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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will Switch Overtake the Xbox One in the USA?

Switch should outsell both XB1 and PS4. XB1 is behind PS4 and the PS4 is kind of weak in the US compared to other generation lead consoles.



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XBO will probably end up with 30-33m in the US so Switch could do it would probably take 4-6 years.



SWORDF1SH said:
flashfire926 said:

They just had their best January yet in the US., without the fire sales (not saying I agree with Quickrick though)

Probably still a bit of X momentum plus it was a 5 week January that made it look more flattering that it actually was. I can only see the gap between Xbox and Switch increasing every month.

Yeah, I took that 5-week thing into account. Even when you times the estimated number by 0.8x, you're still 19% higher than any other Janruary. 

 it could just be a bit of X-momentum like youu said, but lets wait and see.

Again, I actually agree that Switch will overtake Xbox (and even PS4).



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

quickrick said:
SWORDF1SH said:

They had a new console on the market and firesales. You can't release a console every year and at some point they won't be able to have fire sales like they are doing now. 

Even with out fire sales, and a new console, if we look at previous years, xbox has been selling 2-2.5 million during the holidays. yea box lost momentum last year, but switch might do the same in the future.

Switch will not slow down any time soon. The sheer amount of system selling games being released will see to that. That's before you consider price drops to keep up good momentum and Nintendo's ability to appeal to a broad market. 



SWORDF1SH said:
quickrick said:

Even with out fire sales, and a new console, if we look at previous years, xbox has been selling 2-2.5 million during the holidays. yea box lost momentum last year, but switch might do the same in the future.

Switch will not slow down any time soon. The sheer amount of system selling games being released will see to that. That's before you consider price drops to keep up good momentum and Nintendo's ability to appeal to a broad market. 

We'll see. people were saying the same thing with 3ds, wait till pokemon and animal crossing, after it was doing amazing its first 2 years.



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Ugh... I thought this was a given, but after reading the usual negative Sony fan response to this thread, I guess I'll tag this for future crow.

Last edited by LipeJJ - on 10 March 2018

Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

quickrick said:
SWORDF1SH said:

Switch will not slow down any time soon. The sheer amount of system selling games being released will see to that. That's before you consider price drops to keep up good momentum and Nintendo's ability to appeal to a broad market. 

We'll see. people were saying the same thing with 3ds, wait till pokemon and animal crossing, after it was doing amazing its first 2 years.

The thing is... Switch is easily outselling 3DS in NA launch aligned. Keep in mind 3DS' first year was already its best there too. You can't really compared them... 3DS' stronghold was Japan.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

LipeJJ said:
Ugh... I thought this was a given, but after reading the usual Sony fan response to this thread, I guess I'll tag this for future crow.

It's not a given and he's entitled to his opinion. Do we have to have every Nintendo thread being a circle jerk. It's not like he's being unreasonable with his opinion .



SWORDF1SH said:
LipeJJ said:
Ugh... I thought this was a given, but after reading the usual Sony fan response to this thread, I guess I'll tag this for future crow.

It's not a given and he's entitled to his opinion. Do we have to have every Nintendo thread being a circle jerk. It's not like he's being unreasonable with his opinion .

Who is he? I'm not meantioning anyone, but rather Sony fans as a group (who are always negative about Nintendo, at least on this forum).



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

LipeJJ said:
SWORDF1SH said:

It's not a given and he's entitled to his opinion. Do we have to have every Nintendo thread being a circle jerk. It's not like he's being unreasonable with his opinion .

Who is he? I'm not meantioning anyone, but rather Sony fans as a group (who are always negative about Nintendo, at least on this forum).

It's pretty obvious who you're aiming this at. Even a simple process of elimination spells it out.