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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 vs Switch: Launch aligned, who hits 100 million first?

 

which will reach 100m faster?

PS4 94 70.68%
 
Switch 39 29.32%
 
Total:133
Pyro as Bill on 20 February 2018
Barkley said:
PS4. Switch won't reach 100m.

Are you still in the 'less than 3DS' mindset? How can you look at the price difference, software sales, the new (to portables) IPs and still think it'll do less?

Switch ~15M Software ~52M @ $60

3DS ~15M Software ~33M @ $40

3DS end of 2014 (20 months) Switch (9 months)
SM3DLand 7.8M 9.1M SMOdyssey
MK7 7.3M 7.3M MK8D
OoT 2.4M 6.7M BoTW
       
NSMB2 5M 4.9M Splatoon2
Ndogs+cats 2.8M 1.9M 12Switch
ACross 2M 1.6M Arms
PaperMario 1.1M 1.2M M+Rabbids
KH3D 1.1M 1.1M Xeno
KidIc 1M 1M Pokken

 

Azuren said:

... First year is important, but it is almost never indicative of just how well it will sell in the long run. Not saying it doesn't stand a good chance. Just saying maybe some of you should be a little less smug about your predictions and stop telling people they're wrong because "first year sales".

Other systems lost momentum due to lack of games. That won't be a problem for Switch.



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Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

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CosmicSex on 20 February 2018

I still put Switch at 65 million. Nintendo is fine and they may even have a successor out before we no it. A 'Pro' switch version would make this interesting



ArchangelMadzz on 20 February 2018

Well considering we don't even know if switch will reach that, it hasn't even been out for a year in going to have to say PS4.



There's only 2 races: White and 'Political Agenda'
2 Genders: Male and 'Political Agenda'
2 Hairstyles for female characters: Long and 'Political Agenda'
2 Sexualities: Straight and 'Political Agenda'

CosmicSex on 20 February 2018
ArchangelMadzz said:

Well considering we don't even know if switch will reach that, it hasn't even been out for a year in going to have to say PS4.

I agree with this assessment.  Give it two solid holidays otherwise we are all guessing.  We need more data.



TheBraveGallade on 20 February 2018
Azuren said:

For all the people gushing over the Switch's first year sales:

Wii had the best first year for a long time in console history. It absolutely dominated PS2's first year sales by over ten million units. It still didn't even come close to PS2's lifetime sales. And look at DS's first year: 9m IIRC, a full five million behind Wii. It went on to be the  only thing that ever made Sony fans worried the PS2 might be dethroned (man it was fucking close). First year is important, but it is almost never indicative of just how well it will sell in the long run. Not saying it doesn't stand a good chance. Just saying maybe some of you should be a little less smug about your predictions and stop telling people they're wrong because "first year sales".

In fact, we don't ACTUALLY know the winner in the ps2/DS fight cause its that fucking close and we don't know how much DSs have sold after 2012.



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zorg1000 on 20 February 2018
TheBraveGallade said:
Azuren said:

For all the people gushing over the Switch's first year sales:

Wii had the best first year for a long time in console history. It absolutely dominated PS2's first year sales by over ten million units. It still didn't even come close to PS2's lifetime sales. And look at DS's first year: 9m IIRC, a full five million behind Wii. It went on to be the  only thing that ever made Sony fans worried the PS2 might be dethroned (man it was fucking close). First year is important, but it is almost never indicative of just how well it will sell in the long run. Not saying it doesn't stand a good chance. Just saying maybe some of you should be a little less smug about your predictions and stop telling people they're wrong because "first year sales".

In fact, we don't ACTUALLY know the winner in the ps2/DS fight cause its that fucking close and we don't know how much DSs have sold after 2012.

Yes we do, Nintendo's official shipment data has DS at 154.02 million.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Nighthawk117 on 20 February 2018

2017 sales : PS4 - 20 mil, Switch - 13 mil....

est. 2018 Labo sales < God of War sales

= PS4 again outsells Switch in 2018.



AngryLittleAlchemist on 20 February 2018
Nighthawk117 said:
2017 sales : PS4 - 20 mil, Switch - 13 mil....

est. 2018 Labo sales > God of War sales

= PS4 again outsells Switch in 2018.

This is launch aligned. Your post is not launch aligned. 



Nighthawk117 on 20 February 2018
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
Nighthawk117 said:
2017 sales : PS4 - 20 mil, Switch - 13 mil....

est. 2018 Labo sales > God of War sales

= PS4 again outsells Switch in 2018.

This is launch aligned. Your post is not launch aligned. 

Nobody gives a fuck about launch aligned. What matters is what system is selling hotter NOW than its competitors.



zorg1000 on 20 February 2018
Nighthawk117 said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:

This is launch aligned. Your post is not launch aligned. 

Nobody gives a fuck about launch aligned. What matters is what system is selling hotter NOW than its competitors.

Dont act like your opinion of something is what everybody believes.

Clearpy people care about launches aligned since the console manufacturers use it all the time, this site has multiple monthly charts about it and dozens of users on this site make threads comparing them.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.