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Prediction: Labo is going to flop

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Sales prediction of Labo (in millions)?

<1 17 13.49%
 
1 12 9.52%
 
2 22 17.46%
 
3 16 12.70%
 
4 5 3.97%
 
5 16 12.70%
 
6 2 1.59%
 
7 1 0.79%
 
8 1 0.79%
 
>8 34 26.98%
 
Total:126

In what reality 2M is a Flop?



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Flop? I don’t know about that, but I don’t think it’s going to be nearly as successful as some believe. I’m gonna say all kits together will sell around 3 - 4 million, LT.



0331 Happiness is a belt-fed weapon

At first glance, this seems like a bold claim but then when you realize it's an extremely polarized product, then it becomes a 50/50 thing. I think either it's going to be widely popular or yes, a total bomb. I don't see wiggle room for any other scenario.



Is Kirby flopping yet?



AlfredoTurkey said:

 it's an extremely polarized product

Is it, though? Most of the negativity towards it coming from forum-dwelling gaming enthusiasts, and frankly their opinions are kinda irrelevant because they are not the target audience. 



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I predict it will do 5 million. I think it will be a revolutionary product that continues to have long legs with the Switch. It's also important to define in this prediction thread what Labo is. Is Labo a family of software releases? Is it the Variety Pack and the Giant Robot and the already revealed titles each counting as a single sell? If they only manage to impress 1 million gamers they could sell 5-6 difefrent packs to these gamers alone totalling 6 million sales. My prediction is based on that scenario. This doesn't even include the money Nintendo will make on decorator kits.

Of course, it's possible that the Labo software will be available separately and that each of these packs won't include a new piece of software. But at that point, the price of each pack would reduce considerably, fueling the notion that Labo is a very dynamic piece of software that continues to expand its uselfulness with each subsequent pack release.

And to all the haters who just want this to fail because they don't like the concept, make sure you have adjusted your predictions to account for that hate. It clouds judgment. This wil not pull resources away from major game development and only will enhance the mindshare the Switch has.



After seeing quite a few surprise hits the past few years, I no longer count anything out since it's been proven otherwise time and time again. Labo could end up failing, but it could end up being quite a success as well. So I won't be counting this one out.



 

              

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Pyro as Bill said:
It will flop eventually but a bit of sticky tape should fix it.

Apparently the build quality is decent, with multiple folds for extra support.

So it should remain quite rigid.



Tmfwang said:
kirby007 said:
What do you think you get?

Cardboard and minigames. However the general public (just an assumption, based on comments on it) thinks it just the cardboard. 

Still way too expensive for what it actually is.

Don't forget the simple visual programming software.



curl-6 said:
AlfredoTurkey said:

 it's an extremely polarized product

Is it, though? Most of the negativity towards it coming from forum-dwelling gaming enthusiasts, and frankly their opinions are kinda irrelevant because they are not the target audience.

Yep, most of the negativity is simply because some people think everything needs to cater specifically to them and anything that doesnt should/will fail.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.