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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will Switch Overtake the Xbox One in the USA?

zorg1000 said:

Having a great game every 3-4 months is not enough to make hardware succeed if the software output is slow, the hardware features are unappealing, the device is poorly designed, the marketing/advertising sucks and the price is high for what the product offers.

Even after discounting the Vita (frankly just it's brand name alone was great advertisement for the system), how do you explain PS1's sudden rise to popularity after it's underwhelming launch and 1st year performance ? (couldn't get great reception initially)

Your point about advertising/marketing is clearly bunk regardless since it's not a high factor or indicator to a platforms success ... 

zorg1000 said: 

 

So yes, its a lame excuse to say, "this game didnt sell this console so why would it sell that console?" when there are multiple other factors at play.

The only other factor at play is launch price since it's the only aspect shown to have any correlation to a platforms success aside from it's library, everything else is just noise ... 

RolStoppable said:

fatslob already implicitly admitted in this thread that he knows that he is posting rubbish and only does it to get a rise out of people.

LOL, I didn't know I had you under my fingertips ... (I cherish the fact that I can trigger you at any moment intentionally or not



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fatslob-:O said:
zorg1000 said:

Having a great game every 3-4 months is not enough to make hardware succeed if the software output is slow, the hardware features are unappealing, the device is poorly designed, the marketing/advertising sucks and the price is high for what the product offers.

Even after discounting the Vita (frankly just it's brand name alone was great advertisement for the system), how do you explain PS1's sudden rise to popularity after it's underwhelming launch and 1st year performance ? (couldn't get great reception initially)

Your point about advertising/marketing is clearly bunk regardless since it's not a high factor or indicator to a platforms success ... 

zorg1000 said: 

 

So yes, its a lame excuse to say, "this game didnt sell this console so why would it sell that console?" when there are multiple other factors at play.

The only other factor at play is launch price since it's the only aspect shown to have any correlation to a platforms success aside from it's library, everything else is just noise ... 


How do i explain PS1 sudden rise to popularity? The things i listed earlier.

1. Software quality, output & variety

2. Hardware features, specs & design

3. Marketing & advertising

4. Appropriate price based on 1-3

 

PS1 easily beat N64 & Saturn in these categories and that caused it to sell so well.

 

No console manufacturer has ever had amazing mainstream success right out of the gate, not Atari, not Nintendo, not Sega, not Microsoft and not even Sony. All of them started out slow before reaching mainstream success.

 

I really have no idea what point you are trying to prove by bringing up PS1.

 

 

As for marketing/advertising, it makes a huge difference, otherwise companies would not spend billions every year on it.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

I think it'll be a lot closer than a lot of people are acting it'll be, but Switch might edge it out. Also depends on the year MS is releasing Xbox 4



zorg1000 said:

How do i explain PS1 sudden rise to popularity? The things i listed earlier.

1. Software quality, output & variety

2. Hardware features, specs & design

3. Marketing & advertising

4. Appropriate price based on 1-3

 

PS1 easily beat N64 & Saturn in these categories and that caused it to sell so well.

 

No console manufacturer has ever had amazing mainstream success right out of the gate, not Atari, not Nintendo, not Sega, not Microsoft and not even Sony. All of them started out slow before reaching mainstream success.

 

I really have no idea what point you are trying to prove by bringing up PS1.

 

 

As for marketing/advertising, it makes a huge difference, otherwise companies would not spend billions every year on it.

Pretty sure Saturn failed because of it's library and not because of it's marketing ... 

PS1 also had no special hardware features either ... 

So you just changed your goal post from console to console manufacturer ? And most companies don't spend billions on marketing/advertising campaigns on a single product/service but game companies are no where to be seen on that list out of the 38 that broke over $1 billion on advertising, it's largely dominated by retail, telecommunications, automotive, healthcare/pharmaceuticals, financial services and sometimes even fast food chains ... (consumer electronics like consoles are nowhere to be found) 



fatslob-:O said:
zorg1000 said:

How do i explain PS1 sudden rise to popularity? The things i listed earlier.

1. Software quality, output & variety

2. Hardware features, specs & design

3. Marketing & advertising

4. Appropriate price based on 1-3

 

PS1 easily beat N64 & Saturn in these categories and that caused it to sell so well.

 

No console manufacturer has ever had amazing mainstream success right out of the gate, not Atari, not Nintendo, not Sega, not Microsoft and not even Sony. All of them started out slow before reaching mainstream success.

 

I really have no idea what point you are trying to prove by bringing up PS1.

 

 

As for marketing/advertising, it makes a huge difference, otherwise companies would not spend billions every year on it.

Pretty sure Saturn failed because of it's library and not because of it's marketing ... 

PS1 also had no special hardware features either ... 

So you just changed your goal post from console to console manufacturer ? And most companies don't spend billions on marketing/advertising campaigns on a single product/service but game companies are no where to be seen on that list out of the 38 that broke over $1 billion on advertising, it's largely dominated by retail, telecommunications, automotive, healthcare/pharmaceuticals, financial services and sometimes even fast food chains ... (consumer electronics like consoles are nowhere to be found) 

Again you are oversimplifying. You cant limit success/failure to one single thing, there are always multiple factors at play and if you cant understand that than its hopeless to even discuss with you.

