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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 vs Switch: Launch aligned, who hits 100 million first?

 

which will reach 100m faster?

PS4 94 70.68%
 
Switch 39 29.32%
 
Total:133
outlawauron on 21 February 2018
mZuzek said:
outlawauron said:
The only thing I've learned from this thread is that people are really counting on Labo to push units and really believe that the new 2018 Pokemon will be a true successor to the handheld series.

Wow, how stupid must people be for believing in something that has been objectively and specifically stated by a game's developers, and that a product with potential blue ocean appeal could move units.

Edit: I just had to go have a little break from everything now to reflect on the sheer crappiness of your post, and of course all the other crappy posts in this thread it represents. I'm not sure what some people here have on their minds but it amazes me just how impossible they make it to be taken seriously.

I'm going to sleep now.

This might be the grossest overreaction to my very mild post.  

As far as Labo, it's very unproven and could absolutely be a hit. Not sure if I'd place a heavy prediction on it based on how little we've seen and its reception so far. For Pokemon, I didn't think that a new main entry would be ready in 2018. If they're doing a full Pokemon, I imagine that it'll have a longer dev cycle with it being on Switch instead of DS/3DS. Don't think what they'd release this year would be a full fledged title.



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EricFabian on 21 February 2018

Jesus. Switch Will sell 100M no matter what.



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chakkra on 21 February 2018
zorg1000 said:
chakkra said:

VGC numbers:

New Super Mario Bros. U    5.64m

Super Mario 3D World     4.95m

Now, correct me if l'm wrong but, wans't NSMBU heavily bundled during most of its lifetime?

No, NSMBU got a bundle about a year after launch then was replaced by the 3D World bundle about a year later which was later replaced by the Mario Kart bundle which was later replaced by Smash Bros & Splatoon bundles.

The only game where sales primarily came from bundles was Nintendo Land.

Hmm...   I see.



CrazyGamer2017 on 21 February 2018

I would say PS4 but who knows for sure right?
For all we know neither will even reach 100M.

Also on a more practical matter I'd love to know what the lifetime sales of both systems will be, but there is still plenty of time before that question is answered.



bowserthedog on 21 February 2018

Why is there no Xbox option?



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bowserthedog on 21 February 2018

Its too difficult to predict without all the information.  If Nintendo doesn't make different form factors/varients then I would say PS4. However, in the likely possibility of different switch form factors Switch will likely be first.



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jonathanalis on 21 February 2018

Switch will reach 50 million first, but ps4 will reach 100 million first.



KLAMarine on 21 February 2018

Some in this thread are asking for crow.



NPCmates on 21 February 2018

Wow 30% of people really see Switch going strong and winning this. Like the only console to hit 100mil was Wii due to casual market which I don't see Switch getting into much. The handhelds had so many iterations the double/triple dipping was crazy and pushed them up so maybe if the release different iterations of the Switch, then yeah maybe. they will probably beat my prediction of like 40mil but 100mil just seems crazy haha



StarDoor on 21 February 2018
NPCmates said:
Wow 30% of people really see Switch going strong and winning this. Like the only console to hit 100mil was Wii due to casual market which I don't see Switch getting into much. The handhelds had so many iterations the double/triple dipping was crazy and pushed them up so maybe if the release different iterations of the Switch, then yeah maybe. they will probably beat my prediction of like 40mil but 100mil just seems crazy haha

Is 40 million really your current prediction? You think Switch is going to sell 40 million lifetime even though it sold a third of that in just its first year?