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Forums - Gaming Discussion - What will be the Best Selling Game This Year?

 

What will be the best Selling Game This Year?

FIFA 18 2 2.35%
 
Battlefeild 5 1 1.18%
 
Black Ops III 32 37.65%
 
Smash Bros For Switch 14 16.47%
 
Nintend Labo 1 1.18%
 
Red Dead Redemption 2 29 34.12%
 
Other 6 7.06%
 
Total:85
Stuart23 on 16 March 2018
Carl2291 said:
Stuart23 said:

...wait,are we back to use the Vgchartz numbers? I thought we were going after the official numbers.

If you're signed up and have over 200 posts on VGC in ~3 months, you should be happy to use VGC numbers

No I mean,it is because he at first seemed to dismiss using Vgchartz as a source to compare because of the lack of digital numbers and then went back and used Vgchartz as a source,so I got confused for a second.



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chakkra on 17 March 2018

Wait, I'm confused here. Doesn't Amazon have Smash Bros listed for Dec, 31st?

As for the question..  well, I'll go with either RDR2, BO4 or Fifa 19.  But it is going to depend on the time of release (alias how many weeks of the year counted).



S.Peelman on 17 March 2018

Labo is a wildcard. Could be nothing, could be the new Wii Fit. And since this is just about 2018 this also rules out anything that's not super-frontloaded so that leaves Call of Duty, Battlefield and Fifa. Maybe Pokemon, but I'd say it's not frontloaded enough to win this. Smash definitely isn't and neither is Red Dead Redemption. Lifetime would be a more difficult story, then those last three could have a decent chance.

For 2018 I'd go with the safest bet; Call of Duty. It seemed to have saved itself from decline, and Battlefield never really got close. Leaves Fifa as it's only contender.



zorg1000 on 17 March 2018
chakkra said:

Wait, I'm confused here. Doesn't Amazon have Smash Bros listed for Dec, 31st?

 

Ever hear of a placeholder?



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couchmonkey on 17 March 2018

Are Smash or even Pokemon as front-loaded as COD? Maybe just bias, but I feeel like Nintendo games usually rely more on long tail...see the current chartz with Mario Kart8D, Splatoon 2 and Zelda BOW in the top 10 in Jan.

In other words, COD.



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Luke888 on 17 March 2018

I'd say either Pokémon or RDR2



gabzjmm23 on 17 March 2018

voted for Black Ops. It is either a COD or Fifa game.



PwerlvlAmy on 17 March 2018

I'm scared to know the numbers if they drop Pokemon this year, thats doubtful,but if it does happen then no game stands a chance against it



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VAMatt on 17 March 2018
Ka-pi96 said:
COD is the safe bet.

An outside chance of it being FIFA 19, but that probably requires COD to do uncharacteristically bad.

RDR2 is the dark horse. Not one of the real favourites, but still has a chance of pulling it off. Depends whether it`s sales are similar to the previous RDR game, or whether the success of GTAV can give it a good boost.

This is exactly my thinking.  To be frank, I don't understand how anyone could take any other position.  We have a decade of past sales data that leads us to this.  



Barkley on 17 March 2018
PwerlvlAmy said:
I'm scared to know the numbers if they drop Pokemon this year, thats doubtful,but if it does happen then no game stands a chance against it

In 2017 CoD WWII sold 16.89m Physical Only, including digital+PC we could put that number at around 19-20.5m

S&M managed to ship+digital 16.05m in it's release year, which probably equates to a sell-through of ~14-15m, Pokemon on Switch could match that with half the install base which would be a great achievement, but reaching 19m+ sell-through and outselling CoD is a big stretch. So rather than not standing a chance, odds are in favour of CoD.

Though that's not to say it doesn't have a chance of beating the odds, pokemon could certainly take it.

Last edited by Barkley - on 17 March 2018