When will Mario Kart 8 DX outsell the original Mario Kart 8? | |||
| Within 12 months | 5 | 20.00% | |
| Within 10-12 months | 0 | 0% | |
| Within 8-10 months | 0 | 0% | |
| Within 6-8 months | 1 | 4.00% | |
| Within 4-6 months | 7 | 28.00% | |
| Within 2-4 months | 10 | 40.00% | |
| Less than 2 months | 2 | 8.00% | |
| Total: | 25 | ||
More or less a year. I have the feeling Nintendo will try to do a decent sale of multiplayer games when the online fee service launches. just to deal with any possible controversy or bad puublicity that could arise from it.
RolStoppable said:
Of course the numbers provided by Nintendo are more accurate. They combine shipments of boxed copies with digital sell-through data. Mario Kart 8 (Wii U) - 8.40m Nintendo updates the numbers every quarter, so by June 30th the Switch version should have passed the original. |
Don’t be so humble, it will happen by the end of March (shipped + digital), just need another 1.1m to go (average of 90k per week).
Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won
Going by Nintendo's numbers, I expect it to happen by the spring.
NNID: garretslarrity
Steam: garretslarrity
I think most Wii U ports will sell better on Switch.
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe & Pokken Tournament DX are both close to doing so and i think Bayonetta 2, Tropical Freeze & Hyrule Warriors have a strong shot of doing it as well.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
CaptainExplosion said:
Sort of, unless the numbers reported from Nintendo are more accurate. |
Why would they not be more accurate?
RolStoppable said:
The only one I am not sure about is Bayonetta 2. Hyrule Warriors is a crossover game and those depend on the popularity of their origins. Zelda has experienced an enormous rise with Breath of the Wild. Tropical Freeze has a very low hurdle to clear. It was an old school Nintendo game on a new school Nintendo console, so the audience wasn't there. |
The Switch audience seems to be more receptive to "hardcore" M rated titles so far with games like DOOM & Skyrim doing well on the platform so i think Bayo 2 can do it. This site has it at 850k on Wii U but in reality its probably a good deal lower than that.
Yeah with the popularity of BotW pushing the franchise to new heights, HW should get a pretty good amount of new players.
Tropical Freeze isnt just going to pass the original but smash it, i think 3+ million over time is possible.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
I consider it the same game.
RolStoppable said:
I was remembering Mario Kart 8 Deluxe as adding 2m to its total last quarter, so projected sales until March 31st weren't going to be enough. But after checking the numbers, MK8D actually added 2.9m which means that roughly 40% of new Switch owners bought the game last quarter. If that rate continues and Switch ships ~3m in the first calendar quarter like Nintendo expects, then MK8D would add 1.0-1.2m to its total, so it's possible. |
Pretty much. I believe either way it will be close. Just as a plus: IIRC Zelda managed to ship at least 1m every quarter, and since MK8D's legs are even better, I wouldn't be surprised if the same happend to it this whole year.
Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won
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