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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Prediction: Labo is going to flop

 

Sales prediction of Labo (in millions)?

<1 17 13.49%
 
1 12 9.52%
 
2 22 17.46%
 
3 16 12.70%
 
4 5 3.97%
 
5 16 12.70%
 
6 2 1.59%
 
7 1 0.79%
 
8 1 0.79%
 
>8 34 26.98%
 
Total:126
curl-6 said:
quickrick said:

I'm just saying why be excited about now? there are way better toys for building stuff then labo.

I find it exciting because to me it's interesting and cool the way Labo combines DIY construction with video games, plus the wide range of possibilities for inventive custom creations. Finding out the clever ways in which it all works through the IR camera and HD rumble is also pretty nifty.

thanks.



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AlfredoTurkey said:
zorg1000 said:

Like Curl said, taking the opinion of your average single, nerdy, forum dwelling gamer probably isnt the best for gauging interest in a product aimed at kids & parents.

 

Hands-on impressions from the target demographic have been almost exclusively positive.

That's still very narrow viewed as well. What we don't have data on is the common joe. The person who swims the great blue sea. Those people are the target here. He don't know what they're thinking, if they're thinking anything about it at all. 

Labo is not for the average Joe like Wii Sports was. Labo is for a specific target group, that Nintendo even named before the reveal: kids and kids at heart. I would add builders and creators, which will be all over Labo, but that is a small group. The kids group is bigger, so the question is, if Labo is resonating enough with parents (who end up buying that stuff).



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quickrick said:
curl-6 said:

Given I've pointed the finger at others rooting for Labo's failure, I should note that I'm biased as well; I want it to succeed.

While it's not for me, in my humble opinion it's one of the most interesting and fresh things to come along in video gaming since the Wii era. These kind of unconventional products are what keeps the industry interesting, and as such I hope it finds success so as to encourage innovation.

its a wanna be VR with cardboard.

It has nothing to do with VR.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

peachbuggy said:
quickrick said:

I seen a robot game that likes like VR, the other stuff is making toys out of card board and using them like the wii kinda of, anyway i have no interest in this, i doubt it will be a hit, but these things you just have to wait till they come out and see how they sell.

I'd argue it's more AR than VR.

I would argue against it. AR is projecting virtual content into the real world. Labo is virtual content interacting with real world objects. it's not the same in my opinion. I would it compare more to these surface desks from microsoft - a table with a display which can interact with objects ypou place on the table.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

quickrick said:
Hynad said:

They've been pushing it like crazy?

How? When? Where?


I have seen zero advertising about it anywhere, outside of their own media channels.

they had a entire direct dedicated to labo, of course advertising won't start this early, but i expect a huge push near release.

They did not have a direct, they released a 3 minute trailer.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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quickrick said:
Hynad said:

They've been pushing it like crazy?

How? When? Where?


I have seen zero advertising about it anywhere, outside of their own media channels.

they had a entire direct dedicated to labo, of course advertising won't start this early, but i expect a huge push near release.

So... They haven't "been pushing it like crazy", contrary to your claim. Barely 3 minutes of footage when they announced it doesn't qualify as "pushing it like crazy".

Thanks for clearing that up. I would suggest you refrain from making stuff up like that. It doesn't help your case at all.



Podings said:
Mnementh said:

These seem like sensible predictions, I would also think the variety kit makes around double as much as the robot kit.

If that seems sensible to you, you're in for a very rude awakening.

How many units do you think the variety kit and robot kit will sell by the end of 2018?



Another really interesting video of the various uses of Labo from Nintendo.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1hMMINaIh5w



AlfredoTurkey said:
zorg1000 said:

Yes and im saying forum reception is irrelevant and the reception of the target demographic is what is important.

 

All I'm saying is this. A focus group is a focus group. You can show it to select people at a mall and have them enjoy something and then release it to market and still have it fall on its face. They are going to have to figure out a way to make millions of people who haven't even heard of it yet aware that it exists and then to make them want to buy it with nothing but advertisements. That is so much harder than a focus group of select people.

One is super easy. One is super hard. I haven't seen anything yet to indicate that this is going to be anything more than a niche, nerd toy. If they manage to sell it to families and kids in mass, fine. I really don't care. I'm not the target demographic anyway. But I personally haven't convinced that it's going to happen that way.

I do agree with most of what you just said, but the thing is thats not really what we were talking about.

All i did was dispute your original claim that reception has been mixed by stating that its been extremely positive among the target audience.

 

I know that doesnt automatically mean it will be a massive success but thats not what my argument was.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Kai_Mao said:
Another really interesting video of the various uses of Labo from Nintendo.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1hMMINaIh5w

This is ... amazing!