : 68 + 41 + 40 = 149 points (-382)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 3 (-2)
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 5 (-1)
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 7 (-2) - November 16th
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 13 (-)
5 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (P) - 14 (-2)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Evee! Bundle - 21 (+2) - November 16th
7 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 (D) - 44 (+5)
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (D) - 45 (-1)
9 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 (P) - 49 (+9)
10 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves + RDR2 (P) - 50 (+11)
11 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 67 (+8)
12 (-5) - XBox One X 1Tb + RDR2 (P) - 69 (-39)
13 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 82 (+12)
14 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves + RDR2 (D) - 93 (+8)
15 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 113 (-20)
16 (+4) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 114 (+18)
17 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 118 (-5) - 299.99$ - November 20th
18 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (SE) - 126 (-14)
19 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (UE) - 134 (-13)
20 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 - 140 (+28)
21 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 160 (-1)

Out of Top 100 :

12 (-3) - XBox One X 1Tb - 68 (-19)
23 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb + RDR2 (D) - 188 (N)

PS4 : 180 + 84 + 44 = 308 points (-6) ; XBO : 180 + 108 + 106 + 102 + 102 + 82 + 58 + 38 + 34 + 31 = 841 points (-121) ; NS : 205 + 200 + 70 + 44 + 21 = 540 points (+11)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1057.9 points (-13.4) ; Month Average : 848.2 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 1239.9 points (-178.1) ; Month Average : 646.7 points/day ; 0.76 (+0.02)
3 - PS4 : 464.9 points (-72.8) ; Month Average : 564.2 points/day ; 0.67 (-0.01)

Best buy behaving strangely again...



11/02/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 4 (+12) - 359.99$
2 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 18 (R) - 399.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 26 (-2) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 48 (-4) - 299.00$
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 51 (-6) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 125 point (+125) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 195 + 100 + 56 + 50 = 401 points (+36)


- Best Buy :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (+35) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 3 (+34) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (+38) - 299.99$
4 (+4) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 6 (+55) - 299.99$
5 (+5) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 9 (+72) - 499.99$
6 (-5) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 15 (+18) - 399.99$
7 (R) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 21 (R) - 359.99$
8 (-3) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 58 (-15) - 499.99$
9 (-3) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 60 (-11) - 299.99$
10 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 68 (-8) - 299.99$
11 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 70 (-) - 299.99$
12 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb - 81 (R) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 170 + 140 = 520 points (+334) ; XBO : 200 + 43 + 41 + 31 + 20 = 335 points (+106) ; NS : 195 + 185 + 110 + 33 = 523 points (+374)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 5 (-2)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 8 (-3)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 9 (-2) - November 16th
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 17 (-4)
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (P) - 18 (-4)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Evee! Bundle - 27 (-6) - November 16th
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 (D) - 33 (+11)
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (D) - 45 (-)
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 (P) - 47 (+2)
10 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves + RDR2 (P) - 72 (-22)
11 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 79 (-12)
12 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb + RDR2 (P) - 82 (-13)
13 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 85 (-3)
14 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 101 (+13)
15 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Sea of Thieves + RDR2 (D) - 102 (-9)
16 (+3) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (UE) - 138 (-4)
17 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 143 (-30)
18 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 + RDR2 - 146 (-6)
19 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 159 (+1)
20 (-3) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 178 (-60) - 299.99$ - November 20th
21 (-3) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 + RDR2 (SE) - 181 (-55)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 72 + 29 = 271 points (-37) ; XBO : 170 + 130 + 106 + 104 + 80 + 70 + 50 + 32 + 28 + 10 = 780 points (-61) ; NS : 200 + 195 + 66 + 50 + 21 = 532 points (-8)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1153.5 points (+95.6) ; Month Average : 859.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 1188.2 points (-51.7) ; Month Average : 666.8 points/day ; 0.78 (+0.02)
3 - PS4 : 594.7 points (+129.8) ; Month Average : 565.4 points/day ; 0.66 (-0.01)



Damn switch tying with xbox