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Forums - Sales Discussion - January 2018 NPD Thread! Switch #1

quickrick on 21 February 2018
Stuart23 said:
Anyway,what we know:

Hardware total > 1 million
3DS > 3DS in january 2013 = 3DS > 226k
Previous best Xbox january = 229k (2014)

wow so it seems xbox/switch/ps4 had a regular months, if super nes did 100k-150k they probably did near 260k a piece.



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Acevil on 21 February 2018
Zones said:
Acevil said:

He basically in denial at this stage. 

He actually said it would sell one million less than in 2017.

It was clarified by him what he meant in that very same topic, so obsessing over that specific term like some of you continuously do seems to be quite fruitless at this point.

So he is allowed to completely ruin threads, and change his definitions later, and we are supposed to be okay with it? Also, I do not remember him mentioning 1 million less than in 2017 in November NPD thread. If you can provide it for me, please do. 



 

ohmylanta1003 on 21 February 2018

Wait. So...what exactly was the bet with quickrick? The exact wording?



I bet the Wii U would sell more than 15M LTD by the end of 2015. He bet it would sell less. I lost.

jason1637 on 21 February 2018
Stuart23 said:
Anyway,what we know:

Hardware total > 1 million
3DS > 3DS in january 2013 = 3DS > 226k
Previous best Xbox january = 229k (2014)

Where did you get the 229k for Xbox One? Looking at the January 2014 NPD thread it says 142k. The highest should be 150k from January 2017.



fatslob-:O on 21 February 2018
newwil7l said:

That is the thing. Switch is performing much better in the west than the 3DS. Which is why 20 million isn't unrealistic.

Define "much better" ... 

So far in their respective lifetimes 3DS the was pulling off a weekly average of 58K/week at the start of the new year in the US while in the most optimistic scenario (don't have solid numbers so far) the Switch's weekly average so far is 70K (~350K for January possibly) which translates to a 20% improvement ...

Assuming that the Switch holds that weekly improvement over the 3DS it's on track to sell 4.2M units for the US this year while there's a very real possibility that the Switch could be down YOY in Japan this year with maybe ~3M units sold so how do you propose Nintendo make up that 12M+ unit differential ? (even after factoring Europe the Switch would still be well short of 20M units) 



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Acevil on 21 February 2018
quickrick said:
Acevil said:

You stated that it would fall off a cliff. It clearly didn't. Unless PS4 is also falling off a cliff. So what is it, PS4 also falling off a cliff?

i said it would be flat. falling off a cliff i used for people expecting 20 million this year, as opposed to there expectations.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8663089

"if it sells as good as it did this year in europe and US, then i would admit i was wrong."

It seems, you are going to admit you are wrong one way or another, by your own definition. 

Other things you said: "LOL your gonna be surprised dude when switch sales are gonna fall of a cliff in 2018. 2017 will be nothing like 2018". This goes against everything you said about it being Flat. 

I get you won't admit you are wrong, so I leave with this post:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8654871

"holla at me next year when ps4 is beating switch every month."

HOLLA!


 

quickrick on 21 February 2018
Acevil said:
Zones said:

He actually said it would sell one million less than in 2017.

It was clarified by him what he meant in that very same topic, so obsessing over that specific term like some of you continuously do seems to be quite fruitless at this point.

So he is allowed to completely ruin threads, and change his definitions later, and we are supposed to be okay with it? Also, I do not remember him mentioning 1 million less than in 2017 in November NPD thread. If you can provide it for me, please do. 

you gonna keep keep crying about me? ignore me if you have too. or do my my predications really hurt your feeling that bad. 



Stuart23 on 21 February 2018
jason1637 said:
Stuart23 said:
Anyway,what we know:

Hardware total > 1 million
3DS > 3DS in january 2013 = 3DS > 226k
Previous best Xbox january = 229k (2014)

Where did you get the 229k for Xbox One? Looking at the January 2014 NPD thread it says 142k. The highest should be 150k from January 2017.

Sorry,I misundertood with the VGC numbers. However since hardware is above 1 million and everyone is close together, we still should expect above 200k for Xone.



Switch Friend Code: SW - 1286-0025-9138

Jranation on 21 February 2018
Alkibiádēs said:
PS4 got MHW, Street Fighter V; Arcade Edition and Dragonball FighterZ and Switch still won? Damn! Just imagine what things will be like when a big title hits the Switch!

Right! Amazing!



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Acevil on 21 February 2018
quickrick said:
Acevil said:

So he is allowed to completely ruin threads, and change his definitions later, and we are supposed to be okay with it? Also, I do not remember him mentioning 1 million less than in 2017 in November NPD thread. If you can provide it for me, please do. 

you gonna keep keep crying about me? ignore me if you have too. or do my my predications really hurt your feeling that bad. 

Nice counter argument, I see you now are using one of the lamest defenses in history. You truly have shown that you cannot admit to being wrong.