 

I never said PS1 had special hardware features, im talking about hardware in general which includes things like features, design & specs.

 

Im not changing goalposts, you asked how PS1 ended up being so popular despite a slow start and i explained that none of the big console manufacturers had mainstream success right off the bat with their first successful console.

 

Youre arguing semantics, fine its not billions, its hundreds of millions they spend. The point is that every large company regardless of industry spends a shitload of money to market/advertise their products/services. If it wasnt an important factor than they wouldnt do it, simple as that.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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Despite the tension between zorg and fatslob, it's a good back and forth between you 2. I think zorg is making a better case though. I don't disagree with anything he's saying.



SWORDF1SH said:
Despite the tension between zorg and fatslob, it's a good back and forth between you 2. I think zorg is making a better case though. I don't disagree with anything he's saying.

Every good debate has to have some tension, gotta make it fun for the audience



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Yes, it will. Pokemon will make sure that it happens.



RolStoppable said:
zorg1000 said:

Every good debate has to have some tension, gotta make it fun for the audience

I maintain that fatslob is acting.

Im sure you'r right, i have a hard time believing anybody could oversimplify so many things and be serious.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

fatslob-:O said:
flashfire926 said:

First off, that saying doesnt work all the time. Just look at the Dreamcast. It had an exceptional library for a console that was on sale for one and a half year. Jet Set Radio, Shenmue, Sonic Adventure, NBA 2k, soul calibur, crazy taxi, and more.

Super Smash Bros 4 is widely regarded as better than Brawl and the original. DKCTF  was on par with its predecessors well, the backlash to that game only came because people were pissed retro made another donkey kong instead of doing something else. Captain toad is regarded as an underrated gem. As much as I dont like super mario 3d world, it still got a 93 METACRITIC. Shows that critics and audience alike still liked the game.

As for animal crossing, the decision to make one for the 3DS instead of Wii U was right because Wild World outsold City folk and the original like 3:1.

Zelda had a game come out in 2011, so it was obvious that a 2012 release for next zelda was unreasonable.

But you are right to an extent. Animal crossing amiibo festival, star fox zero, mario party 10, wii party U, mario tennis ultra smash, paper mario color splash, nintendo land and more were underwhelming.

But it cant be argued that the main cause of the failure of WiiU was the console itself. Terrible tablet gimmick controller, teriible and non-existent marketing, terrible name, the list goes on and on.

And sony's victory over microsoft was mostly cause of the drm blunder and higher price of the xbox one. The excusives were just a supporting cause.

Dreamcast had nearly nothing, it's library was anything but "exceptional" aside from the reviewer/critic perspective ... (if the customers weren't convinced then that's all that mattered) 

SSB4 was about equal as far as critics go compared with SSB Brawl but that stops right there since there were much more who was convinced of the quality of the latter ... 

DKCTF obviously wasn't as good as it's predecessor, Captain Toad deserves it's rating as is and SM3DW just wasn't as good as SMG so all of these things factored into WII U's suffering hardware sales and when you don't convince your customers that's exactly what will happen ... 

WII U's hardware sales was more than warranted given the shit effort that Nintendo went through with it. Nintendo making SSB for WII U and not for Animal Crossing despite the fact that both would've sold more on their handheld counterparts was an amateur's mistakes but then you ignore the biggest elephant in the room which is the absence of the Wii franchise ... (Nobody let down the WII U down other than Nintendo themselves!)

The always online DRM was fixed before launch and the price was fixed shorty thereafter but did their sales ever equalize ? Nope, the only explanation for that is because Sony somehow convinced it's customer base that it had a better library than the competitor and that's despite Microsoft's more aggressive deals ... 

This is getting off-topic anyways so let's leave it at that ... 

Well, I was gonna leave this, but seeing all this carry on between you and zorg, I'll pitch in too.

Just look anywhere in the internet, SSB4 is commonly regarded as better than Brawl. There are more people who like SSB4 better, than vice-versa.

And DKCTF is as good as its predecessor. Again, the backlash was because people didnt want retro to make another donkey kong.

Wii franchise was there. But just look at how Wii Party U, Wii Fit U, and wii sports club sold compared to their predecessors.

And no, Animal Crossing sells better on handheld, BY A WIDE MARGIN. NOT EVEN CLOSE. This is a fact that cant be disputed.

No the Dreamcast failed primarily because the shit sega pulled off with 32X/CD/Saturn and all. They lost everyone's trust, and the PS2 was on the horizon, so people just waited for that.

And their is a huge fanbase for 3D World. Its at 5.75 million copies shipped, second only behind MK8. It isnt higher only because no one bought the Wii U.

For the bolded, it was already too late. People already had a bad taste in their mouth's, and were done with the Xbox. Word of mouth goes a long way, and their are still many people under the impression that the One cant read used discs, and/or despise xbox now. People' s friends were more liklier to have PS4's, and as a result they were more likely to get a PS4. A snowball effect took place.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.